IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finana/v96y2024ipbs1057521924006732.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The effects of time-to-build and regulation on investment timing and size

Author

Listed:
  • Jeon, Haejun

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of the delay of revenue generation on a firm’s investment timing and size decisions. Time-to-build and regulation are considered as internal and external factors that impede the firm’s instant revenue generation, respectively. We show that in the absence of regulation, uncertainty in time-to-build always advances the timing of investment; however, the capacity size is independent of time-to-build. We also show that in the absence of time-to-build, the presence of regulation increases the expected capacity size and the uncertainty of regulation amplifies this effect. When both time-to-build and regulation exist, uncertainty in the delay of revenue generation by the two factors can advance the investment timing and increase the size, improving firm value.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeon, Haejun, 2024. "The effects of time-to-build and regulation on investment timing and size," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:96:y:2024:i:pb:s1057521924006732
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103741
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1057521924006732
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103741?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bar-Ilan, Avner & Sulem, Agnes & Zanello, Alessandro, 2002. "Time-to-build and capacity choice," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 69-98, January.
    2. Louis J. Maccini, 1973. "Delivery Lags and the Demand for Investment," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 40(2), pages 269-281.
    3. Simeon Djankov & Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes & Andrei Shleifer, 2002. "The Regulation of Entry," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(1), pages 1-37.
    4. Jeon, Haejun, 2021. "Investment and financing decisions in the presence of time-to-build," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(3), pages 1068-1084.
    5. Kuno J.M. Huisman & Peter M. Kort, 2015. "Strategic capacity investment under uncertainty," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 46(2), pages 376-408, June.
    6. Alvarez, Luis H. R. & Keppo, Jussi, 2002. "The impact of delivery lags on irreversible investment under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 173-180, January.
    7. Jeon, Haejun & Cui, Xue & Zhang, Chuanqian, 2023. "The effects of labor choice on investment and output dynamics," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. Nick Huberts & Kuno Huisman & Peter Kort & Maria Lavrutich, 2015. "Capacity Choice in (Strategic) Real Options Models: A Survey," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 424-439, December.
    9. Jukka Lempa, 2020. "Some results on optimal stopping under phase-type distributed implementation delay," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 91(3), pages 559-583, June.
    10. Michał Grajek & Lars-Hendrik Röller, 2012. "Regulation and Investment in Network Industries: Evidence from European Telecoms," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 55(1), pages 189-216.
    11. Maccini, Louis J., 1973. "On optimal delivery lags," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 107-125, April.
    12. Majd, Saman & Pindyck, Robert S., 1987. "Time to build, option value, and investment decisions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 7-27, March.
    13. Briglauer, Wolfgang & Cambini, Carlo & Grajek, Michał, 2018. "Speeding up the internet: Regulation and investment in the European fiber optic infrastructure," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 613-652.
    14. James B. Bailey & Diana W. Thomas, 2017. "Regulating away competition: the effect of regulation on entrepreneurship and employment," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 237-254, December.
    15. Alberto Alesina & Silvia Ardagna & Giuseppe Nicoletti & Fabio Schiantarelli, 2005. "Regulation And Investment," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 3(4), pages 791-825, June.
    16. Klapper, Leora & Laeven, Luc & Rajan, Raghuram, 2006. "Entry regulation as a barrier to entrepreneurship," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(3), pages 591-629, December.
    17. Pacheco-de-Almeida, Goncalo & Zemsky, Peter, 2003. "The Effect of Time-to-Build on Strategic Investment under Uncertainty," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 34(1), pages 166-182, Spring.
    18. Robert Salomon & Xavier Martin, 2008. "Learning, Knowledge Transfer, and Technology Implementation Performance: A Study of Time-to-Build in the Global Semiconductor Industry," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(7), pages 1266-1280, July.
    19. Bar-Ilan, Avner & Strange, William C., 1998. "A model of sequential investment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 437-463, March.
    20. Helen Weeds, 2002. "Strategic Delay in a Real Options Model of R&D Competition," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 69(3), pages 729-747.
    21. Boonman, Hettie J. & Siddiqui, Afzal S., 2017. "Capacity optimization under uncertainty: The impact of operational time lags," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(2), pages 660-672.
    22. Jeon, Haejun, 2021. "Investment timing and capacity decisions with time-to-build in a duopoly market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    23. Sarah M. Ryan, 2004. "Capacity Expansion for Random Exponential Demand Growth with Lead Times," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(6), pages 740-748, June.
    24. Felipe L. Aguerrevere, 2003. "Equilibrium Investment Strategies and Output Price Behavior: A Real-Options Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 16(4), pages 1239-1272.
    25. Pindyck, Robert S, 1988. "Irreversible Investment, Capacity Choice, and the Value of the Firm," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(5), pages 969-985, December.
    26. Ashton Hawk & Gonçalo Pacheco-De-Almeida & Bernard Yeung, 2013. "Fast-mover advantages: Speed capabilities and entry into the emerging submarket of atlantic basin LNG," Post-Print hal-00984860, HAL.
    27. James C. Bean & Julia L. Higle & Robert L. Smith, 1992. "Capacity Expansion Under Stochastic Demands," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 40(3-supplem), pages 210-216, June.
    28. Buzacott, J. A. & Chaouch, A. B., 1988. "Capacity expansion with interrupted demand growth," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 19-26, February.
    29. Lee Branstetter & Francisco Lima & Lowell J. Taylor & Ana Venâncio, 2014. "Do Entry Regulations Deter Entrepreneurship and Job Creation? Evidence from Recent Reforms in Portugal," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 124(577), pages 805-832, June.
    30. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    31. Jukka Lempa, 2012. "Optimal stopping with random exercise lag," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 75(3), pages 273-286, June.
    32. Gonçalo Pacheco-De-Almeida & Peter Zemsky, 2003. "The Effect of Time-to-Build on Strategic Investment under Uncertainty," Post-Print hal-00576375, HAL.
    33. Volker H. Hoffmann & Thomas Trautmann & Jens Hamprecht, 2009. "Regulatory Uncertainty: A Reason to Postpone Investments? Not Necessarily," Journal of Management Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(7), pages 1227-1253, November.
    34. Robert McDonald & Daniel Siegel, 1986. "The Value of Waiting to Invest," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 101(4), pages 707-727.
    35. Haejun Jeon, 2023. "Time-to-build and capacity expansion," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 328(2), pages 1461-1494, September.
    36. Stephen Nickell, 1977. "Uncertainty and Lags in the Investment Decisions of Firms," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 44(2), pages 249-263.
    37. Hartman, Richard, 1972. "The effects of price and cost uncertainty on investment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 258-266, October.
    38. Sarkar, Sudipto & Zhang, Chuanqian, 2013. "Implementation lag and the investment decision," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 136-140.
    39. Richard Hartman, 1973. "Adjustment Costs, Price and Wage Uncertainty, and Investment," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 40(2), pages 259-267.
    40. Felipe L. Aguerrevere, 2009. "Real Options, Product Market Competition, and Asset Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(2), pages 957-983, April.
    41. Jeon, Haejun, 2024. "Time-to-build, regulation, and investment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 319(3), pages 999-1019.
    42. Chunsheng Zhou, 2000. "Time-to-Build and Investment," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(2), pages 273-282, May.
    43. Abel, Andrew B, 1983. "Optimal Investment under Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(1), pages 228-233, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jeon, Haejun, 2024. "Time-to-build, regulation, and investment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 319(3), pages 999-1019.
    2. Haejun Jeon, 2023. "Time-to-build and capacity expansion," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 328(2), pages 1461-1494, September.
    3. Fredrik Armerin & Han-Suck Song, 2021. "A framework for modelling cash flow lags," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(10), pages 1-13, October.
    4. Jeon, Haejun, 2021. "Investment timing and capacity decisions with time-to-build in a duopoly market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    5. Huberts, Nick F.D. & Rossi Silveira, Rafael, 2023. "How economic depreciation shapes the relationship of uncertainty with investments’ size & timing," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    6. Meng, Rujing, 2008. "A patent race in a real options setting: Investment strategy, valuation, CAPM beta, and return volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 3192-3217, October.
    7. Taschini, Luca, 2021. "Flexibility premium of emissions permits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    8. Jyh-Bang Jou & Tan (Charlene) Lee, 2011. "Mutually exclusive investment with technical uncertainty," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(30), pages 4723-4728.
    9. Chevalier-Roignant, Benoît & Flath, Christoph M. & Huchzermeier, Arnd & Trigeorgis, Lenos, 2011. "Strategic investment under uncertainty: A synthesis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 215(3), pages 639-650, December.
    10. Jeon, Haejun & Cui, Xue & Zhang, Chuanqian, 2023. "The effects of labor choice on investment and output dynamics," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    11. Laarni T. Bulan, 2005. "Real options, irreversible investment and firm uncertainty: New evidence from U.S. firms," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 14(3-4), pages 255-279.
    12. Armerin, Fredrik & Song, Han-Suck, 2020. "A framework for modelling cash flow lags," Working Paper Series 20/17, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    13. Sumru Altug & Fanny S. Demers & Michel Demers, 2004. "Tax Policy and Irreversible Investment," CDMA Working Paper Series 200404, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
    14. Bulan, Laarni T., 2005. "Real options, irreversible investment and firm uncertainty: New evidence from U.S. firms," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3-4), pages 255-279.
    15. Aïd, René & Federico, Salvatore & Pham, Huyên & Villeneuve, Bertrand, 2015. "Explicit investment rules with time-to-build and uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 240-256.
    16. Jean-Paul Décamps & Thomas Mariotti & Stéphane Villeneuve, 2006. "Irreversible investment in alternative projects," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 28(2), pages 425-448, June.
    17. Jeon, Haejun, 2021. "Investment and financing decisions in the presence of time-to-build," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(3), pages 1068-1084.
    18. Delaney, Laura, 2022. "The impact of operational delay on irreversible investment under Knightian uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    19. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tran, Vuong Thao & Nguyen, Dat Thanh, 2019. "Crude oil price uncertainty and corporate investment: New global evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 54-65.
    20. Aytekin GÜVEN & Arzu AKKOYUNLU-WIGLEY, 2018. "The Effects of Market Structure on Uncertainty-Investment Relationship: Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Industry," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 26(37).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Time-to-build; Investment lags; Regulation; Capacity; Real options;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D25 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice: Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:96:y:2024:i:pb:s1057521924006732. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620166 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.