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Small investor sentiment, differences of opinion and stock overvaluation

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  • Qian, Xiaolin

Abstract

Recent research shows that small trade imbalances are negatively associated with future stock returns. I find that this negative association only exists when stocks have initially been mispriced. In addition, mispricing occurs before the sentimental trading of small investors. In stocks with high opinion divergence, buying pressure from small investors deters the realization of negative information. Therefore, trades from retail investors do not directly cause mispricing, but they prevent price discovery and facilitate mispricing.

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  • Qian, Xiaolin, 2014. "Small investor sentiment, differences of opinion and stock overvaluation," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 219-246.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:19:y:2014:i:c:p:219-246
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2014.03.005
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    3. Yang, Chunpeng & Zhou, Liyun, 2016. "Individual stock crowded trades, individual stock investor sentiment and excess returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 39-53.
    4. Pan, Deng & Shi, Jing & Wu, Fei & Zhang, Bohui, 2015. "Investor heterogeneity and commonality in stock return and liquidity," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 458-473.
    5. Li, Yi & Wang, Pengfei & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Does online interaction between firms and investors reduce stock price crash risk?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(4).
    6. Liyun Zhou & Weinan Lin & Chunpeng Yang, 2024. "Investor trading behavior and asset prices: Evidence from quantile regression analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1722-1744, April.
    7. Yang, Chunpeng & Zhou, Liyun, 2015. "Sentiment approach to underestimation and overestimation pricing model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 280-288.
    8. G. Marandola & R. Mossucca, 2016. "When did the stock market start to react less to downgrades by Moody s, S&P and Fitch?," Working Papers wp1066, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    9. Yang, Chunpeng & Zhou, Liyun, 2015. "Investor trading behavior, investor sentiment and asset prices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 42-62.
    10. Nie, Wei-Ying & Yen, Kuang-Chieh, 2024. "CEO overconfidence and investor sentiment in M&A decisions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
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    12. Wu, Qinin & Lu, Jing, 2020. "Air pollution, individual investors, and stock pricing in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 267-287.
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    14. Zhiqi Cao & Wenfeng Wu, 2023. "Difference of opinion among investors versus analysts," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(2), pages 2347-2381, June.
    15. Eric. W. K. See-To & Yang Yang, 2017. "Market sentiment dispersion and its effects on stock return and volatility," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 27(3), pages 283-296, August.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Small trade imbalances; Mispricing; Noise trader risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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