IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v139y2017icp947-961.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The development of China's biomass power industry under feed-in tariff and renewable portfolio standard: A system dynamics analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Yu-zhuo, Zhang
  • Xin-gang, Zhao
  • Ling-zhi, Ren
  • Ji, Liang
  • Ping-kuo, Liu

Abstract

Among the regulatory policies, feed-in tariffs (FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) are the most popular to promote the development of renewable energy power industry. This paper uses system dynamics (SD) to establish models of long-term development of China's biomass power industry under FIT and RPS schemes, and provides a case study by using scenario analysis method. The model, on the one hand, not only clearly shows the complex logical relationship between the factors but also reveals the process of coordination between the two policy tools in the development of the industry. On the other hand, it provides a reference for scholars to study similar problems in different countries, thereby facilitating an understanding of biomass power's long-term sustainable development pattern under FIT and RPS schemes, and helping to provide references for policy-making institutions. The results show that in the perfect competitive market, the implementation of RPS can promote long-term and rapid development of China's biomass power industry given the constraints and actions of the mechanisms of RPS quota proportion, the TGC valid period, and fines, compared with FIT. At the end of the paper, policy implications are offered as references for the government.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu-zhuo, Zhang & Xin-gang, Zhao & Ling-zhi, Ren & Ji, Liang & Ping-kuo, Liu, 2017. "The development of China's biomass power industry under feed-in tariff and renewable portfolio standard: A system dynamics analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 947-961.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:139:y:2017:i:c:p:947-961
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.08.020
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544217313968
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2017.08.020?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ming, Zeng & Kun, Zhang & Jun, Dong, 2013. "Overall review of China's wind power industry: Status quo, existing problems and perspective for future development," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 379-386.
    2. Currier, Kevin M., 2013. "A regulatory adjustment process for the determination of the optimal percentage requirement in an electricity market with Tradable Green Certificates," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1053-1057.
    3. Ford, Andrew & Vogstad, Klaus & Flynn, Hilary, 2007. "Simulating price patterns for tradable green certificates to promote electricity generation from wind," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 91-111, January.
    4. Barlas, Yaman, 1989. "Multiple tests for validation of system dynamics type of simulation models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 59-87, September.
    5. Lin, Boqiang & He, Jiaxin, 2017. "Is biomass power a good choice for governments in China?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1218-1230.
    6. Farooq, Muhammad Khalid & Kumar, S. & Shrestha, Ram M., 2013. "Energy, environmental and economic effects of Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) in a Developing Country," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 989-1001.
    7. Guo, Xiaodan & Guo, Xiaopeng, 2015. "China's photovoltaic power development under policy incentives: A system dynamics analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P1), pages 589-598.
    8. Sun, Peng & Nie, Pu-yan, 2015. "A comparative study of feed-in tariff and renewable portfolio standard policy in renewable energy industry," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 255-262.
    9. Dong, C.G., 2012. "Feed-in tariff vs. renewable portfolio standard: An empirical test of their relative effectiveness in promoting wind capacity development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 476-485.
    10. Zhang, M.M. & Zhou, D.Q. & Zhou, P. & Liu, G.Q., 2016. "Optimal feed-in tariff for solar photovoltaic power generation in China: A real options analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 181-192.
    11. Ponzo, Ricardo & Dyner, Isaac & Arango, Santiago & Larsen, Erik R., 2011. "Regulation and development of the Argentinean gas market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1070-1079, March.
    12. Zhao, Zhen-Yu & Zuo, Jian & Wu, Pan-Hao & Yan, Hong & Zillante, George, 2016. "Competitiveness assessment of the biomass power generation industry in China: A five forces model study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 144-153.
    13. Gao, Cuixia & Sun, Mei & Shen, Bo & Li, Ranran & Tian, Lixin, 2014. "Optimization of China's energy structure based on portfolio theory," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 890-897.
    14. Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan, 2014. "Green power in Ontario: A dynamic model-based analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 859-870.
    15. Wang, Changbo & Zhang, Lixiao & Chang, Yuan & Pang, Mingyue, 2015. "Biomass direct-fired power generation system in China: An integrated energy, GHG emissions, and economic evaluation for Salix," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 155-165.
    16. Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan & Seong, Baek Seo, 2010. "How to do structural validity of a system dynamics type simulation model: The case of an energy policy model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 2216-2224, May.
    17. Y Olaya & I Dyner, 2005. "Modelling for policy assessment in the natural gas industry," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(10), pages 1122-1131, October.
    18. Tamás, Mészáros Mátyás & Bade Shrestha, S.O. & Zhou, Huizhong, 2010. "Feed-in tariff and tradable green certificate in oligopoly," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 4040-4047, August.
    19. Ritzenhofen, Ingmar & Birge, John R. & Spinler, Stefan, 2016. "The structural impact of renewable portfolio standards and feed-in tariffs on electricity markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 255(1), pages 224-242.
    20. Lin, Boqiang & He, Jiaxin, 2016. "Learning curves for harnessing biomass power: What could explain the reduction of its cost during the expansion of China?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 280-288.
    21. Bianco, Vincenzo & Manca, Oronzio & Nardini, Sergio, 2009. "Electricity consumption forecasting in Italy using linear regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(9), pages 1413-1421.
    22. Ochoa, Patricia, 2007. "Policy changes in the Swiss electricity market: Analysis of likely market responses," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 336-349, December.
    23. Lund, P.D., 2009. "Effects of energy policies on industry expansion in renewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 53-64.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lei, Xu & Xin-gang, Zhao, 2023. "The synergistic effect between Renewable Portfolio Standards and carbon emission trading system: A perspective of China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 1010-1023.
    2. Setiawan, Andri D. & Dewi, Marmelia P. & Jafino, Bramka Arga & Hidayatno, Akhmad, 2022. "Evaluating feed-in tariff policies on enhancing geothermal development in Indonesia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    3. Yi, Zuo & Xin-gang, Zhao & Xin, Meng & Yu-zhuo, Zhang, 2020. "Research on tradable green certificate benchmark price and technical conversion coefficient: Bargaining-based cooperative trading," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    4. Yao, Yunting & Gao, Ciwei & Tian, Hongjie & Zhang, Huiling, 2020. "Review of mid-to long-term trading mechanism for renewable electricity consumption in Ningxia, China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    5. Ying, Zhou & Xin-gang, Zhao & Xue-feng, Jia & Zhen, Wang, 2021. "Can the Renewable Portfolio Standards improve social welfare in China's electricity market？," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    6. Safarzadeh, Soroush & Rasti-Barzoki, Morteza, 2019. "A game theoretic approach for pricing policies in a duopolistic supply chain considering energy productivity, industrial rebound effect, and government policies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 92-105.
    7. Li, Yanan & Lin, Jun & Qian, Yanjun & Li, Dehong, 2023. "Feed-in tariff policy for biomass power generation: Incorporating the feedstock acquisition process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1113-1132.
    8. He, Jiaxin & Liu, Ying & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Should China support the development of biomass power generation?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 416-425.
    9. Li, Wei & Lu, Can & Zhang, Yan-Wu, 2019. "Prospective exploration of future renewable portfolio standard schemes in China via a multi-sector CGE model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 45-56.
    10. Dong, Zhuojia & Yu, Xianyu & Chang, Ching-Ter & Zhou, Dequn & Sang, Xiuzhi, 2022. "How does feed-in tariff and renewable portfolio standard evolve synergistically? An integrated approach of tripartite evolutionary game and system dynamics," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 864-877.
    11. Xin-gang, Zhao & Pei-ling, Li & Ying, Zhou, 2020. "Which policy can promote renewable energy to achieve grid parity? Feed-in tariff vs. renewable portfolio standards," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 322-333.
    12. Xin-gang, Zhao & Wei, Wang & Ling, Wu, 2021. "A dynamic analysis of research and development incentive on China's photovoltaic industry based on system dynamics model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    13. Zhao Xin-gang & Wang Wei & Hu Shuran & Liu Xuan, 2023. "Impacts of Government Policies on the Adoption of Biomass Power: A System Dynamic Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-11, January.
    14. Song, Xiao-hua & Han, Jing-jing & Zhang, Lu & Zhao, Cai-ping & Wang, Peng & Liu, Xiao-yan & Li, Qiao-chu, 2021. "Impacts of renewable portfolio standards on multi-market coupling trading of renewable energy in China: A scenario-based system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    15. Ramos-Hernández, Rocío & Sánchez-Ramírez, Cuauhtémoc & Mota-López, Dulce Rocio & Sandoval-Salas, Fabiola & García-Alcaraz, Jorge Luis, 2021. "Evaluation of bioenergy potential from coffee pulp trough System Dynamics," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 863-877.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuzhuo Zhang & Xingang Zhao & Yi Zuo & Lingzhi Ren & Ling Wang, 2017. "The Development of the Renewable Energy Power Industry under Feed-In Tariff and Renewable Portfolio Standard: A Case Study of China’s Photovoltaic Power Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-23, March.
    2. Zhang, Libo & Chen, Changqi & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn, 2021. "The impact of feed-in tariff reduction and renewable portfolio standard on the development of distributed photovoltaic generation in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    3. Ying, Zhou & Xin-gang, Zhao & Zhen, Wang, 2020. "Demand side incentive under renewable portfolio standards: A system dynamics analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    4. Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan, 2014. "Green power in Ontario: A dynamic model-based analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 859-870.
    5. Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan, 2015. "Independent power (or pollution) producers? Electricity reforms and IPPs in Pakistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 240-251.
    6. Abada, Ibrahim & Briat, Vincent & Massol, Olivier, 2013. "Construction of a fuel demand function portraying interfuel substitution, a system dynamics approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 240-251.
    7. Yi Zuo & Ying-ling Shi & Yu-zhuo Zhang, 2017. "Research on the Sustainable Development of an Economic-Energy-Environment (3E) System Based on System Dynamics (SD): A Case Study of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-23, September.
    8. Yu, Xianyu & Ge, Shengxian & Zhou, Dequn & Wang, Qunwei & Chang, Ching-Ter & Sang, Xiuzhi, 2022. "Whether feed-in tariff can be effectively replaced or not? An integrated analysis of renewable portfolio standards and green certificate trading," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    9. Ying, Zhou & Xin-gang, Zhao & Xue-feng, Jia & Zhen, Wang, 2021. "Can the Renewable Portfolio Standards improve social welfare in China's electricity market？," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    10. Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan, 2017. "How to enhance the future use of energy policy simulation models through ex post validation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 58-66.
    11. Ye, Rui-Ke & Gao, Zhuang-Fei & Fang, Kai & Liu, Kang-Li & Chen, Jia-Wei, 2021. "Moving from subsidy stimulation to endogenous development: A system dynamics analysis of China's NEVs in the post-subsidy era," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    12. Choi, Gobong & Huh, Sung-Yoon & Heo, Eunnyeong & Lee, Chul-Yong, 2018. "Prices versus quantities: Comparing economic efficiency of feed-in tariff and renewable portfolio standard in promoting renewable electricity generation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 239-248.
    13. Xin-gang Zhao & Yu-zhuo Zhang & Yan-bin Li, 2018. "The Evolution of Renewable Energy Price Policies Based on Improved Bass Model: A System Dynamics (SD) Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, May.
    14. Armin Leopold, 2016. "Energy related system dynamic models: a literature review," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 24(1), pages 231-261, March.
    15. Fang, Debin & Zhao, Chaoyang & Kleit, Andrew N., 2019. "The impact of the under enforcement of RPS in China: An evolutionary approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    16. Yanming Sun & Lin Zhang, 2019. "Full Separation or Full Integration? An Investigation of the Optimal Renewables Policy Employing Tradable Green Certificate Systems in Two Countries’ Electricity Markets," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-17, December.
    17. Karakosta, Ourania & Petropoulou, Dimitra, 2022. "The EU electricity market: Renewables targets, Tradable Green Certificates and electricity trade," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    18. Dianat, Fateme & Khodakarami, Vahid & Hosseini, Seyed-Hossein & Shakouri G, Hamed, 2022. "Combining game theory concepts and system dynamics for evaluating renewable electricity development in fossil-fuel-rich countries in the Middle East and North Africa," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 805-821.
    19. Lee, Chul-Yong & Huh, Sung-Yoon, 2017. "Forecasting the diffusion of renewable electricity considering the impact of policy and oil prices: The case of South Korea," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 29-39.
    20. Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan, 2013. "Understanding the dynamics of electricity generation capacity in Canada: A system dynamics approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 285-294.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:139:y:2017:i:c:p:947-961. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.