IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v189y2019ics0360544219318882.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Study on refined control and prediction model of district heating station based on support vector machine

Author

Listed:
  • Yuan, Jianjuan
  • Wang, Chendong
  • Zhou, Zhihua

Abstract

The realization of refined management in the heating station can not only meet the comfortable indoor, but also improve the energy efficiency, reduce the heating consumption, and alleviate air pollution. Previous studies ignored the indoor temperature and building thermal inertia (BC), as a result, the prediction models of secondary supply temperature have poor energy saving and thermal comfort. This paper adopts the support vector machine to compare and analyze the influence when adding BC and indoor temperature as input parameters. The results show that with temperature automatic monitor indoor, and when Tout, Tin, Th are taken as input parameters, the maximum error between the actual and predicted is 3% with BC, and 4% without. When there is no temperature monitor indoor and only Tout, Th are taken as input parameters, the BC can be calculated by manual indoor temperature measurement, and the maximum error between the actual and predicted is 3.5% when considering BC, and 4.75% without. To validate the universality of this proposed model, four models are applied to the heat stations in different cities, their performance all show that the BC and indoor temperature has a great impact on the accuracy of predict models, and BC has the greater.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuan, Jianjuan & Wang, Chendong & Zhou, Zhihua, 2019. "Study on refined control and prediction model of district heating station based on support vector machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:189:y:2019:i:c:s0360544219318882
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2019.116193
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544219318882
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2019.116193?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gu, Jihao & Wang, Jin & Qi, Chengying & Min, Chunhua & Sundén, Bengt, 2018. "Medium-term heat load prediction for an existing residential building based on a wireless on-off control system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 709-718.
    2. Gustafsson, Jonas & Delsing, Jerker & van Deventer, Jan, 2010. "Improved district heating substation efficiency with a new control strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(6), pages 1996-2004, June.
    3. Herui Cui & Pengbang Wei & Yupei Mu & Xu Peng, 2016. "SARIMA-Orthogonal Polynomial Curve Fitting Model for Medium-Term Load Forecasting," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2016, pages 1-9, October.
    4. Zheng, Xinye & Wei, Chu & Qin, Ping & Guo, Jin & Yu, Yihua & Song, Feng & Chen, Zhanming, 2014. "Characteristics of residential energy consumption in China: Findings from a household survey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 126-135.
    5. Suryanarayana, Gowri & Lago, Jesus & Geysen, Davy & Aleksiejuk, Piotr & Johansson, Christian, 2018. "Thermal load forecasting in district heating networks using deep learning and advanced feature selection methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 141-149.
    6. Dahl, Magnus & Brun, Adam & Andresen, Gorm B., 2017. "Using ensemble weather predictions in district heating operation and load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 455-465.
    7. Zhang, Lipeng & Gudmundsson, Oddgeir & Thorsen, Jan Eric & Li, Hongwei & Li, Xiaopeng & Svendsen, Svend, 2016. "Method for reducing excess heat supply experienced in typical Chinese district heating systems by achieving hydraulic balance and improving indoor air temperature control at the building level," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 431-442.
    8. Kusiak, Andrew & Li, Mingyang & Zhang, Zijun, 2010. "A data-driven approach for steam load prediction in buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 925-933, March.
    9. Protić, Milan & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Anisi, Mohammad Hossein & Petković, Dalibor & Mitić, Dragan & Raos, Miomir & Arif, Muhammad & Alam, Khubaib Amjad, 2015. "Appraisal of soft computing methods for short term consumers' heat load prediction in district heating systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 697-704.
    10. Petersen, Steffen & Svendsen, Svend, 2011. "Method for simulating predictive control of building systems operation in the early stages of building design," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(12), pages 4597-4606.
    11. Holmgren, Kristina, 2006. "Role of a district-heating network as a user of waste-heat supply from various sources - the case of Göteborg," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(12), pages 1351-1367, December.
    12. Lund, Henrik & Werner, Sven & Wiltshire, Robin & Svendsen, Svend & Thorsen, Jan Eric & Hvelplund, Frede & Mathiesen, Brian Vad, 2014. "4th Generation District Heating (4GDH)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-11.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Yunfei & Zhou, Zhihua & Du, Yahui & Shen, Jun & Li, Zhenxing & Yuan, Jianjuan, 2023. "A data transfer method based on one dimensional convolutional neural network for cross-building load prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    2. Zhang, Yunfei & Zhou, Zhihua & Liu, Junwei & Yuan, Jianjuan, 2022. "Data augmentation for improving heating load prediction of heating substation based on TimeGAN," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    3. Salman Khalid & Hyunho Hwang & Heung Soo Kim, 2021. "Real-World Data-Driven Machine-Learning-Based Optimal Sensor Selection Approach for Equipment Fault Detection in a Thermal Power Plant," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(21), pages 1-27, November.
    4. Liu, Zhikai & Zhang, Huan & Wang, Yaran & You, Shijun & Dai, Ting & Jiang, Yan, 2024. "Evaluation of the controllability of multi-family building with radiator heating systems: A frequency domain approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    5. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Wang, Chendong & Lu, Shilei & Zhou, Zhihua, 2022. "Evaluation of the operation data for improving the prediction accuracy of heating parameters in heating substation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    6. Wang, Chendong & Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhang, Ji & Deng, Na & Zhou, Zhihua & Gao, Feng, 2020. "Multi-criteria comprehensive study on predictive algorithm of heating energy consumption of district heating station based on timeseries processing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    7. Liu, Zhikai & Zhang, Huang & Wang, Yaran & Fan, Xianwang & You, Shijun & Li, Ang, 2023. "Data-driven predictive model for feedback control of supply temperature in buildings with radiator heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    8. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Lu, Shilei & Zhang, Ji & Han, Zhao & Zhou, Zhihua, 2022. "Analysis of influencing factors on heat consumption of large residential buildings with different occupancy rates-Tianjin case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    9. Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhou, Zhihua & Tang, Huajie & Wang, Chendong & Lu, Shilei & Han, Zhao & Zhang, Ji & Sheng, Ying, 2020. "Identification heat user behavior for improving the accuracy of heating load prediction model based on wireless on-off control system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    10. Sun, Chunhua & Liu, Yanan & Gao, Xiaoyu & Wang, Jinda & Yang, Lan & Qi, Chengyong, 2022. "Research on control strategy integrated with characteristics of user's energy-saving behavior of district heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    11. Wang, Yanmin & Li, Zhiwei & Liu, Junjie & Pei, Mingzhe & Zhao, Yan & Lu, Xuan, 2023. "Data-driven analysis and prediction of indoor characteristic temperature in district heating systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    12. Sun, Chunhua & Liu, Yiting & Cao, Shanshan & Chen, Jiali & Xia, Guoqiang & Wu, Xiangdong, 2022. "Identification of control regularity of heating stations based on cross-correlation function dynamic time delay method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    13. Parsa, Navid & Bahmani-Firouzi, Bahman & Niknam, Taher, 2021. "A social-economic-technical framework for reinforcing the automated distribution systems considering optimal switching and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    14. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Zhou, Zhihua & Lu, Shilei, 2021. "A new feedback predictive model for improving the operation efficiency of heating station based on indoor temperature," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    15. Zhong, Wei & Feng, Encheng & Lin, Xiaojie & Xie, Jinfang, 2022. "Research on data-driven operation control of secondary loop of district heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    16. Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhou, Zhihua & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Wang, Chendong & Lu, Shilei, 2021. "Analysis and evaluation of the operation data for achieving an on-demand heating consumption prediction model of district heating substation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    17. Chendong Wang & Lihong Zheng & Jianjuan Yuan & Ke Huang & Zhihua Zhou, 2022. "Building Heat Demand Prediction Based on Reinforcement Learning for Thermal Comfort Management," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-20, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhou, Zhihua & Tang, Huajie & Wang, Chendong & Lu, Shilei & Han, Zhao & Zhang, Ji & Sheng, Ying, 2020. "Identification heat user behavior for improving the accuracy of heating load prediction model based on wireless on-off control system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    2. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Wang, Chendong & Lu, Shilei & Zhou, Zhihua, 2022. "Evaluation of the operation data for improving the prediction accuracy of heating parameters in heating substation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    3. Sun, Chunhua & Liu, Yanan & Gao, Xiaoyu & Wang, Jinda & Yang, Lan & Qi, Chengyong, 2022. "Research on control strategy integrated with characteristics of user's energy-saving behavior of district heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    4. Xue, Puning & Jiang, Yi & Zhou, Zhigang & Chen, Xin & Fang, Xiumu & Liu, Jing, 2019. "Multi-step ahead forecasting of heat load in district heating systems using machine learning algorithms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    5. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Zhou, Zhihua & Lu, Shilei, 2021. "A new feedback predictive model for improving the operation efficiency of heating station based on indoor temperature," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    6. Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhou, Zhihua & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Wang, Chendong & Lu, Shilei, 2021. "Analysis and evaluation of the operation data for achieving an on-demand heating consumption prediction model of district heating substation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    7. Mengting Jiang & Camilo Rindt & David M. J. Smeulders, 2022. "Optimal Planning of Future District Heating Systems—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-38, September.
    8. Mengyao Lu & Guitao Xu & Jianjuan Yuan, 2023. "Installation Principle and Calculation Model of the Representative Indoor Temperature-Monitoring Points in Large-Scale Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-19, September.
    9. Vogler–Finck, P.J.C. & Bacher, P. & Madsen, H., 2017. "Online short-term forecast of greenhouse heat load using a weather forecast service," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 1298-1310.
    10. Jie, Pengfei & Kong, Xiangfei & Rong, Xian & Xie, Shangqun, 2016. "Selecting the optimum pressure drop per unit length of district heating piping network based on operating strategies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 341-353.
    11. Ashfaq, Asad & Ianakiev, Anton, 2018. "Investigation of hydraulic imbalance for converting existing boiler based buildings to low temperature district heating," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 200-212.
    12. Huang, Ke & Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhou, Zhihua & Zheng, Xuejing, 2022. "Analysis and evaluation of heat source data of large-scale heating system based on descriptive data mining techniques," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    13. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Lu, Shilei & Zhang, Ji & Han, Zhao & Zhou, Zhihua, 2022. "Analysis of influencing factors on heat consumption of large residential buildings with different occupancy rates-Tianjin case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    14. Binglin Li & Yong Shao & Yufeng Lian & Pai Li & Qiang Lei, 2023. "Bayesian Optimization-Based LSTM for Short-Term Heating Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-14, August.
    15. Kurek, Teresa & Bielecki, Artur & Świrski, Konrad & Wojdan, Konrad & Guzek, Michał & Białek, Jakub & Brzozowski, Rafał & Serafin, Rafał, 2021. "Heat demand forecasting algorithm for a Warsaw district heating network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    16. Wang, Chendong & Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhang, Ji & Deng, Na & Zhou, Zhihua & Gao, Feng, 2020. "Multi-criteria comprehensive study on predictive algorithm of heating energy consumption of district heating station based on timeseries processing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    17. Wang, Yanmin & Li, Zhiwei & Liu, Junjie & Pei, Mingzhe & Zhao, Yan & Lu, Xuan, 2023. "Data-driven analysis and prediction of indoor characteristic temperature in district heating systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    18. Guelpa, Elisa & Bischi, Aldo & Verda, Vittorio & Chertkov, Michael & Lund, Henrik, 2019. "Towards future infrastructures for sustainable multi-energy systems: A review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 2-21.
    19. Magnus Dahl & Adam Brun & Oliver S. Kirsebom & Gorm B. Andresen, 2018. "Improving Short-Term Heat Load Forecasts with Calendar and Holiday Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-16, June.
    20. Volkova, Anna & Krupenski, Igor & Ledvanov, Aleksandr & Hlebnikov, Aleksandr & Lepiksaar, Kertu & Latõšov, Eduard & Mašatin, Vladislav, 2020. "Energy cascade connection of a low-temperature district heating network to the return line of a high-temperature district heating network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:189:y:2019:i:c:s0360544219318882. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.