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Analyzing major renewable energy sources and power stability in Taiwan by 2030

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  • Chuang, Ming-Tung
  • Chang, Shih-Yu
  • Hsiao, Ta-Chih
  • Lu, Yun-Ru
  • Yang, Tsung-Yeh

Abstract

The aim of this study is to assess the offshore wind and solar power and to determine whether the future power supply in Taiwan will be stable. The estimated annual offshore wind and solar power generation for 2030 are 11343 GWh and 11367 GWh, respectively. Based on these results, it appears that the annual power supply can easily help balance the total power demand. However, the power demand is high during the summer peak months, and power generation may be insufficient during peak summer hours by 2030. Specifically, in 2024, the peak hourly percent reserve margin (PRM) in summer will be negative (-0.9%). If the installation of offshore wind turbines and solar panels is delayed, then the problem of insufficiency will be even more severe. However, if the offshore wind and solar photovoltaic projects are completed on schedule, and the first, second, and third nuclear power plants (NPPs) extend their service to 2030, then the hourly PRM could reach 15% during the summer peak hours from 2025 to 2030 and 5–11% in the other years. Moreover, if the fourth NPP opens, then the estimated summer peak hourly PRM would increase by 6–7%.

Suggested Citation

  • Chuang, Ming-Tung & Chang, Shih-Yu & Hsiao, Ta-Chih & Lu, Yun-Ru & Yang, Tsung-Yeh, 2019. "Analyzing major renewable energy sources and power stability in Taiwan by 2030," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 293-306.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:125:y:2019:i:c:p:293-306
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.10.036
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Itiki, Rodney & Manjrekar, Madhav & Di Santo, Silvio Giuseppe & Machado, Luis Fernando M., 2020. "Technical feasibility of Japan-Taiwan-Philippines HVdc interconnector to the Asia Pacific Super Grid," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Feng, Chun-Chiang & Chang, Kuei-Feng & Lin, Jin-Xu & Lee, Tsung-Chen & Lin, Shih-Mo, 2022. "Toward green transition in the post Paris Agreement era: The case of Taiwan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    4. Hong, Ying-Yi & Apolinario, Gerard Francesco DG. & Chung, Chen-Nien & Lu, Tai-Ken & Chu, Chia-Chi, 2020. "Effect of Taiwan's energy policy on unit commitment in 2025," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    5. Ziyuan Tang & Hasan Dinçer, 2019. "Selecting the House-of-Quality-Based Energy Investment Policies for the Sustainable Emerging Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-22, June.
    6. Darvish Falehi, Ali, 2020. "An innovative optimal RPO-FOSMC based on multi-objective grasshopper optimization algorithm for DFIG-based wind turbine to augment MPPT and FRT capabilities," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    7. Huey-Shian Chung, 2021. "Taiwan’s Offshore Wind Energy Policy: From Policy Dilemma to Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-16, September.

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