Using a likelihood perspective to sharpen econometric discourse: Three examples
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Robert J. Barro, 2013.
"Inflation and Economic Growth,"
Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 14(1), pages 121-144, May.
- Robert J. Barro, 1995. "Inflation and Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 5326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Robert J. Barro, 2012. "Inflation and Economic Growth," CEMA Working Papers 568, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Sims, Christopher A & Uhlig, Harald, 1991.
"Understanding Unit Rooters: A Helicopter Tour,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1591-1599, November.
- Christopher A. Sims & Harald Uhlig, 1988. "Understanding unit rooters: a helicopter tour," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 4, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Christopher A. Sims, 1993.
"A Nine-Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model,"
NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, pages 179-212,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christopher A. Sims, 1989. "A nine variable probabilistic macroeconomic forecasting model," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 14, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Christopher A. Sims, 1992. "A Nine Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1034, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Christopher A. Sims, 1989. "Modeling trends," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 22, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Sims, Christopher A & Zha, Tao, 1998.
"Bayesian Methods for Dynamic Multivariate Models,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 949-968, November.
- Christopher A. Sims & Tao Zha, 1996. "Bayesian methods for dynamic multivariate models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 96-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Keane, Michael P & Wolpin, Kenneth I, 1997.
"The Career Decisions of Young Men,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(3), pages 473-522, June.
- Michael P. Keane & Kenneth I. Wolpin, 1995. "The career decisions of young men," Working Papers 559, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1993. "Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number stoc93-1.
- Litterman, Robert B, 1983.
"A Random Walk, Markov Model for the Distribution of Time Series,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 1(2), pages 169-173, April.
- Robert B. Litterman, 1983. "A random walk, Markov model for the distribution of time series," Staff Report 84, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W. (ed.), 1993. "Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting," National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press, edition 1, number 9780226774886, April.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019.
"Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 333-355.
- Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis : This Time was Different," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1167, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403269, HAL.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," Post-Print hal-03403613, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Caruso, Alberto & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis: This Time was Different," CEPR Discussion Papers 13016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Albert Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis : this time was different," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403613, HAL.
- Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," Working Papers hal-03403269, HAL.
- Bai, Jushan, 2024.
"Likelihood approach to dynamic panel models with interactive effects,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
- Bai, Jushan, 2013. "Likelihood approach to dynamic panel models with interactive effects," MPRA Paper 50267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2021.
"Multimodality In Macrofinancial Dynamics,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 861-886, May.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2019. "Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Staff Reports 903, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Boyarchenko, Nina & Adrian, Tobias & Giannone, Domenico, 2020. "Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 15088, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kruiniger, Hugo, 2013.
"Quasi ML estimation of the panel AR(1) model with arbitrary initial conditions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(2), pages 175-188.
- Hugo Kruiniger, 2006. "Quasi ML Estimation of the Panel AR(1) Model with Arbitrary Initial Conditions," Working Papers 582, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2022.
"Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17111, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03573080, HAL.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Working Papers 2023-06, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Working Papers hal-03573080, HAL.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Papers 2201.05556, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
- Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2013.
"Panel vector autoregressive models: a survey,"
Working Paper Series
1507, European Central Bank.
- Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2013. "Panel Vector Autoregressive Models: A Survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 9380, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2004. "Testing restrictions in hierarchical normal data models using Gibbs sampling," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 135-157, June.
- Alvarez, Javier & Arellano, Manuel, 2022.
"Robust likelihood estimation of dynamic panel data models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 21-61.
- Javier Álvarez & Manuel Arellano, 2004. "Robust Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Panel Data Models," Working Papers wp2004_0421, CEMFI.
- Carriero, Andrea & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2019.
"A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1226-1239.
- Andrea Carriero & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods," EMF Research Papers 10, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Kruiniger, Hugo, 2013.
"Quasi ML estimation of the panel AR(1) model with arbitrary initial conditions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(2), pages 175-188.
- Hugo Kruiniger, 2006. "Quasi ML Estimation of the Panel AR(1) Model with Arbitrary Initial Conditions," Working Papers 582, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Hugo Kruiniger, 2006. "Quasi ML Estimation of the Panel AR(1) Model with Arbitrary Initial Conditions," Working Papers 582, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Hugo Kruiniger, 2002.
"On the Estimation of Panel Regression Models with Fixed Effects,"
Working Papers
450, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Hugo Kruiniger, 2002. "On the estimation of panel regression models with fixed effects," 10th International Conference on Panel Data, Berlin, July 5-6, 2002 C6-2, International Conferences on Panel Data.
- Kolesár, Michal, 2018. "Minimum distance approach to inference with many instruments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 86-100.
- Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024.
"Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2020. "Density forecast combinations: the real-time dimension," Working Paper Series 2378, European Central Bank.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Tomasz Woźniak, 2016. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 49(3), pages 365-380, September.
- Tomasz Wozniak, 2016. "Rare Events and Risk Perception: Evidence from Fukushima Accident," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2021, The University of Melbourne.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Momferatou, Daphne & Onorante, Luca, 2014.
"Short-term inflation projections: A Bayesian vector autoregressive approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 635-644.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Daphné Momferatu & Luca Onorante, 2010. "Short-term inflation projections: a Bayesian vector autoregressive approach," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-011, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Onorante, Luca & Momferatou, Daphne, 2010. "Short-Term Inflation Projections: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016.
"Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 375-390, July.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2012. "Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 8894, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea CARRIERO & Todd E. CLARK & Massimiliano MARCELLINO, 2012. "Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs," Economics Working Papers ECO2012/08, European University Institute.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers (Old Series) 1206, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010.
"Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics,"
Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 3(4), pages 267-358, July.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Paper series 47_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics," MPRA Paper 20125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- repec:bny:wpaper:0073 is not listed on IDEAS
- Karlsson, Sune, 2013.
"Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 791-897,
Elsevier.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2012. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2012:12, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015.
"Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors,"
Working Papers
759, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors," Working Papers 759, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2015.
"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 739-756.
- Giannone, Domenico & Bańbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 1733, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," CEPR Discussion Papers 9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024.
"Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2020. "Density forecast combinations: the real-time dimension," Working Paper Series 2378, European Central Bank.
- Marek Jarociński & Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2017.
"Granger Causal Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 319-329, May.
- Jarociński, Marek & Maćkowiak, Bartosz, 2013. "Granger-causal-priority and choice of variables in vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1600, European Central Bank.
- Mackowiak, Bartosz & Jarocinski, Marek, 2013. "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 9686, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bartosz Mackowiak, 2015. "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," 2015 Meeting Papers 66, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019.
"Mind the gap: A multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1658-1668.
- Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019. "Mind the gap: a multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections," Working Paper Series 2227, European Central Bank.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2021.
"No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 495-516, August.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2014. "No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 9848, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 20-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1617, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 137-154.
- Paul Viefers, 2011. "Bayesian Inference for the Mixed-Frequency VAR Model," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1172, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
- Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl & Ute Volz, 2022.
"Heterogeneity in Euro Area Monetary Policy Transmission: Results from a Large Multicountry BVAR Model,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(2-3), pages 627-649, March.
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael & Volz, Ute, 2016. "Heterogeneity in euro-area monetary policy transmission: Results from a large multi-country BVAR model," Discussion Papers 03/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Scharnagl, Michael & Mandler, Martin & Volz, Ute, 2016. "Heterogeneity in euro area monetary policy transmission: results from a large multi-country BVAR model," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145847, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Kansho Piotr Otsubo, 2018. "The Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Japan: What Combination of Policies Should Be Used?," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01n02), pages 1-25, February.
- Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2004.
"Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 327-359, June.
- Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 1999. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Economics Working Papers 443, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2000. "Forecasting And Turning Point Predictions In A Bayesian Panel Var Model," Working Papers. Serie AD 2000-05, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2001. "Forecasting and Turning Point Predictions in a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 2961, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antonio José Orozco-Gallo & Pavel Vidal-Alejandro & Johana Sanabria-Domínguez & Jaime Andrés Collazos-Rodríguez, 2021.
"Indicador coincidente de actividad económica en la recesión pandémica: el caso del Caribe colombiano,"
Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana
298, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Antonio José Orozco-Gallo & Pavel Vidal-Alejandro & Johana Sanabria-Domínguez & Jaime Andrés Collazos-Rodríguez, 2021. "Indicador coincidente de actividad económica en la recesión pandémica: el caso del Caribe colombiano," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 19285, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:95:y:2000:i:2:p:443-462. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.