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The dispersion effect in international stock returns

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  • Leippold, Markus
  • Lohre, Harald

Abstract

We find that stocks exhibiting high dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts not only underperform in the U.S. but also in some European countries. Investigating the abnormal returns generated by the dispersion strategy around the world for the 1990–2008 sample period, we observe that the returns of the strategy are uneven, with large abnormal returns realized during the mid-to-late 1990s and the 2000–2003 period. In particular, we document that the dispersion effect is most profitable in a very narrow time frame around the burst of the technology bubble. As a consequence, the dispersion hedge strategy would have been rather difficult to implement, especially given that the highest mispricing obtains for stocks characterized by high arbitrage costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Leippold, Markus & Lohre, Harald, 2014. "The dispersion effect in international stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 331-342.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:empfin:v:29:y:2014:i:c:p:331-342
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2014.09.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Markus Leippold & Roger Rueegg, 2018. "The mixed vs the integrated approach to style investing: Much ado about nothing?," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(5), pages 829-855, November.
    2. Shuang Liu & Juan Yao & Stephen Satchell, 2020. "Analyst Forecast Dispersion and Market Return Predictability: Does Conditional Equity Premium Play a Role?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-21, May.
    3. Min, Byoung-Kyu & Roh, Tai-Yong, 2020. "An investment-based explanation for the dispersion anomaly," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International dispersion effect; Information uncertainty; Liquidity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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