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On the transmission of spillover risks between the housing market, the mortgage and equity REITs markets, and the stock market

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  • Damianov, Damian S.
  • Elsayed, Ahmed H.

Abstract

Using monthly returns for the January 1975–December 2016 time period in U.S. markets, we report large variations in total, net and pairwise return spillovers across the housing market, the mortgage and equity real estate investment trusts (REITs) markets, and the stock market. Each of the four markets acts as both receiver and transmitter of spillovers during specific subperiods. While in economic downturns the housing market is generally a transmitter of spillovers, we find that during the recent mortgage crisis the housing market was a receiver of spillovers predominantly from the mortgage REITs market but also, to a lesser degree, from the equity REITs market. In periods of high political uncertainty and in periods of easy credit, the equity REITs and the stock market transmit spillovers to the housing and the mortgage REITs market.

Suggested Citation

  • Damianov, Damian S. & Elsayed, Ahmed H., 2018. "On the transmission of spillover risks between the housing market, the mortgage and equity REITs markets, and the stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 193-200.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:27:y:2018:i:c:p:193-200
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.03.001
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    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Spillovers between US real estate and financial assets in time and frequency domains," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(6), pages 525-537, April.
    2. I-Chun Tsai & Che-Chun Lin, 2019. "Variations and Influences of Connectedness among US Housing Markets," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(1), pages 27-58.
    3. Caporin, Massimiliano & Gupta, Rangan & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2021. "Contagion between real estate and financial markets: A Bayesian quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Xia, Tongshui & Yao, Chen-Xi & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2020. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among economic policy uncertainty, stock and housing markets in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. repec:ire:issued:v:22:n:01:2019:p:27-59 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Huthaifa Alqaralleh & Gazi Salah Uddin & Canepa, Alessandra, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness across housing markets, stock market and uncertainty: A Wavelet-Time Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202204, University of Turin.
    7. Liu, Jian & Chen, Yan & Liao, Shufei & Cheng, Cheng & Fu, Yongge, 2023. "Information spillovers in Hong Kong REITs and related asset markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 215-229.
    8. Blanka ŠKRABIĆ PERIĆ & Ana RIMAC SMILJANIĆ & Petar SORIĆ, 2022. "Confidence vs. Uncertainty : An Explanation of Housing Prices In the Old EU Member States," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 31-45, October.
    9. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "On REIT returns and (un-)expected inflation: Empirical evidence based on Bayesian additive regression trees," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 160-169.
    10. Sepehrdoust, Hamid & Ahmadvand, Shokoufeh & Mirzaei, Nesa, 2022. "Impact of information, communication technology and housing industry on financial market development," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    11. Ahmed H. Elsayed & Mohamad Husam Helmi, 2021. "Volatility transmission and spillover dynamics across financial markets: the role of geopolitical risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 305(1), pages 1-22, October.
    12. Sun, Qingru & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Guo, Sui & Liu, Xueyong & Wang, Ze, 2021. "Which time-frequency domain dominates spillover in the Chinese energy stock market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    13. Keagile Lesame & Elie Bouri & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "On the Dynamics of International Real Estate Investment Trust Propagation Mechanisms: Evidence from Time-Varying Return and Volatility Connectedness Measures," Working Papers 202152, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing market; Mortgage and equity REITs market; Stock market; Return spillovers;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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