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Risk management of renewable power producers from co-dependencies in cash flows

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  • Bhattacharya, Saptarshi
  • Gupta, Aparna
  • Kar, Koushik
  • Owusu, Abena

Abstract

Increasing adoption of renewable energy, which is inherently intermittent, poses several business risks for renewable energy producers. We identify the core co-dependencies of electricity demand, temperature and radiation risk exposures of a solar energy producer at different times of the year, which offer a valuable risk mitigation opportunity. By capturing the co-dependencies in a vector autoregressive, multivariate GARCH model, we investigate the extent of natural hedge embedded in the solar energy producer’s cash flows. We further develop the framework to use explicit optimal cross hedging strategies for risk mitigation using temperature-based weather derivatives. We find that there is significant benefit of natural hedge in certain months of the year, while in others, explicit hedges can effectively modify risk exposure.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhattacharya, Saptarshi & Gupta, Aparna & Kar, Koushik & Owusu, Abena, 2020. "Risk management of renewable power producers from co-dependencies in cash flows," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(3), pages 1081-1093.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:283:y:2020:i:3:p:1081-1093
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.11.069
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    5. Takuji Matsumoto & Yuji Yamada, 2021. "Customized yet Standardized Temperature Derivatives: A Non-Parametric Approach with Suitable Basis Selection for Ensuring Robustness," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-24, June.
    6. Magni, Carlo Alberto & Marchioni, Andrea & Baschieri, Davide, 2022. "Impact of financing and payout policy on the economic profitability of solar photovoltaic plants," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    7. Yuji Yamada & Takuji Matsumoto, 2023. "Construction of Mixed Derivatives Strategy for Wind Power Producers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-26, April.
    8. Shinji Kuno & Kenji Tanaka & Yuji Yamada, 2022. "Effectiveness and Feasibility of Market Makers for P2P Electricity Trading," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-24, June.

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