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Multimodal Transport System Coevolution Model Based on Synergetic Theory

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  • Fenling Feng
  • Qingya Zhang

Abstract

This study investigates multimodal transport system evolution law with the consideration of synergetic theory. Compared with previous studies, this paper focuses on understanding influencing factors of system collaborative development. In particular, we have applied a multimodal system order parameter model to obtain the order parameter. Based on order parameters, the coevolution equations of the multimodal transport system are constructed with consideration of cooperation and competitive relationship between the subsystems. We set out the multimodal system followed the coevolution law of the freight system and dominated by the combined effects of order parameter line length and freight density. The results show that the coordination effects between railway, road, and water subsystems are stronger than aviation subsystem; the railway system is the short plank of the system. Some functional implications from this study are also discussed. Finally the results indicate that expansion of railway system capacity and mutual cooperation within the subsystems are required to reach an optimal multimodal transport system.

Suggested Citation

  • Fenling Feng & Qingya Zhang, 2015. "Multimodal Transport System Coevolution Model Based on Synergetic Theory," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2015, pages 1-10, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnddns:108926
    DOI: 10.1155/2015/108926
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ruzzenenti, F. & Basosi, R., 2009. "Evaluation of the energy efficiency evolution in the European road freight transport sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 4079-4085, October.
    2. Bock, Stefan, 2010. "Real-time control of freight forwarder transportation networks by integrating multimodal transport chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 200(3), pages 733-746, February.
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