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Maintenance planning of power plant elements based on avoided risk value

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  • Rusin, Andrzej
  • Bieniek, Michał

Abstract

In the world’s power sector, a large number of operating coal-fired power units are characterized by a relatively long service life. These power units often constitute the basic source of energy in individual national electric power systems; this implies that their reliability affects the reliability of the entire system of a given country. Therefore, the assessment of the current technical state of the power unit elements and of the risk related to their further operation is an issue of considerable importance. In this paper, we present an analysis of the assessment of the probability of the failure of steam piping being a critical element of the power unit. Theoretical calculations of the probability of failure are presented and a method for its estimation using non-destructive testing of the steel metallographic microstructure is proposed. Further, a rational estimation method of the optimal time to replace the steam pipelines is proposed on the basis of the avoided risk value and the modified net present value index of the discounted cash flows related to the risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Rusin, Andrzej & Bieniek, Michał, 2017. "Maintenance planning of power plant elements based on avoided risk value," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 672-680.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:134:y:2017:i:c:p:672-680
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.06.070
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marais, Karen B. & Saleh, Joseph H., 2009. "Beyond its cost, the value of maintenance: An analytical framework for capturing its net present value," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 644-657.
    2. Carazas, F.G. & Souza, G.F.M., 2010. "Risk-based decision making method for maintenance policy selection of thermal power plant equipment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 964-975.
    3. Mirandola, A. & Stoppato, A. & Lo Casto, E., 2010. "Evaluation of the effects of the operation strategy of a steam power plant on the residual life of its devices," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 1024-1032.
    4. Rusin, Andrzej & Bieniek, Michał & Lipka, Marian, 2016. "Assessment of the rise in the turbine operation risk due to increased cyclicity of the power unit operation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 394-403.
    5. Rusin, Andrzej M., 2007. "Technical risk involved in long-term operation of steam turbines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(9), pages 1242-1249.
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    1. Rusin, Andrzej & Wojaczek, Adam, 2019. "Improving the availability and lengthening the life of power unit elements through the use of risk-based maintenance planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 28-35.
    2. Martyna Tomala & Andrzej Rusin & Adam Wojaczek, 2020. "Risk-Based Planning of Diagnostic Testing of Turbines Operating with Increased Flexibility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-16, July.
    3. Toubeau, Jean-François & Pardoen, Lorie & Hubert, Louis & Marenne, Nicolas & Sprooten, Jonathan & De Grève, Zacharie & Vallée, François, 2022. "Machine learning-assisted outage planning for maintenance activities in power systems with renewables," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    4. Karol Kaczmarski, 2022. "Identification of Transient Steam Temperature at the Inlet of the Pipeline Based on the Measured Steam Temperature at the Pipeline Outlet," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-18, August.
    5. Rusin, Andrzej & Wojaczek, Adam, 2023. "Changes in the structure of the Polish energy mix in the transition period to ensure the safety and reliability of energy supplies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    6. Shayesteh, E. & Yu, J. & Hilber, P., 2018. "Maintenance optimization of power systems with renewable energy sources integrated," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 577-586.
    7. Łukasz Bartela & Paweł Gładysz & Charalampos Andreades & Staffan Qvist & Janusz Zdeb, 2021. "Techno-Economic Assessment of Coal-Fired Power Unit Decarbonization Retrofit with KP-FHR Small Modular Reactors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-25, April.
    8. Jarosław Piątkowski & Bożena Gajdzik & Aleksander Mesjasz, 2020. "Assessment of Material Durability of Steam Pipelines Based on Statistical Analysis of Strength Properties—Selected Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-18, July.

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