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A hybrid stock trading system using genetic network programming and mean conditional value-at-risk

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  • Chen, Yan
  • Wang, Xuancheng

Abstract

This paper describes a hybrid stock trading system based on Genetic Network Programming (GNP) and Mean Conditional Value-at-Risk Model (GNP–CVaR). The proposed method, combining the advantages of evolutionary algorithms and statistical model, has provided useful tools to construct portfolios and generate effective stock trading strategies for investors with different risk-attitudes. Simulation results on five stock indices show that model based on GNP and maximum Sharpe Ratio portfolio performs the best in bull market, and that based on GNP and the global minimum risk portfolio performs the best in bear market. The portfolios constructed by Markowitz’s mean–variance model performs the same as mean-CVaR model. It is clarified that the proposed system significantly improves the function and efficiency of original GNP, which can help investors make profitable decisions.

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  • Chen, Yan & Wang, Xuancheng, 2015. "A hybrid stock trading system using genetic network programming and mean conditional value-at-risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 240(3), pages 861-871.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:240:y:2015:i:3:p:861-871
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.07.034
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    2. Massimiliano Kaucic & Mojtaba Moradi & Mohmmad Mirzazadeh, 2019. "Portfolio optimization by improved NSGA-II and SPEA 2 based on different risk measures," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-28, December.
    3. Ladley, Daniel, 2020. "The high frequency trade off between speed and sophistication," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    4. Salo, Ahti & Doumpos, Michalis & Liesiö, Juuso & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2024. "Fifty years of portfolio optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 318(1), pages 1-18.
    5. Daniel Ladley, 2019. "The Design and Regulation of High Frequency Traders," Discussion Papers in Economics 19/02, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
    6. Chen, Yan & Yu, Wenqiang, 2020. "Setting the margins of Hang Seng Index Futures on different positions using an APARCH-GPD Model based on extreme value theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 544(C).
    7. Alireza Namdari & Tariq S. Durrani, 2021. "A Multilayer Feedforward Perceptron Model in Neural Networks for Predicting Stock Market Short-term Trends," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 1-30, September.
    8. Fernández, Arturo J., 2017. "Economic lot sampling inspection from defect counts with minimum conditional value-at-risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 258(2), pages 573-580.

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