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Higher-order properties of approximate estimators

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  • Kristensen, Dennis
  • Salanié, Bernard

Abstract

Many modern estimation methods in econometrics approximate an objective function, for instance, through simulation or discretization. These approximations typically affect both bias and variance of the resulting estimator. We first provide a higher-order expansion of such “approximate” estimators that takes into account the errors due to the use of approximations. We show how a Newton–Raphson adjustment can reduce the impact of approximations. Then we use our expansions to develop inferential tools that take into account approximation errors: we propose adjustments of the approximate estimator that remove its first-order bias and adjust its standard errors. These corrections apply to a class of approximate estimators that includes all known simulation-based procedures. A Monte Carlo simulation on the mixed logit model shows that our proposed adjustments can yield significant improvements at a low computational cost.

Suggested Citation

  • Kristensen, Dennis & Salanié, Bernard, 2017. "Higher-order properties of approximate estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(2), pages 189-208.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:198:y:2017:i:2:p:189-208
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.10.008
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    6. Sanghyeok Lee & Tue Gørgens, 2022. "Using maximum simulated likelihood methods to overcome left censoring: Dynamic event history models of heart attack risk in New Zealand," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(1), pages 348-376, January.
    7. Jack Britton & Ben Waltmann, 2021. "Revisiting the solution of dynamic discrete choice models: time to bring back Keane and Wolpin (1994)?," IFS Working Papers W21/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    8. Gupta, Abhimanyu, 2023. "Efficient closed-form estimation of large spatial autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 148-167.
    9. Jean-Jacques Forneron, 2019. "A Sieve-SMM Estimator for Dynamic Models," Papers 1902.01456, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    10. Isaiah Andrews & Matthew Gentzkow & Jesse M. Shapiro, 2017. "Measuring the Sensitivity of Parameter Estimates to Estimation Moments," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(4), pages 1553-1592.
    11. Lee, Donghoon & Song, Kyungchul, 2015. "Simulated maximum likelihood estimation for discrete choices using transformed simulated frequencies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 131-153.
    12. Laurent Delsol & Ingrid Van Keilegom, 2020. "Semiparametric M-estimation with non-smooth criterion functions," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 72(2), pages 577-605, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Extremum estimators; Numerical approximation; Simulation-based estimation; Higher-order expansion; Bias adjustment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

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