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Research on vehicle speed prediction model based on traffic flow information fusion

Author

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  • Hu, Zhiyuan
  • Yang, Rui
  • Fang, Liang
  • Wang, Zhuo
  • Zhao, Yinghua

Abstract

Resource scarcity, global climate change and environmental pollution are increasingly constraining the development of the automotive industry. China proposes to reach the carbon peak by 2030; to reach the carbon neutral double carbon target by 2060 and gradually promote a green and low-carbon transition in energy development. The development of new energy vehicles is an important approach for China to realize its energy structure transformation in the automobile industry. HEV, as a transitional product of automobile energy transformation, has the advantages of both internal combustion engine vehicles and electric vehicles, which can improve the fuel efficiency and the emission problem of internal combustion engine vehicles and the range is longer compared to electric vehicles. One of the important aspects of HEV research is the design of whole vehicle energy management strategy based on the model predictions. Particularly, model-based predictive control is one of the mainstream energy management strategies nowadays, and its optimization effect is mainly subject to the model prediction accuracy. In this study, we constructed the ITS environment of a local roadway through simulation, compared the speed prediction effects of different speed prediction methods in different prediction time domains, and fused the historical information of vehicles (speed of the vehicle in front, distance, signal status, distance, and remaining time). It is found that N-BEATS is more effective in predicting vehicle speed in different prediction time domains, and the prediction accuracy of the speed prediction model is effectively improved after its fusion of multivariate information.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Zhiyuan & Yang, Rui & Fang, Liang & Wang, Zhuo & Zhao, Yinghua, 2024. "Research on vehicle speed prediction model based on traffic flow information fusion," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:292:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224001877
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.130416
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    References listed on IDEAS

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