IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/finsto/v23y2019i1d10.1007_s00780-018-00381-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A paradox in time-consistency in the mean–variance problem?

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Bensoussan

    (The University of Texas at Dallas
    City University of Hong Kong)

  • Kwok Chuen Wong

    (Dublin City University)

  • Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

Abstract

We establish new conditions under which a constrained (no short-selling) time-consistent equilibrium strategy, starting at a certain time, will beat the unconstrained counterpart, as measured by the magnitude of their corresponding equilibrium mean–variance value functions. We further show that the pure strategy of solely investing in a risk-free bond can sometimes simultaneously dominate both constrained and unconstrained equilibrium strategies. With numerical experiments, we also illustrate that the constrained strategy can dominate the unconstrained one for most of the commencement dates (even more than 90%) of a prescribed planning horizon. Under a precommitment approach, the value function of an investor increases with the size of the admissible sets of strategies. However, this may fail to be true under the game-theoretic paradigm, as the constraint of time-consistency itself affects the value function differently when short-selling is and is not prohibited.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Bensoussan & Kwok Chuen Wong & Sheung Chi Phillip Yam, 2019. "A paradox in time-consistency in the mean–variance problem?," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 173-207, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:23:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s00780-018-00381-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-018-00381-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00780-018-00381-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00780-018-00381-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Karp, Larry, 2005. "Non-Constant Discounting in Continuous Time," Institute for Research on Labor and Employment, Working Paper Series qt0nn1t22z, Institute of Industrial Relations, UC Berkeley.
    2. R. H. Strotz, 1955. "Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 23(3), pages 165-180.
    3. Tomas Björk & Agatha Murgoci, 2014. "A theory of Markovian time-inconsistent stochastic control in discrete time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 545-592, July.
    4. Bezalel Peleg & Menahem E. Yaari, 1973. "On the Existence of a Consistent Course of Action when Tastes are Changing," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 40(3), pages 391-401.
    5. Suleyman Basak & Georgy Chabakauri, 2010. "Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(8), pages 2970-3016, August.
    6. Cui, Xiangyu & Li, Duan & Shi, Yun, 2017. "Self-coordination in time inconsistent stochastic decision problems: A planner–doer game framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 91-113.
    7. Christopher Harris & David Laibson, 2013. "Instantaneous Gratification," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(1), pages 205-248.
    8. E. S. Phelps & R. A. Pollak, 1968. "On Second-Best National Saving and Game-Equilibrium Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 35(2), pages 185-199.
    9. Karp, L, 2007. "Non-constant discounting in continuous time," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt8d52f6w7, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    10. Marín-Solano, Jesús & Navas, Jorge, 2010. "Consumption and portfolio rules for time-inconsistent investors," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 860-872, March.
    11. Karp, Larry, 2007. "Non-constant discounting in continuous time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 557-568, January.
    12. Wang, J. & Forsyth, P.A., 2011. "Continuous time mean variance asset allocation: A time-consistent strategy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 184-201, March.
    13. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11473 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Christoph Czichowsky, 2013. "Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection in discrete and continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 227-271, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.
    2. Tomas Björk & Mariana Khapko & Agatha Murgoci, 2017. "On time-inconsistent stochastic control in continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 331-360, April.
    3. Ishak Alia & Farid Chighoub & Nabil Khelfallah & Josep Vives, 2021. "Time-Consistent Investment and Consumption Strategies under a General Discount Function," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-27, February.
    4. Pengyu Wei & Wei Wei, 2024. "Irreversible investment under weighted discounting: effects of decreasing impatience," Papers 2409.01478, arXiv.org.
    5. Chen, Shumin & Zeng, Yan & Hao, Zhifeng, 2017. "Optimal dividend strategies with time-inconsistent preferences and transaction costs in the Cramér–Lundberg model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 31-45.
    6. Peng, Ling & Kloeden, Peter E., 2021. "Time-consistent portfolio optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(1), pages 183-193.
    7. Takeo Hori & Koichi Futagami, 2019. "A Non‐unitary Discount Rate Model," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 86(341), pages 139-165, January.
    8. Zou, Ziran & Chen, Shou & Wedge, Lei, 2014. "Finite horizon consumption and portfolio decisions with stochastic hyperbolic discounting," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 70-80.
    9. Ebert, Sebastian & Wei, Wei & Zhou, Xun Yu, 2020. "Weighted discounting—On group diversity, time-inconsistency, and consequences for investment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    10. Ram Fishman, 2020. "Welfare implications of naive and sophisticated saving," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 54(4), pages 623-638, April.
    11. Yu-Jui Huang & Adrien Nguyen-Huu, 2018. "Time-consistent stopping under decreasing impatience," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 69-95, January.
    12. Maria Arvaniti & Chandra K. Krishnamurthy & Anne-Sophie Crépin, 2019. "Time-consistent resource management with regime shifts," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 19/329, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    13. Qinglong Zhou & Gaofeng Zong, 2016. "Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Linear-quadratic Differential Game," Papers 1607.00638, arXiv.org.
    14. Marín-Solano, Jesús & Navas, Jorge, 2010. "Consumption and portfolio rules for time-inconsistent investors," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 860-872, March.
    15. Zhao, Qian & Shen, Yang & Wei, Jiaqin, 2014. "Consumption–investment strategies with non-exponential discounting and logarithmic utility," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 238(3), pages 824-835.
    16. Li, Yongwu & Qiao, Han & Wang, Shouyang & Zhang, Ling, 2015. "Time-consistent investment strategy under partial information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 187-197.
    17. Bingyan Han & Chi Seng Pun & Hoi Ying Wong, 2023. "Robust Time-inconsistent Linear-Quadratic Stochastic Controls: A Stochastic Differential Game Approach," Papers 2306.16982, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    18. Nesje, Frikk, 2020. "Cross-dynastic Intergenerational Altruism," Working Papers 0678, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    19. Marcel Nutz & Yuchong Zhang, 2019. "Conditional Optimal Stopping: A Time-Inconsistent Optimization," Papers 1901.05802, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    20. de-Paz, Albert & Marín-Solano, Jesús & Navas, Jorge & Roch, Oriol, 2014. "Consumption, investment and life insurance strategies with heterogeneous discounting," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 66-75.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Time-consistency; Mean–variance; State-dependent risk-aversion; Equilibrium strategy; Short-selling prohibition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:23:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s00780-018-00381-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.