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Macroeconomic environment, money demand and portfolio choice

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  • Lioui, Abraham
  • Tarelli, Andrea

Abstract

We solve the portfolio choice problem of a long-term investor holding real balances, a stock index, multiple bonds and a remunerated money market account. We relate the factors driving the term structure and the equity premium to macroeconomic variables. When expected inflation decreases, the investor allocates more to the stock market, long-term bonds and unrewarded real balances, reducing short-maturity deposits. The optimal money demand: i) entails time variations in risk aversion; ii) reduces bond market positions when the importance of money in preferences increases, with little impact on the stock market participation; and iii) has quantitative implications in terms of horizon effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Lioui, Abraham & Tarelli, Andrea, 2019. "Macroeconomic environment, money demand and portfolio choice," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 274(1), pages 357-374.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:274:y:2019:i:1:p:357-374
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.09.039
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