IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v376y2018icp15-27.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sensitivity analyses for simulating pesticide impacts on honey bee colonies

Author

Listed:
  • Kuan, A. Carmen
  • DeGrandi-Hoffman, Gloria
  • Curry, Robert J.
  • Garber, Kristina V.
  • Kanarek, Andrew R.
  • Snyder, Marcia N.
  • Wolfe, Kurt L.
  • Purucker, S. Thomas

Abstract

We employ Monte Carlo simulation and sensitivity analysis techniques to describe the population dynamics of pesticide exposure to a honey bee colony using the VarroaPop + Pesticide model. Simulations are performed of hive population trajectories with and without pesticide exposure to determine the effects of weather, queen strength, foraging activity, colony resources, and Varroa populations on colony growth and survival. The daily resolution of the model allows us to conditionally identify sensitivity metrics. Simulations indicate queen strength and forager lifespan are consistent, critical inputs for colony dynamics in both the control and exposed conditions. Adult contact toxicity, application rate and nectar load become critical parameters for colony dynamics within exposed simulations. Daily sensitivity analysis also reveals that the relative importance of these parameters fluctuates throughout the simulation period according to the status of other inputs.

Suggested Citation

  • Kuan, A. Carmen & DeGrandi-Hoffman, Gloria & Curry, Robert J. & Garber, Kristina V. & Kanarek, Andrew R. & Snyder, Marcia N. & Wolfe, Kurt L. & Purucker, S. Thomas, 2018. "Sensitivity analyses for simulating pesticide impacts on honey bee colonies," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 376(C), pages 15-27.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:376:y:2018:i:c:p:15-27
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.02.010
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380018300632
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.02.010?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicholas W Calderone, 2012. "Insect Pollinated Crops, Insect Pollinators and US Agriculture: Trend Analysis of Aggregate Data for the Period 1992–2009," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(5), pages 1-27, May.
    2. Schmickl, Thomas & Crailsheim, Karl, 2007. "HoPoMo: A model of honeybee intracolonial population dynamics and resource management," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 219-245.
    3. Gallai, Nicola & Salles, Jean-Michel & Settele, Josef & Vaissière, Bernard E., 2009. "Economic valuation of the vulnerability of world agriculture confronted with pollinator decline," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(3), pages 810-821, January.
    4. Purucker, S.T. & Welsh, C.J.E. & Stewart, R.N. & Starzec, P., 2007. "Use of habitat-contamination spatial correlation to determine when to perform a spatially explicit ecological risk assessment," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 180-192.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hong, Wei & Chen, Bingxue & Lu, Yuntao & Lu, Chuanqi & Liu, Shengping, 2022. "Using system equalization principle to study the effects of multiple factors to the development of bee colony," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 470(C).
    2. Zheng, Yanan & Goodhue, Rachael E., 2022. "Intensive or Extensive Margin Effects? Growers’ Responses to the Restriction of High-Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) Pesticide Products in the San Joaquin Valley, California," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322085, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lippert, Christian & Feuerbacher, Arndt & Narjes, Manuel, 2021. "Revisiting the economic valuation of agricultural losses due to large-scale changes in pollinator populations," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    2. Melathopoulos, Andony P. & Stoner, Alexander M., 2015. "Critique and transformation: On the hypothetical nature of ecosystem service value and its neo-Marxist, liberal and pragmatist criticisms," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 173-181.
    3. Melathopoulos, Andony P. & Cutler, G. Christopher & Tyedmers, Peter, 2015. "Where is the value in valuing pollination ecosystem services to agriculture?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 59-70.
    4. A. Champetier & D. Sumner & J. Wilen, 2015. "The Bioeconomics of Honey Bees and Pollination," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 60(1), pages 143-164, January.
    5. Rafaella Guimarães Porto & Rita Fernandes Almeida & Oswaldo Cruz-Neto & Marcelo Tabarelli & Blandina Felipe Viana & Carlos A. Peres & Ariadna Valentina Lopes, 2020. "Pollination ecosystem services: A comprehensive review of economic values, research funding and policy actions," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 12(6), pages 1425-1442, December.
    6. Luciano Pilati & Vasco Boatto, 2014. "Jointness in Sites: The Case of Migratory Beekeeping," DEM Discussion Papers 2014/10, Department of Economics and Management.
    7. William Glenny & Ian Cavigli & Katie F Daughenbaugh & Rosemarie Radford & Susan E Kegley & Michelle L Flenniken, 2017. "Honey bee (Apis mellifera) colony health and pathogen composition in migratory beekeeping operations involved in California almond pollination," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(8), pages 1-24, August.
    8. Vesa Kanniainen & Tuula Lehtonen & Ilkka Mellin, 2013. "Honeybee Economics - Implications for Ecology Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 4204, CESifo.
    9. Panchalingam, Thadchaigeni & Jones Ritten, Chian & Shogren, Jason F. & Ehmke, Mariah D. & Bastian, Christopher T. & Parkhurst, Gregory M., 2019. "Adding realism to the Agglomeration Bonus: How endogenous land returns affect habitat fragmentation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1-1.
    10. Despina Popovska Stojanov & Lazo Dimitrov & Jiří Danihlík & Aleksandar Uzunov & Miroljub Golubovski & Sreten Andonov & Robert Brodschneider, 2021. "Direct Economic Impact Assessment of Winter Honeybee Colony Losses in Three European Countries," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-11, April.
    11. Balzan, Mario V & Caruana, Julio & Zammit, Annrica, 2018. "Assessing the capacity and flow of ecosystem services in multifunctional landscapes: Evidence of a rural-urban gradient in a Mediterranean small island state," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 711-725.
    12. Smith, Helen F. & Sullivan, Caroline A., 2014. "Ecosystem services within agricultural landscapes—Farmers' perceptions," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 72-80.
    13. Nicholas W Calderone, 2012. "Insect Pollinated Crops, Insect Pollinators and US Agriculture: Trend Analysis of Aggregate Data for the Period 1992–2009," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(5), pages 1-27, May.
    14. repec:idb:brikps:64718 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Ioannis Arzoumanidis & Andrea Raggi & Luigia Petti, 2019. "Life Cycle Assessment of Honey: Considering the Pollination Service," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, March.
    16. Centner, Terence J. & Brewer, Brady & Leal, Isaac, 2018. "Reducing damages from sulfoxaflor use through mitigation measures to increase the protection of pollinator species," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 70-76.
    17. Margot Karlikow & Evan Amalfitano & Xiaolong Yang & Jennifer Doucet & Abigail Chapman & Peivand Sadat Mousavi & Paige Homme & Polina Sutyrina & Winston Chan & Sofia Lemak & Alexander F. Yakunin & Adam, 2023. "CRISPR-induced DNA reorganization for multiplexed nucleic acid detection," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    18. Laura Christ & Daniel C. Dreesmann, 2022. "SAD but True: Species Awareness Disparity in Bees Is a Result of Bee-Less Biology Lessons in Germany," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, February.
    19. Giannini, Tereza C. & Acosta, André L. & Garófalo, Carlos A. & Saraiva, Antonio M. & Alves-dos-Santos, Isabel & Imperatriz-Fonseca, Vera L., 2012. "Pollination services at risk: Bee habitats will decrease owing to climate change in Brazil," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 244(C), pages 127-131.
    20. Tremlett, Constance J. & Peh, Kelvin S.-H. & Zamora-Gutierrez, Veronica & Schaafsma, Marije, 2021. "Value and benefit distribution of pollination services provided by bats in the production of cactus fruits in central Mexico," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    21. Halbich, Cestmir & Vostrovsky, Vaclav, 2012. "Monitoring of infection pressure of American Foulbrood disease by means of Google Maps," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 4(4), pages 1-8, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:376:y:2018:i:c:p:15-27. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.