IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v233y2021ics036054422101389x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A dynamic analysis of research and development incentive on China's photovoltaic industry based on system dynamics model

Author

Listed:
  • Xin-gang, Zhao
  • Wei, Wang
  • Ling, Wu

Abstract

Government policies and investments in the photovoltaic power generation industry have contributed to the fast development of the photovoltaic power generation industry through technology push. But how does the research and development (R&D) investment affect the photovoltaic power generation industry, and what is its effect? This is a problem worthy of discussion. In order to answer this question scientifically, this paper constructs a system dynamics model to study the impact of R&D investment on China's photovoltaic power generation industry and analyzes the impact of other incentive policies such as Feed-in Tariff (FIT) on the photovoltaic industry. The results show that: firstly, R&D investment and FIT are conducive to the technological innovation of China's photovoltaic power generation industry. Secondly, a higher level of R&D investment can induce more cost reduction of photovoltaic power industry. Finally, the effect of FIT in promoting the growth of installed capacity of the photovoltaic power generation industry is more obvious.

Suggested Citation

  • Xin-gang, Zhao & Wei, Wang & Ling, Wu, 2021. "A dynamic analysis of research and development incentive on China's photovoltaic industry based on system dynamics model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:233:y:2021:i:c:s036054422101389x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121141
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S036054422101389X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121141?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Esmaieli, M. & Ahmadian, M., 2018. "The effect of research and development incentive on wind power investment, a system dynamics approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 765-773.
    2. Huang, Ping & Negro, Simona O. & Hekkert, Marko P. & Bi, Kexin, 2016. "How China became a leader in solar PV: An innovation system analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 777-789.
    3. Nick Johnstone & Ivan Haščič & David Popp, 2010. "Renewable Energy Policies and Technological Innovation: Evidence Based on Patent Counts," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 45(1), pages 133-155, January.
    4. He, Yongxiu & Pang, Yuexia & Li, Xinmin & Zhang, Minhui, 2018. "Dynamic subsidy model of photovoltaic distributed generation in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 555-564.
    5. Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan & Seong, Baek Seo, 2010. "How to do structural validity of a system dynamics type simulation model: The case of an energy policy model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 2216-2224, May.
    6. Yu-zhuo, Zhang & Xin-gang, Zhao & Ling-zhi, Ren & Ji, Liang & Ping-kuo, Liu, 2017. "The development of China's biomass power industry under feed-in tariff and renewable portfolio standard: A system dynamics analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 947-961.
    7. Sun, Honghang & Zhi, Qiang & Wang, Yibo & Yao, Qiang & Su, Jun, 2014. "China’s solar photovoltaic industry development: The status quo, problems and approaches," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 221-230.
    8. Xu, Mei & Xie, Pu & Xie, Bai-Chen, 2020. "Study of China's optimal solar photovoltaic power development path to 2050," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    9. Pillai, Unni, 2015. "Drivers of cost reduction in solar photovoltaics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 286-293.
    10. Zhang, Yu & Song, Junghyun & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2011. "Impact of subsidy policies on diffusion of photovoltaic power generation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1958-1964, April.
    11. Yoon‐Hee Ha & John Byrne & Hae‐Seok Lee & Ye‐Jin Lee & Dong‐Hwan Kim, 2020. "Assessing the impact of R&D policy on PV market development: The case of South Korea," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(2), March.
    12. Kebede, Kassahun Y. & Mitsufuji, Toshio, 2017. "Technological innovation system building for diffusion of renewable energy technology: A case of solar PV systems in Ethiopia," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 242-253.
    13. Ding, H. & Zhou, D.Q. & Liu, G.Q. & Zhou, P., 2020. "Cost reduction or electricity penetration: Government R&D-induced PV development and future policy schemes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    14. Liu, Ximei & Zeng, Ming, 2017. "Renewable energy investment risk evaluation model based on system dynamics," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 782-788.
    15. Zhou, Dequn & Chong, Zhaotian & Wang, Qunwei, 2020. "What is the future policy for photovoltaic power applications in China? Lessons from the past," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    16. Zhang, Sufang & He, Yongxiu, 2013. "Analysis on the development and policy of solar PV power in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 393-401.
    17. Hsu, Chiung-Wen & Ho, Shu-Ping, 2016. "Assessing feed-in tariffs on wind power installation and industry development in Taiwan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 548-557.
    18. Corwin, Samuel & Johnson, Timothy L., 2019. "The role of local governments in the development of China's solar photovoltaic industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 283-293.
    19. Zhang, Minhui & Zhang, Qin, 2020. "Grid parity analysis of distributed photovoltaic power generation in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    20. Jeon, Chanwoong & Shin, Juneseuk, 2014. "Long-term renewable energy technology valuation using system dynamics and Monte Carlo simulation: Photovoltaic technology case," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 447-457.
    21. Zhao, Zhen-yu & Zhang, Shuang-ying & Zuo, Jian, 2011. "A critical analysis of the photovoltaic power industry in China – From diamond model to gear model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4963-4971.
    22. Zhang, M.M. & Zhang, C. & Liu, L.Y. & Zhou, D.Q., 2020. "Is it time to launch grid parity in the Chinese solar photovoltaic industry? Evidence from 335 cities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    23. Jimenez, Maritza & Franco, Carlos J. & Dyner, Isaac, 2016. "Diffusion of renewable energy technologies: The need for policy in Colombia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 818-829.
    24. Guo, Xiaodan & Guo, Xiaopeng, 2015. "China's photovoltaic power development under policy incentives: A system dynamics analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P1), pages 589-598.
    25. Ye, Liang-Cheng & Rodrigues, João F.D. & Lin, Hai Xiang, 2017. "Analysis of feed-in tariff policies for solar photovoltaic in China 2011–2016," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 496-505.
    26. Hsu, Chiung-Wen, 2012. "Using a system dynamics model to assess the effects of capital subsidies and feed-in tariffs on solar PV installations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 205-217.
    27. Xin-gang Zhao & Yu-zhuo Zhang, 2018. "The System Dynamics (SD) Analysis of the Government and Power Producers’ Evolutionary Game Strategies Based on Carbon Trading (CT) Mechanism: A Case of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-18, April.
    28. Fouquet, Doerte & Johansson, Thomas B., 2008. "European renewable energy policy at crossroads--Focus on electricity support mechanisms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 4079-4092, November.
    29. Klaassen, Ger & Miketa, Asami & Larsen, Katarina & Sundqvist, Thomas, 2005. "The impact of R&D on innovation for wind energy in Denmark, Germany and the United Kingdom," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2-3), pages 227-240, August.
    30. Milad Mousavian, H. & Hamed Shakouri, G. & Mashayekhi, Ali-Naghi & Kazemi, Aliyeh, 2020. "Does the short-term boost of renewable energies guarantee their stable long-term growth? Assessment of the dynamics of feed-in tariff policy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 1252-1268.
    31. Yang, Fei-fei & Zhao, Xin-gang, 2018. "Policies and economic efficiency of China's distributed photovoltaic and energy storage industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 221-230.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gao, Anna & Sun, Mei & Wen, Weixin, 2024. "Uncovering the spillover effects between the new energy industry and eleven economic sectors in China: Evidence based on stock data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    2. Tiba, Sofien, 2023. "Unlocking the poverty and hunger puzzle: Toward democratizing the natural resource for accomplishing SDGs 1&2," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Xin-gang, Zhao & Wei, Wang & Jieying, Wang, 2022. "The policy effects of demand-pull and technology-push on the diffusion of wind power: A scenario analysis based on system dynamics approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    4. Rong Wang & Sandra Hasanefendic & Elizabeth Von Hauff & Bart Bossink, 2023. "A System Dynamics Approach to Technological Learning Impact for the Cost Estimation of Solar Photovoltaics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-17, December.
    5. Xia, Hui & Dai, Ling & Sun, Liping & Chen, Xi & Li, Yuening & Zheng, Yihan & Peng, Yanlai & Wu, Kaiya, 2023. "Analysis of the spatiotemporal distribution pattern and driving factors of renewable energy power generation in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 414-428.
    6. Chu, Baoju & Lin, Boqiang & Tian, Lichun & Zheng, Chaofeng & Ye, Nan & Zhu, Yafang & Tan, Zhizhou, 2024. "A long-term impact assessment of carbon capture (storage) investment conducted by conventional power company on sustainable development," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    7. Tiantian Zhang & Ken’ichi Matsumoto & Kei Nakagawa, 2021. "The Relative Importance of Determinants of the Solar Photovoltaic Industry in China: Analyses by the Diamond Model and the Analytic Hierarchy Process," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-20, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Corwin, Samuel & Johnson, Timothy L., 2019. "The role of local governments in the development of China's solar photovoltaic industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 283-293.
    2. Dianat, Fateme & Khodakarami, Vahid & Hosseini, Seyed-Hossein & Shakouri G, Hamed, 2022. "Combining game theory concepts and system dynamics for evaluating renewable electricity development in fossil-fuel-rich countries in the Middle East and North Africa," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 805-821.
    3. Grafström, Jonas & Poudineh, Rahmat, 2023. "Invention and Diffusion in the Solar Power Sector," Ratio Working Papers 364, The Ratio Institute.
    4. Libo Zhang & Qian Du & Dequn Zhou, 2021. "Grid Parity Analysis of China’s Centralized Photovoltaic Generation under Multiple Uncertainties," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
    5. Grafström, Jonas & Poudineh, Rahmat, 2023. "No evidence of counteracting policy effects on European solar power invention and diffusion," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    6. Liu, Chang & Liu, Linlin & Zhang, Dayong & Fu, Jiasha, 2021. "How does the capital market respond to policy shocks? Evidence from listed solar photovoltaic companies in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    7. Aïd, René & Bahlali, Mohamed & Creti, Anna, 2023. "Green innovation downturn: The role of imperfect competition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    8. Ding, H. & Zhou, D.Q. & Liu, G.Q. & Zhou, P., 2020. "Cost reduction or electricity penetration: Government R&D-induced PV development and future policy schemes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    9. Milad Mousavian, H. & Hamed Shakouri, G. & Mashayekhi, Ali-Naghi & Kazemi, Aliyeh, 2020. "Does the short-term boost of renewable energies guarantee their stable long-term growth? Assessment of the dynamics of feed-in tariff policy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 1252-1268.
    10. Abba, Z.Y.I. & Balta-Ozkan, N. & Hart, P., 2022. "A holistic risk management framework for renewable energy investments," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    11. Morcillo, José D. & Franco, Carlos J. & Angulo, Fabiola, 2018. "Simulation of demand growth scenarios in the Colombian electricity market: An integration of system dynamics and dynamic systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 504-520.
    12. Xin-gang, Zhao & Wei, Wang & Jieying, Wang, 2022. "The policy effects of demand-pull and technology-push on the diffusion of wind power: A scenario analysis based on system dynamics approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    13. Tiantian Zhang & Ken’ichi Matsumoto & Kei Nakagawa, 2021. "The Relative Importance of Determinants of the Solar Photovoltaic Industry in China: Analyses by the Diamond Model and the Analytic Hierarchy Process," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-20, October.
    14. Zhang, Alex Hongliang & Sirin, Selahattin Murat & Fan, Conglai & Bu, Maoliang, 2022. "An analysis of the factors driving utility-scale solar PV investments in China: How effective was the feed-in tariff policy?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    15. Setiawan, Andri D. & Dewi, Marmelia P. & Jafino, Bramka Arga & Hidayatno, Akhmad, 2022. "Evaluating feed-in tariff policies on enhancing geothermal development in Indonesia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    16. Shubbak, Mahmood H., 2019. "The technological system of production and innovation: The case of photovoltaic technology in China," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 993-1015.
    17. Wu, Zemin & Wu, Qiuwei & Yu, Xianyu & Wang, Qunwei & Tan, Jin, 2024. "Exploring phase-out path of China's coal power plants with its dynamic impact on electricity balance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    18. Zhou, Dequn & Chong, Zhaotian & Wang, Qunwei, 2020. "What is the future policy for photovoltaic power applications in China? Lessons from the past," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    19. Che, Xiao-Jing & Zhou, P. & Chai, Kah-Hin, 2022. "Regional policy effect on photovoltaic (PV) technology innovation: Findings from 260 cities in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    20. Nuñez-Jimenez, Alejandro & Knoeri, Christof & Hoppmann, Joern & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2022. "Beyond innovation and deployment: Modeling the impact of technology-push and demand-pull policies in Germany's solar policy mix," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(10).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:233:y:2021:i:c:s036054422101389x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.