IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecosta/v17y2021icp23-34.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatially varying sparsity in dynamic regression models

Author

Listed:
  • Hu, Guanyu

Abstract

Motivated by the problem of variable selection in spatially varying coefficients models for spatial econometrics data, a Bayesian spatially dynamic selection model based on spatial normal-gamma process (SNGP) is proposed, which pursues spatial varying sparsity in dynamic regression models. Theoretical properties of SNGP are discussed. Posterior samples are obtained by nimble, a powerful R package for Bayesian inference. A new tuning-free variable selection based on K-groups clustering is proposed for discriminating the signal and the noise. Simulation studies show that the proposed method has both good estimation performance and selection performance. Finally, the new method is applied to analyzing a county level income data of Louisiana.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Guanyu, 2021. "Spatially varying sparsity in dynamic regression models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 23-34.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:17:y:2021:i:c:p:23-34
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2020.08.002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452306220300861
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Contains open access articles

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecosta.2020.08.002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kalli, Maria & Griffin, Jim E., 2014. "Time-varying sparsity in dynamic regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(2), pages 779-793.
    2. Bitto, Angela & Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia, 2019. "Achieving shrinkage in a time-varying parameter model framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 75-97.
    3. Furong Li & Huiyan Sang, 2019. "Spatial Homogeneity Pursuit of Regression Coefficients for Large Datasets," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(527), pages 1050-1062, July.
    4. Laura F. Boehm Vock & Brian J. Reich & Montserrat Fuentes & Francesca Dominici, 2015. "Spatial variable selection methods for investigating acute health effects of fine particulate matter components," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 167-177, March.
    5. Brian J. Reich & Montserrat Fuentes & Amy H. Herring & Kelly R. Evenson, 2010. "Bayesian Variable Selection for Multivariate Spatially Varying Coefficient Regression," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 66(3), pages 772-782, September.
    6. Park, Trevor & Casella, George, 2008. "The Bayesian Lasso," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 681-686, June.
    7. Li, Hanning & Pati, Debdeep, 2017. "Variable selection using shrinkage priors," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 107-119.
    8. Veronika Ročková & Edward I. George, 2018. "The Spike-and-Slab LASSO," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(521), pages 431-444, January.
    9. Carlos M. Carvalho & Nicholas G. Polson & James G. Scott, 2010. "The horseshoe estimator for sparse signals," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 97(2), pages 465-480.
    10. Zhihua Ma & Yishu Xue & Guanyu Hu, 2020. "Heterogeneous regression models for clusters of spatial dependent data," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 459-475, October.
    11. Daniel R. Kowal & David S. Matteson & David Ruppert, 2019. "Dynamic shrinkage processes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 81(4), pages 781-804, September.
    12. Kaufmann, Sylvia & Schumacher, Christian, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of sparse dynamic factor models with order-independent and ex-post mode identification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 116-134.
    13. Anirban Bhattacharya & Debdeep Pati & Natesh S. Pillai & David B. Dunson, 2015. "Dirichlet--Laplace Priors for Optimal Shrinkage," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(512), pages 1479-1490, December.
    14. Florian Huber & Martin Feldkircher, 2019. "Adaptive Shrinkage in Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 27-39, January.
    15. Xueying Tang & Xiaofan Xu & Malay Ghosh & Prasenjit Ghosh, 2018. "Bayesian Variable Selection and Estimation Based on Global-Local Shrinkage Priors," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 80(2), pages 215-246, August.
    16. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Rossini, Luca, 2019. "Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 97-115.
    17. Gelfand A.E. & Kim H-J. & Sirmans C.F. & Banerjee S., 2003. "Spatial Modeling With Spatially Varying Coefficient Processes," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 98, pages 387-396, January.
    18. Zhihua Ma & Yishu Xue & Guanyu Hu, 2019. "Heterogeneous Regression Models for Clusters of Spatial Dependent Data," Papers 1907.02212, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    19. A. Canale & A. Lijoi & B. Nipoti & I. Prünster, 2017. "On the Pitman–Yor process with spike and slab base measure," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 104(3), pages 681-697.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 11(4), pages 230-354, June.
    2. Hauzenberger, Niko, 2021. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 87-108.
    3. Niko Hauzenberger, 2020. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Papers 2006.10088, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    4. Peter Knaus & Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter, 2023. "The Dynamic Triple Gamma Prior as a Shrinkage Process Prior for Time-Varying Parameter Models," Papers 2312.10487, arXiv.org.
    5. Kshitij Khare & Malay Ghosh, 2022. "MCMC Convergence for Global-Local Shrinkage Priors," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(1), pages 211-234, September.
    6. Hauzenberger Niko & Huber Florian & Koop Gary, 2024. "Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-Varying Parameter Regressions Using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(2), pages 201-225, April.
    7. Banerjee, Sayantan, 2022. "Horseshoe shrinkage methods for Bayesian fusion estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    8. Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter & Peter Knaus, 2022. "Sparse Bayesian State-Space and Time-Varying Parameter Models," Papers 2207.12147, arXiv.org.
    9. Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
    10. Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
    11. Florian Huber & Luca Rossini, 2020. "Inference in Bayesian Additive Vector Autoregressive Tree Models," Papers 2006.16333, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    12. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 771-801, April.
    13. Dufays, Arnaud & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2020. "Relevant parameter changes in structural break models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 46-78.
    14. Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
    15. Posch, Konstantin & Arbeiter, Maximilian & Pilz, Juergen, 2020. "A novel Bayesian approach for variable selection in linear regression models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    16. Gregor Kastner & Florian Huber, 2020. "Sparse Bayesian vector autoregressions in huge dimensions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1142-1165, November.
    17. Uddin, Md Nazir & Gaskins, Jeremy T., 2023. "Shared Bayesian variable shrinkage in multinomial logistic regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    18. Arnaud Dufays & Zhuo Li & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Yong Song, 2021. "Sparse change‐point VAR models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 703-727, September.
    19. Luis Gruber & Gregor Kastner, 2022. "Forecasting macroeconomic data with Bayesian VARs: Sparse or dense? It depends!," Papers 2206.04902, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    20. Qifan Song & Guang Cheng, 2020. "Bayesian Fusion Estimation via t Shrinkage," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 82(2), pages 353-385, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:17:y:2021:i:c:p:23-34. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/econometrics-and-statistics .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.