IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v85y2015icp329-338.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The future of energy in Uzbekistan

Author

Listed:
  • Gómez, Antonio
  • Dopazo, César
  • Fueyo, Norberto

Abstract

The Central Asia republic of Uzbekistan is well endowed with energy resources, yet its energy system presents some critical problems in terms of sustainability, security and affordability. Uzbekistan is the most populated country in the region, and therefore population growth, economic development and urbanization are likely to further strain the system in the future. We study some possible pathways for the Uzbek energy sector until 2040. We do so by creating a detailed model of the Uzbek energy system, and analyzing quantitatively the differential effect of determined policies (as compared to Business As Usual ones) in the transformation of the energy demand and supply sides. We find that, even in a scenario of moderate economic growth, energy sector modernization can reduce the cumulative primary energy consumption by 447 Mtoe (10.2 times the primary energy consumption of Uzbekistan in 2010) and CO2 emissions by 1155 Mt (10.5 times the current annual CO2 emissions). To achieve these savings, we estimate the required investment in the power and heat sectors at 2010$33.6 billion, or 1.5% of the country cumulative GDP (gross domestic product) between 2010 and 2040; despite these additional investment needs, we conclude that the affordability of energy to households is preserved or improved.

Suggested Citation

  • Gómez, Antonio & Dopazo, César & Fueyo, Norberto, 2015. "The future of energy in Uzbekistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 329-338.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:85:y:2015:i:c:p:329-338
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.03.073
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544215003825
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2015.03.073?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ruzzenenti, F. & Basosi, R., 2009. "Evaluation of the energy efficiency evolution in the European road freight transport sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 4079-4085, October.
    2. Dorian, James P., 2006. "Central Asia: A major emerging energy player in the 21st century," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 544-555, March.
    3. Tao, Jing & Yu, Suiran, 2011. "Implementation of energy efficiency standards of household refrigerator/freezer in China: Potential environmental and economic impacts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(5), pages 1890-1905, May.
    4. Lopes Ferreira, H. & Costescu, A. & L'Abbate, A. & Minnebo, P. & Fulli, G., 2011. "Distributed generation and distribution market diversity in Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5561-5571, September.
    5. Kenisarin, Murat & Kenisarina, Kamola, 2007. "Energy saving potential in the residential sector of Uzbekistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1319-1325.
    6. Aman, M.M. & Jasmon, G.B. & Mokhlis, H. & Bakar, A.H.A., 2013. "Analysis of the performance of domestic lighting lamps," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 482-500.
    7. Hepbasli, Arif & Utlu, Zafer & Akdeniz, R. Cengiz, 2007. "Energetic and exergetic aspects of cotton stalk production in establishing energy policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 3015-3024, May.
    8. Anozie, A.N. & Bakare, A.R. & Sonibare, J.A. & Oyebisi, T.O., 2007. "Evaluation of cooking energy cost, efficiency, impact on air pollution and policy in Nigeria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 1283-1290.
    9. Roinioti, Argiro & Koroneos, Christopher & Wangensteen, Ivar, 2012. "Modeling the Greek energy system: Scenarios of clean energy use and their implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 711-722.
    10. Dorian, James P. & Abbasovich, Utkur Tojiev & Tonkopy, Mikhail S. & Jumabekovich, Obozov Alaibek & Daxiong, Qiu, 1999. "Energy in central Asia and northwest China: major trends and opportunities for regional cooperation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 281-297, May.
    11. Weiss, Martin & Dittmar, Lars & Junginger, Martin & Patel, Martin K. & Blok, Kornelis, 2009. "Market diffusion, technological learning, and cost-benefit dynamics of condensing gas boilers in the Netherlands," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 2962-2976, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jean Gaston Tamba & Salom Ndjakomo Essiane & Emmanuel Flavian Sapnken & Francis Djanna Koffi & Jean Luc Nsouand l & Bozidar Soldo & Donatien Njomo, 2018. "Forecasting Natural Gas: A Literature Survey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 216-249.
    2. Ahunov, Muzaffarjon & Kakhkharov, Jakhongir & Mozumder, Pallab, 2022. "Income and household energy consumption in a transition economy: The case of Uzbekistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    3. Kong, Zhaoyang & Lu, Xi & Jiang, Qingzhe & Dong, Xiucheng & Liu, Guixian & Elbot, Noah & Zhang, Zhonghua & Chen, Shi, 2019. "Assessment of import risks for natural gas and its implication for optimal importing strategies: A case study of China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 11-18.
    4. Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Sung, Jinsok & Talipova, Amina & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2022. "Analyzing energy trade policy in Central Asia using the intercountry trade force approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 441-454.
    5. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Aktamov Asomiddin, 2022. "Energy-Use Inefficiency and Policy Governance in Central Asian Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-15, February.
    6. Otrachshenko, Vladimir & Hartwell, Christopher A. & Popova, Olga, 2023. "Energy efficiency, market competition, and quality certification: Lessons from Central Asia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    7. Yuliia Matiiuk & Mykolas Simas Poškus & Genovaitė Liobikienė, 2020. "The Implementation of Climate Change Policy in Post-Soviet Countries Achieving Long-Term Targets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-24, June.
    8. Li, Ke & Lin, Boqiang, 2015. "Impacts of urbanization and industrialization on energy consumption/CO2 emissions: Does the level of development matter?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1107-1122.
    9. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2022. "Energy use inefficiency and policy governance: the case of Central Asian countries," MPRA Paper 111932, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Gómez, Antonio & Dopazo, César & Fueyo, Norberto, 2016. "The “cost of not doing” energy planning: The Spanish energy bubble," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 434-446.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gómez, Antonio & Dopazo, César & Fueyo, Norberto, 2014. "The causes of the high energy intensity of the Kazakh economy: A characterization of its energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 556-568.
    2. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Aktamov Asomiddin, 2022. "Energy-Use Inefficiency and Policy Governance in Central Asian Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-15, February.
    3. Junxia, Liu, 2019. "Investments in the energy sector of Central Asia: Corruption risk and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Tavana, Madjid & Pirdashti, Mohsen & Kennedy, Dennis T. & Belaud, Jean-Pierre & Behzadian, Majid, 2012. "A hybrid Delphi-SWOT paradigm for oil and gas pipeline strategic planning in Caspian Sea basin," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 345-360.
    5. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2022. "Energy use inefficiency and policy governance: the case of Central Asian countries," MPRA Paper 111932, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Sung, Jinsok & Talipova, Amina & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2022. "Analyzing energy trade policy in Central Asia using the intercountry trade force approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 441-454.
    7. Drosou, Vassiliki & Kosmopoulos, Panos & Papadopoulos, Agis, 2016. "Solar cooling system using concentrating collectors for office buildings: A case study for Greece," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 697-708.
    8. Azcarate, I. & Gutierrez, J.J. & Lazkano, A. & Saiz, P. & Redondo, K. & Leturiondo, L.A., 2016. "Towards limiting the sensitivity of energy-efficient lighting to voltage fluctuations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1384-1395.
    9. repec:hal:gemwpa:hal-00991732 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Zhao, Xiaoli & Li, Na & Ma, Chunbo, 2012. "Residential energy consumption in urban China: A decomposition analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 644-653.
    11. Pérez-Martínez, P.J. & Vassallo-Magro, J.M., 2013. "Changes in the external costs of freight surface transport In Spain," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 61-76.
    12. Chitnis, Dipti & Thejo kalyani, N. & Swart, H.C. & Dhoble, S.J., 2016. "Escalating opportunities in the field of lighting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 727-748.
    13. Matej Tazky & Michal Regula & Alena Otcenasova, 2021. "Impact of Changes in a Distribution Network Nature on the Capacitive Reactive Power Flow into the Transmission Network in Slovakia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-16, August.
    14. Hong, Gui-Bing & Ma, Chih-Ming & Chen, Hua-Wei & Chuang, Kai-Jen & Chang, Chang-Tang & Su, Te-Li, 2011. "Energy flow analysis in pulp and paper industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 3063-3068.
    15. Liu, Yang & Wang, Jianda & Dong, Kangyin & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "How does natural resource abundance affect green total factor productivity in the era of green finance? Global evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    16. Giwa, Adewale & Alabi, Adetunji & Yusuf, Ahmed & Olukan, Tuza, 2017. "A comprehensive review on biomass and solar energy for sustainable energy generation in Nigeria," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 620-641.
    17. Tobias Rösch & Peter Treffinger & Barbara Koch, 2020. "Remuneration of Distribution Grids for Enhanced Regenerative Electricity Deployment—An Analysis and Model for the Analysis of Grid Structures in Southern Germany Using Linear Programming," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-26, October.
    18. Bahtiyor R. ESHCHANOV & Mona Grinwis Plaat STULTJES & Ruzumboy A. ESHCHANOV & Sanaatbek K. SALAEV, 2011. "People’s Perceptions on Renewable Energy Sources Penetration Prospects in the Khorezm Province, Uzbekistan," Journal of Knowledge Management, Economics and Information Technology, ScientificPapers.org, vol. 1(7), pages 1-26, December.
    19. Chiarucci, Riccardo & Ruzzenenti, Franco & Loffredo, Maria I., 2014. "Detecting spatial homogeneity in the World Trade Web with Detrended Fluctuation Analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 401(C), pages 1-7.
    20. Szoplik, Jolanta, 2015. "Forecasting of natural gas consumption with artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 208-220.
    21. Marina Tsygankova, 2008. "Netback pricing as a remedy for the Russian gas deficit," Discussion Papers 554, Statistics Norway, Research Department.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:85:y:2015:i:c:p:329-338. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.