IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v360y2017icp120-131.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An individual-based model for simulating the ecosystem dynamics of Jiaozhou Bay, China

Author

Listed:
  • Xing, Lei
  • Zhang, Chongliang
  • Chen, Yong
  • Shin, Yunne-Jai
  • Verley, Philippe
  • Yu, Haiqing
  • Ren, Yiping

Abstract

The Object-oriented Simulator of Marine ecoSystem Exploitation (OSMOSE) is one of the end-to-end models developed for ecosystem dynamic simulation and management strategy evaluation (MSE) in support of ecosystem-based fishery management (EBFM). However, the implementation of such integrated models has been limited due to lack of data, and their performance in advising fisheries management has been rarely evaluated. We developed an end-to-end model (OSMOSE-JZB) representing organisms of high and low trophic levels in the Jiaozhou Bay, a temperate bay in China with limited available data. We evaluated the performance of the model for simulating the ecosystem dynamics by comparing the model-predicted species biomass, size structure, trophic level, and mortality with relevant data derived from scientific surveys and literature. In general, the model-predicted species biomass and size ranges were consistent with observations. However, the size structure of the two dominant fish species showed some discrepancies between the model simulations and observations. The predicted mean trophic levels from OSMOSE-JZB were closer to the values derived from an Ecopath model of the same region, compared to the values derived from empirical isotope analysis. The model's output suggested that predation mortality appeared to be the main source of mortality for younger individuals compared to starvation and fishing mortality. This study suggests that the OSMOSE-JZB performs well under a data-poor situation and can be considered as a baseline ecosystem model for developing EBFM.

Suggested Citation

  • Xing, Lei & Zhang, Chongliang & Chen, Yong & Shin, Yunne-Jai & Verley, Philippe & Yu, Haiqing & Ren, Yiping, 2017. "An individual-based model for simulating the ecosystem dynamics of Jiaozhou Bay, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 360(C), pages 120-131.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:360:y:2017:i:c:p:120-131
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.06.010
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380017301461
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.06.010?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mukai, Daiki & Kishi, Michio J. & Ito, Shin-ichi & Kurita, Yutaka, 2007. "The importance of spawning season on the growth of Pacific saury: A model-based study using NEMURO.FISH," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 165-173.
    2. Duboz, Raphaël & Versmisse, David & Travers, Morgane & Ramat, Eric & Shin, Yunne-Jai, 2010. "Application of an evolutionary algorithm to the inverse parameter estimation of an individual-based model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(5), pages 840-849.
    3. Aita, Maki Noguchi & Yamanaka, Yasuhiro & Kishi, Michio J., 2007. "Interdecadal variation of the lower trophic ecosystem in the northern Pacific between 1948 and 2002, in a 3-D implementation of the NEMURO model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 81-94.
    4. Kishi, Michio J. & Kashiwai, Makoto & Ware, Daniel M. & Megrey, Bernard A. & Eslinger, David L. & Werner, Francisco E. & Noguchi-Aita, Maki & Azumaya, Tomonori & Fujii, Masahiko & Hashimoto, Shinji & , 2007. "NEMURO—a lower trophic level model for the North Pacific marine ecosystem," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 12-25.
    5. Richerson, Kate & Levin, Phillip S. & Mangel, Marc, 2010. "Accounting for indirect effects and non-commensurate values in ecosystem based fishery management (EBFM)," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 114-119, January.
    6. Zhang, Chongliang & Chen, Yong & Ren, Yiping, 2016. "The efficacy of fisheries closure in rebuilding depleted stocks: Lessons from size-spectrum modeling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 332(C), pages 59-66.
    7. Grüss, Arnaud & Harford, William J. & Schirripa, Michael J. & Velez, Laure & Sagarese, Skyler R. & Shin, Yunne-Jai & Verley, Philippe, 2016. "Management strategy evaluation using the individual-based, multispecies modeling approach OSMOSE," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 340(C), pages 86-105.
    8. Halouani, Ghassen & Ben Rais Lasram, Frida & Shin, Yunne-Jai & Velez, Laure & Verley, Philippe & Hattab, Tarek & Oliveros-Ramos, Ricardo & Diaz, Frédéric & Ménard, Frédéric & Baklouti, Melika & Guyenn, 2016. "Modelling food web structure using an end-to-end approach in the coastal ecosystem of the Gulf of Gabes (Tunisia)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 339(C), pages 45-57.
    9. Travers, M. & Shin, Y.-J. & Jennings, S. & Machu, E. & Huggett, J.A. & Field, J.G. & Cury, P.M., 2009. "Two-way coupling versus one-way forcing of plankton and fish models to predict ecosystem changes in the Benguela," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(21), pages 3089-3099.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xing, Lei & Chen, Yong & Zhang, Chongliang & Li, Bai & Tanaka, Kisei R. & Boenish, Robert & Ren, Yiping, 2020. "Evaluating impacts of imprecise parameters on the performance of an ecosystem model OSMOSE-JZB," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 419(C).
    2. Hill Cruz, Mariana & Frenger, Ivy & Getzlaff, Julia & Kriest, Iris & Xue, Tianfei & Shin, Yunne-Jai, 2022. "Understanding the drivers of fish variability in an end-to-end model of the Northern Humboldt Current System," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 472(C).
    3. Grüss, Arnaud & Palomares, Maria L.D. & Poelen, Jorrit H. & Barile, Josephine R. & Aldemita, Casey D. & Ortiz, Shelumiel R. & Barrier, Nicolas & Shin, Yunne-Jai & Simons, James & Pauly, Daniel, 2019. "Building bridges between global information systems on marine organisms and ecosystem models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 398(C), pages 1-19.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xing, Lei & Chen, Yong & Zhang, Chongliang & Li, Bai & Tanaka, Kisei R. & Boenish, Robert & Ren, Yiping, 2020. "Evaluating impacts of imprecise parameters on the performance of an ecosystem model OSMOSE-JZB," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 419(C).
    2. Grüss, Arnaud & Palomares, Maria L.D. & Poelen, Jorrit H. & Barile, Josephine R. & Aldemita, Casey D. & Ortiz, Shelumiel R. & Barrier, Nicolas & Shin, Yunne-Jai & Simons, James & Pauly, Daniel, 2019. "Building bridges between global information systems on marine organisms and ecosystem models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 398(C), pages 1-19.
    3. Megrey, Bernard A. & Rose, Kenneth A. & Ito, Shin-ichi & Hay, Douglas E. & Werner, Francisco E. & Yamanaka, Yasuhiro & Aita, Maki Noguchi, 2007. "North Pacific basin-scale differences in lower and higher trophic level marine ecosystem responses to climate impacts using a nutrient-phytoplankton–zooplankton model coupled to a fish bioenergetics m," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 196-210.
    4. Werner, Francisco E. & Ito, Shin-Ichi & Megrey, Bernard A. & Kishi, Michio J., 2007. "Synthesis of the NEMURO model studies and future directions of marine ecosystem modeling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 211-223.
    5. Hill Cruz, Mariana & Frenger, Ivy & Getzlaff, Julia & Kriest, Iris & Xue, Tianfei & Shin, Yunne-Jai, 2022. "Understanding the drivers of fish variability in an end-to-end model of the Northern Humboldt Current System," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 472(C).
    6. Kearney, Kelly A. & Stock, Charles & Aydin, Kerim & Sarmiento, Jorge L., 2012. "Coupling planktonic ecosystem and fisheries food web models for a pelagic ecosystem: Description and validation for the subarctic Pacific," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 237, pages 43-62.
    7. Batchelder, Harold P. & Kashiwai, Makoto, 2007. "Ecosystem modeling with NEMURO within the PICES Climate Change and Carrying Capacity program," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 7-11.
    8. Kakehi, Shigeho & Abo, Jun-ichi & Miyamoto, Hiroomi & Fuji, Taiki & Watanabe, Kazuyoshi & Yamashita, Hideyuki & Suyama, Satoshi, 2020. "Forecasting Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) fishing grounds off Japan using a migration model driven by an ocean circulation model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 431(C).
    9. Bănaru, Daniela & Diaz, Fréderic & Verley, Philippe & Campbell, Rose & Navarro, Jonathan & Yohia, Christophe & Oliveros-Ramos, Ricardo & Mellon-Duval, Capucine & Shin, Yunne-Jai, 2019. "Implementation of an end-to-end model of the Gulf of Lions ecosystem (NW Mediterranean Sea). I. Parameterization, calibration and evaluation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 401(C), pages 1-19.
    10. Rose, Kenneth A. & Werner, Francisco E. & Megrey, Bernard A. & Aita, Maki Noguchi & Yamanaka, Yasuhiro & Hay, Douglas E. & Schweigert, Jake F. & Foster, Matthew Birch, 2007. "Simulated herring growth responses in the Northeastern Pacific to historic temperature and zooplankton conditions generated by the 3-dimensional NEMURO nutrient–phytoplankton–zooplankton model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 184-195.
    11. Sailley, S.F. & Vogt, M. & Doney, S.C. & Aita, M.N. & Bopp, L. & Buitenhuis, E.T. & Hashioka, T. & Lima, I. & Le Quéré, C. & Yamanaka, Y., 2013. "Comparing food web structures and dynamics across a suite of global marine ecosystem models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 261, pages 43-57.
    12. Libralato, Simone & Solidoro, Cosimo, 2009. "Bridging biogeochemical and food web models for an End-to-End representation of marine ecosystem dynamics: The Venice lagoon case study," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(21), pages 2960-2971.
    13. Hashioka, Taketo & Yamanaka, Yasuhiro, 2007. "Ecosystem change in the western North Pacific associated with global warming using 3D-NEMURO," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 95-104.
    14. Bracis, Chloe & Lehuta, Sigrid & Savina-Rolland, Marie & Travers-Trolet, Morgane & Girardin, Raphaël, 2020. "Improving confidence in complex ecosystem models: The sensitivity analysis of an Atlantis ecosystem model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 431(C).
    15. Travers-Trolet, Morgane & Coppin, Franck & Cresson, Pierre & Cugier, Philippe & Oliveros-Ramos, Ricardo & Verley, Philippe, 2019. "Emergence of negative trophic level-size relationships from a size-based, individual-based multispecies fish model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 410(C), pages 1-1.
    16. Masuda, Yoshio & Yamanaka, Yasuhiro & Hirata, Takafumi & Nakano, Hideyuki, 2017. "Competition and community assemblage dynamics within a phytoplankton functional group: Simulation using an eddy-resolving model to disentangle deterministic and random effects," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 1-14.
    17. Ito, Shin-Ichi & Megrey, Bernard A. & Kishi, Michio J. & Mukai, Daiki & Kurita, Yutaka & Ueno, Yasuhiro & Yamanaka, Yasuhiro, 2007. "On the interannual variability of the growth of Pacific saury (Cololabis saira): A simple 3-box model using NEMURO.FISH," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 174-183.
    18. Nawfel Mosbahi & Jean-Philippe Pezy & Jean-Claude Dauvin & Lassad Neifar, 2022. "COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown: An Excellent Opportunity to Study the Effects of Trawling Disturbance on Macrobenthic Fauna in the Shallow Waters of the Gulf of Gabès (Tunisia, Central Mediterranean Sea)," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-17, January.
    19. Mukai, Daiki & Kishi, Michio J. & Ito, Shin-ichi & Kurita, Yutaka, 2007. "The importance of spawning season on the growth of Pacific saury: A model-based study using NEMURO.FISH," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 165-173.
    20. Terui, Takeshi & Kishi, Michio J., 2008. "Population dynamics model of Copepoda (Neocalanus cristatus) in the northwestern subarctic Pacific," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 77-88.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:360:y:2017:i:c:p:120-131. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.