IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v276y2019i2p781-789.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Time-consistent and self-coordination strategies for multi-period mean-Conditional Value-at-Risk portfolio selection

Author

Listed:
  • Cui, Xiangyu
  • Gao, Jianjun
  • Shi, Yun
  • Zhu, Shushang

Abstract

The multi-period mean-Conditional Value-at-Risk (mean-CVaR) portfolio decision model is prone to time inconsistency problems that drive CVaR investors away from the pre-committed portfolio strategy, although this strategy is regarded as the global optimal strategy at the initial time point. In the existing literature, authors have proposed time-consistent and self-coordination strategies to solve the time inconsistency issue arising from other sequential decision problems. However, these strategies are rarely studied under the multi-period mean-CVaR portfolio decision framework. This work fills in these gaps by providing both computationally tractable methods and analytical solutions for these strategies. The revealed time-consistent strategy is a piecewise linear function of the wealth level, wherein the other parameters can be computed by solving a series of mixed-integer programming problems off line. The self-coordination strategy can be formulated as a convex program with a quadratic constraint. We also prove that the pre-committed strategy and the time-consistent strategy are the extreme cases of the self-coordination strategy. Furthermore, we extend our main findings to a regime-switching market setting.

Suggested Citation

  • Cui, Xiangyu & Gao, Jianjun & Shi, Yun & Zhu, Shushang, 2019. "Time-consistent and self-coordination strategies for multi-period mean-Conditional Value-at-Risk portfolio selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(2), pages 781-789.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:276:y:2019:i:2:p:781-789
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.01.045
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221719300803
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2019.01.045?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Babaei, Sadra & Sepehri, Mohammad Mehdi & Babaei, Edris, 2015. "Multi-objective portfolio optimization considering the dependence structure of asset returns," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(2), pages 525-539.
    2. Napp, C., 2003. "The Dalang-Morton-Willinger theorem under cone constraints," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1-2), pages 111-126, February.
    3. Matthew Rabin & Ted O'Donoghue, 1999. "Doing It Now or Later," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(1), pages 103-124, March.
    4. David K. Levine & Drew Fudenberg, 2006. "A Dual-Self Model of Impulse Control," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(5), pages 1449-1476, December.
    5. R. H. Strotz, 1955. "Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 23(3), pages 165-180.
    6. Faruk Gul & Wolfgang Pesendorfer, 2001. "Temptation and Self-Control," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(6), pages 1403-1435, November.
    7. Tomas Björk & Agatha Murgoci, 2014. "A theory of Markovian time-inconsistent stochastic control in discrete time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 545-592, July.
    8. Ted O'Donoghue & Matthew Rabin, 2001. "Choice and Procrastination," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 116(1), pages 121-160.
    9. Drew Fudenberg & David K. Levine, 2012. "Timing and Self‐Control," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(1), pages 1-42, January.
    10. Gundel, Anne & Weber, Stefan, 2008. "Utility maximization under a shortfall risk constraint," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(11), pages 1126-1151, December.
    11. Suleyman Basak & Georgy Chabakauri, 2010. "Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(8), pages 2970-3016, August.
    12. Kang Boda & Jerzy Filar, 2006. "Time Consistent Dynamic Risk Measures," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 63(1), pages 169-186, February.
    13. Cui, Xiangyu & Li, Duan & Shi, Yun, 2017. "Self-coordination in time inconsistent stochastic decision problems: A planner–doer game framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 91-113.
    14. Hibiki, Norio, 2006. "Multi-period stochastic optimization models for dynamic asset allocation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 365-390, February.
    15. Xiangyu Cui & Xun Li & Duan Li & Yun Shi, 2017. "Time consistent behavioral portfolio policy for dynamic mean–variance formulation," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(12), pages 1647-1660, December.
    16. Xidonas, Panos & Mavrotas, George & Hassapis, Christis & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2017. "Robust multiobjective portfolio optimization: A minimax regret approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(1), pages 299-305.
    17. Tomasz Bielecki & Daniel Hernández-Hernández & Stanley R. Pliska, 1999. "Risk sensitive control of finite state Markov chains in discrete time, with applications to portfolio management," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 50(2), pages 167-188, October.
    18. Gao, Jianjun & Xiong, Yan & Li, Duan, 2016. "Dynamic mean-risk portfolio selection with multiple risk measures in continuous-time," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(2), pages 647-656.
    19. Wang, J. & Forsyth, P.A., 2011. "Continuous time mean variance asset allocation: A time-consistent strategy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 184-201, March.
    20. Faruk Gul & Wolfgang Pesendorfer, 2004. "Self-Control and the Theory of Consumption," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(1), pages 119-158, January.
    21. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    22. Fu, Jun & Wei, Jiaqin & Yang, Hailiang, 2014. "Portfolio optimization in a regime-switching market with derivatives," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 184-192.
    23. Shushang Zhu & Masao Fukushima, 2009. "Worst-Case Conditional Value-at-Risk with Application to Robust Portfolio Management," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 57(5), pages 1155-1168, October.
    24. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2002. "Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1443-1471, July.
    25. Cuoco, Domenico, 1997. "Optimal Consumption and Equilibrium Prices with Portfolio Constraints and Stochastic Income," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 33-73, January.
    26. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean-Marc Eber & David Heath & Hyejin Ku, 2007. "Coherent multiperiod risk adjusted values and Bellman’s principle," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 152(1), pages 5-22, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abdelouahed Hamdi & Arezou Karimi & Farshid Mehrdoust & Samir Brahim Belhaouari, 2022. "Portfolio Selection Problem Using CVaR Risk Measures Equipped with DEA, PSO, and ICA Algorithms," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-26, August.
    2. Guo, Sini & Gu, Jia-Wen & Ching, Wai-Ki, 2021. "Adaptive online portfolio selection with transaction costs," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(3), pages 1074-1086.
    3. Gao, Jianjun & Li, Yaoming & Shi, Yun & Xie, Jinyan, 2024. "Multi-period portfolio choice under loss aversion with dynamic reference point in serially correlated market," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    4. Peter A. Forsyth & Kenneth R. Vetzal & Graham Westmacott, 2021. "Optimal control of the decumulation of a retirement portfolio with variable spending and dynamic asset allocation," Papers 2101.02760, arXiv.org.
    5. Kirkby, J. Lars & Mitra, Sovan & Nguyen, Duy, 2020. "An analysis of dollar cost averaging and market timing investment strategies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 286(3), pages 1168-1186.
    6. Strub, Moris S. & Li, Duan & Cui, Xiangyu & Gao, Jianjun, 2019. "Discrete-time mean-CVaR portfolio selection and time-consistency induced term structure of the CVaR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    7. Sahamkhadam, Maziar & Stephan, Andreas & Östermark, Ralf, 2022. "Copula-based Black–Litterman portfolio optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(3), pages 1055-1070.
    8. Felix Fie{ss}inger & Mitja Stadje, 2023. "Time-Consistent Asset Allocation for Risk Measures in a L\'evy Market," Papers 2305.09471, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    9. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cui, Xiangyu & Li, Duan & Shi, Yun, 2017. "Self-coordination in time inconsistent stochastic decision problems: A planner–doer game framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 91-113.
    2. Cui, Xiangyu & Li, Duan & Shi, Yun, 2020. "Resolving Time Inconsistency of Decision Problem with Non-expectation Operator: From Internal Conflict to Internal Harmony by Strategy of Self-Coordination," SocArXiv 8m5w2, Center for Open Science.
    3. Xiangyu Cui & Xun Li & Duan Li & Yun Shi, 2014. "Time Consistent Behavior Portfolio Policy for Dynamic Mean-Variance Formulation," Papers 1408.6070, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2015.
    4. Sebastian Vollmer & Juditha Wójcik, 2017. "The long-term consequences of the global 1918 influenza pandemic: A systematic analysis of 117 IPUMS international census data sets," Courant Research Centre: Poverty, Equity and Growth - Discussion Papers 242, Courant Research Centre PEG.
    5. Cobb-Clark, Deborah A. & Dahmann, Sarah Christina & Kamhöfer, Daniel A. & Schildberg-Hörisch, Hannah, 2019. "Self-control: Determinants, life outcomes and intergenerational implications," DICE Discussion Papers 319, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
    6. Myrseth, Kristian Ove R. & Wollbrant, Conny E., 2013. "A theory of self-control and naïveté: The blights of willpower and blessings of temptation," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 8-19.
    7. Xiangyu Cui & Xun Li & Duan Li & Yun Shi, 2017. "Time consistent behavioral portfolio policy for dynamic mean–variance formulation," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(12), pages 1647-1660, December.
    8. Houser, Daniel & Schunk, Daniel & Winter, Joachim & Xiao, Erte, 2018. "Temptation and commitment in the laboratory," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 329-344.
    9. Cobb-Clark, Deborah A. & Dahmann, Sarah C. & Kamhöfer, Daniel A. & Schildberg-Hörisch, Hannah, 2022. "The Predictive Power of Self-Control for Life Outcomes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 725-744.
    10. Xavier Giné & Dean Karlan & Jonathan Zinman, 2010. "Put Your Money Where Your Butt Is: A Commitment Contract for Smoking Cessation," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(4), pages 213-235, October.
    11. Houser, Daniel & Liu, Jia & Reiley, David H. & Urbancic, Michael B., 2021. "Checking out temptation: A natural experiment with purchases at the grocery register," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 39-50.
    12. Laureti, Carolina & Szafarz, Ariane, 2023. "Banking regulation and costless commitment contracts for time-inconsistent agents," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    13. Liyuan Wang & Zhiping Chen, 2019. "Stochastic Game Theoretic Formulation for a Multi-Period DC Pension Plan with State-Dependent Risk Aversion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-16, January.
    14. Sulka, Tomasz, 2023. "Planning and saving for retirement," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    15. Drew Fudenberg & David K. Levine, 2012. "Timing and Self‐Control," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(1), pages 1-42, January.
    16. Jianjun Miao, 2008. "Option exercise with temptation," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 34(3), pages 473-501, March.
    17. Salo, Ahti & Doumpos, Michalis & Liesiö, Juuso & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2024. "Fifty years of portfolio optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 318(1), pages 1-18.
    18. Alain Bensoussan & Kwok Chuen Wong & Sheung Chi Phillip Yam, 2019. "A paradox in time-consistency in the mean–variance problem?," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 173-207, January.
    19. Noor, Jawwad, 2007. "Commitment and self-control," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 135(1), pages 1-34, July.
    20. Méder, Zsombor Z. & Flesch, János & Peeters, Ronald, 2017. "Naiveté and sophistication in dynamic inconsistency," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 40-54.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:276:y:2019:i:2:p:781-789. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.