IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v187y2008i1p243-256.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A measure of bullwhip effect in supply chains with a mixed autoregressive-moving average demand process

Author

Listed:
  • Duc, Truong Ton Hien
  • Luong, Huynh Trung
  • Kim, Yeong-Dae

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Duc, Truong Ton Hien & Luong, Huynh Trung & Kim, Yeong-Dae, 2008. "A measure of bullwhip effect in supply chains with a mixed autoregressive-moving average demand process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 243-256, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:187:y:2008:i:1:p:243-256
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377-2217(07)00304-9
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Blanchard, Olivier J, 1983. "The Production and Inventory Behavior of the American Automobile Industry," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(3), pages 365-400, June.
    2. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, Paul, 1986. "Forecasting Economic Time Series," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 2, number 9780122951831 edited by Shell, Karl.
    3. Disney, S.M. & Farasyn, I. & Lambrecht, M. & Towill, D.R. & de Velde, W. Van, 2006. "Taming the bullwhip effect whilst watching customer service in a single supply chain echelon," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 173(1), pages 151-172, August.
    4. Alan S. Blinder, 1986. "Can the Production Smoothing Model of Inventory Behavior be Saved?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 101(3), pages 431-453.
    5. G. D. Johnson & H. E. Thompson, 1975. "Optimality of Myopic Inventory Policies for Certain Dependent Demand Processes," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 21(11), pages 1303-1307, July.
    6. Sterman, John D., 1989. "Misperceptions of feedback in dynamic decision making," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 301-335, June.
    7. Hau L. Lee & V. Padmanabhan & Seungjin Whang, 1997. "Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 546-558, April.
    8. Blinder, Alan S, 1982. "Inventories and Sticky Prices: More on the Microfoundations of Macroeconomics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(3), pages 334-348, June.
    9. Xu, Kefeng & Dong, Yan & Evers, Philip T., 2001. "Towards better coordination of the supply chain," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 35-54, March.
    10. Hau L. Lee & Kut C. So & Christopher S. Tang, 2000. "The Value of Information Sharing in a Two-Level Supply Chain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(5), pages 626-643, May.
    11. Zhang, Xiaolong, 2004. "The impact of forecasting methods on the bullwhip effect," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 15-27, March.
    12. Kahn, James A, 1987. "Inventories and the Volatility of Production," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(4), pages 667-679, September.
    13. Caplin, Andrew S, 1985. "The Variability of Aggregate Demand with (S, s) Inventory Policies," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1395-1409, November.
    14. John D. Sterman, 1989. "Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 321-339, March.
    15. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 50-61.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed Shaban & Mohamed A. Shalaby & Giulio Di Gravio & Riccardo Patriarca, 2020. "Analysis of Variance Amplification and Service Level in a Supply Chain with Correlated Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-27, August.
    2. Trapero, Juan R. & Pedregal, Diego J., 2016. "A novel time-varying bullwhip effect metric: An application to promotional sales," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 465-471.
    3. Junhai Ma & Jing Zhang & Liqing Zhu, 2018. "Study of the Bullwhip Effect under Various Forecasting Methods in Electronics Supply Chain with Dual Retailers considering Market Share," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-19, January.
    4. Gaalman, Gerard & Disney, Stephen M. & Wang, Xun, 2022. "When bullwhip increases in the lead time: An eigenvalue analysis of ARMA demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    5. Rupesh Kumar Pati, 2014. "Modelling Bullwhip Effect in a Closed Loop Supply Chain with ARMA Demand," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 3(2), pages 149-164, July.
    6. Chiang, Chung-Yean & Lin, Winston T. & Suresh, Nallan C., 2016. "An empirically-simulated investigation of the impact of demand forecasting on the bullwhip effect: Evidence from U.S. auto industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 53-65.
    7. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    8. Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Disney, Stephen M., 2023. "On the order-up-to policy with intermittent integer demand and logically consistent forecasts," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    9. Nagaraja, C.H. & Thavaneswaran, A. & Appadoo, S.S., 2015. "Measuring the bullwhip effect for supply chains with seasonal demand components," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(2), pages 445-454.
    10. Paulo Gonçalves & Mohammad Moshtari, 2021. "The impact of information visibility on ordering dynamics in a supply chain: a behavioral perspective," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 37(2-3), pages 126-154, April.
    11. Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Babai, M. Zied & Ali, Mohammad & Boylan, John E., 2019. "The impact of temporal aggregation on supply chains with ARMA(1,1) demand processes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(3), pages 920-932.
    12. Sodhi, ManMohan S. & Tang, Christopher S., 2011. "The incremental bullwhip effect of operational deviations in an arborescent supply chain with requirements planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 374-382, December.
    13. Junhai Ma & Xiaogang Ma, 2017. "Measure of the bullwhip effect considering the market competition between two retailers," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(2), pages 313-326, January.
    14. Chatfield, Dean C. & Pritchard, Alan M., 2013. "Returns and the bullwhip effect," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 159-175.
    15. Lakhwinder Pal Singh & Ravi Teja Challa, 2016. "Integrated Forecasting Using the Discrete Wavelet Theory and Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Reduce the Bullwhip Effect in a Supply Chain," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 17(2), pages 157-169, June.
    16. Ali, Mohammad M. & Boylan, John E. & Syntetos, Aris A., 2012. "Forecast errors and inventory performance under forecast information sharing," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 830-841.
    17. Junhai Ma & Liqing Zhu & Ye Yuan & Shunqi Hou, 2018. "Study of the Bullwhip Effect in a Multistage Supply Chain with Callback Structure considering Two Retailers," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-12, April.
    18. Bahman Rostami‐Tabar & Mohamed Zied Babai & Aris Syntetos & Yves Ducq, 2014. "A note on the forecast performance of temporal aggregation," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 61(7), pages 489-500, October.
    19. Nepal, Bimal & Murat, Alper & Babu Chinnam, Ratna, 2012. "The bullwhip effect in capacitated supply chains with consideration for product life-cycle aspects," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 318-331.
    20. Ali, Mohammad M. & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Boylan, John E. & Syntetos, A.A., 2017. "Supply chain forecasting when information is not shared," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(3), pages 984-994.
    21. Reza Hadizadeh & Amir Abbas Shojaie, 2017. "A Measure of SCM Bullwhip Effect Under Mixed Autoregressive-Moving Average with Errors Heteroscedasticity (ARMA(1,1)–GARCH(1,1)) Model," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 83-104, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ton Hien Duc, Truong & Luong, Huynh Trung & Kim, Yeong-Dae, 2010. "Effect of the third-party warehouse on bullwhip effect and inventory cost in supply chains," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 395-407, April.
    2. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    3. Gérard P. Cachon & Taylor Randall & Glen M. Schmidt, 2007. "In Search of the Bullwhip Effect," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 457-479, April.
    4. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2012. "Bullwhip Effect Measurement and Its Implications," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 771-784, August.
    5. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Li, Xiaopeng, 2010. "The bullwhip effect in supply chain networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 799-810, March.
    6. Hosoda, Takamichi & Disney, Stephen M., 2009. "Impact of market demand mis-specification on a two-level supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 739-751, October.
    7. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio, 2019. "An empirical investigation on the antecedents of the bullwhip effect: Evidence from the spare parts industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 121-133.
    8. Zhang, Xiaolong & Burke, Gerard J., 2011. "Analysis of compound bullwhip effect causes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(3), pages 514-526, May.
    9. Zhang, Xiaolong, 2004. "The impact of forecasting methods on the bullwhip effect," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 15-27, March.
    10. Ouyang, Yanfeng, 2007. "The effect of information sharing on supply chain stability and the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(3), pages 1107-1121, November.
    11. Yanfeng Ouyang & Carlos Daganzo, 2006. "Characterization of the Bullwhip Effect in Linear, Time-Invariant Supply Chains: Some Formulae and Tests," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(10), pages 1544-1556, October.
    12. Luong, Huynh Trung, 2007. "Measure of bullwhip effect in supply chains with autoregressive demand process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 180(3), pages 1086-1097, August.
    13. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio & Boylan, John E., 2020. "The impact of demand parameter uncertainty on the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(1), pages 94-107.
    14. Nepal, Bimal & Murat, Alper & Babu Chinnam, Ratna, 2012. "The bullwhip effect in capacitated supply chains with consideration for product life-cycle aspects," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 318-331.
    15. K. Devika & A. Jafarian & A. Hassanzadeh & R. Khodaverdi, 2016. "Optimizing of bullwhip effect and net stock amplification in three-echelon supply chains using evolutionary multi-objective metaheuristics," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 242(2), pages 457-487, July.
    16. Ma, Yungao & Wang, Nengmin & He, Zhengwen & Lu, Jizhou & Liang, Huigang, 2015. "Analysis of the bullwhip effect in two parallel supply chains with interacting price-sensitive demands," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 815-825.
    17. Hau L. Lee & V. Padmanabhan & Seungjin Whang, 2004. "Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(12_supple), pages 1875-1886, December.
    18. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Daganzo, Carlos, 2008. "Robust tests for the bullwhip effect in supply chains with stochastic dynamics," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 340-353, February.
    19. Enrique Holgado de Frutos & Juan R Trapero & Francisco Ramos, 2020. "A literature review on operational decisions applied to collaborative supply chains," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, March.
    20. Ahmed Shaban & Mohamed A. Shalaby & Giulio Di Gravio & Riccardo Patriarca, 2020. "Analysis of Variance Amplification and Service Level in a Supply Chain with Correlated Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-27, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:187:y:2008:i:1:p:243-256. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.