IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v356y2017icp141-150.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Managing stand density to enhance the adaptability of Scots pine stands to climate change: A modelling approach

Author

Listed:
  • Ameztegui, Aitor
  • Cabon, Antoine
  • De Cáceres, Miquel
  • Coll, Lluís

Abstract

In the Mediterranean region most climatic forecasts predict longer and more intense drought periods that can affect tree growth and mortality over broad geographic regions. One of the silvicultural treatments that has gained currency to lessen the impacts of climatic change is the reduction of stand density by thinning. However, we lack information on how the response of forest stands to different thinning treatments will be affected by climate change, and on the post-thinning temporal dynamics of water balance, specifically blue and green water. We adopted a modelling approach to explore the long-term effects of different thinning intensities on forest dynamics and water balance under climate change scenarios, coupling an individual-based model of forest dynamics (SORTIE-ND) with a mechanistic model of soil moisture dynamics and plant drought stress. We used as a case study three Scots pine plots across a gradient of climatic conditions, and we assessed the effect of site, three climatic scenarios and eight thinning intensities on tree growth, stand productivity, tree drought stress and blue water. The best thinning intensity in terms of stand productivity was obtained when between 20 and 40% of the basal area was removed, whereas the final stand stock rapidly decreased at higher thinning intensities. Moreover, the decrease in final basal area occurred at lower thinning intensities the drier the site conditions. Moderate and heavy thinnings (>30%) doubled basal area increment (BAI) of the following years in all the plots, although the effect vanished after 30–40 years, independently of the site and climate scenario. As expected, thinning was simulated to have an overall positive effect on the blue water yield and tree water status, which increased and also tended to last longer for higher thinning intensities. However, the magnitude of this effect on tree water status was most dependent on the site and climatic scenario, as drier conditions generally raised stronger and longer lasting reductions in drought stress for a given thinning intensity. Furthermore, our results highlight the existence of a site- and climate-dependent trade-off between the gain in stand productivity and the improvement in tree water status obtained by thinning, particularly for moderate or heavy thinning intensities. Our simulations suggest that thinning is a useful management tool to mitigate climate change but strongly argue against the application of general recipes across sites and appeals for carefully taking into consideration local climatic trajectories for management planning.

Suggested Citation

  • Ameztegui, Aitor & Cabon, Antoine & De Cáceres, Miquel & Coll, Lluís, 2017. "Managing stand density to enhance the adaptability of Scots pine stands to climate change: A modelling approach," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 356(C), pages 141-150.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:356:y:2017:i:c:p:141-150
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.04.006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380016307931
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.04.006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ameztegui, Aitor & Coll, Lluís & Messier, Christian, 2015. "Modelling the effect of climate-induced changes in recruitment and juvenile growth on mixed-forest dynamics: The case of montane–subalpine Pyrenean ecotones," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 313(C), pages 84-93.
    2. Brendan Choat & Steven Jansen & Tim J. Brodribb & Hervé Cochard & Sylvain Delzon & Radika Bhaskar & Sandra J. Bucci & Taylor S. Feild & Sean M. Gleason & Uwe G. Hacke & Anna L. Jacobsen & Frederic Len, 2012. "Global convergence in the vulnerability of forests to drought," Nature, Nature, vol. 491(7426), pages 752-755, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Morán-Ordóñez, Alejandra & Ameztegui, Aitor & De Cáceres, Miquel & de-Miguel, Sergio & Lefèvre, François & Brotons, Lluís & Coll, Lluís, 2020. "Future trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services in Mediterranean forests under global change scenarios," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    2. Lo, Yueh-Hsin & Blanco, Juan A. & González de Andrés, Ester & Imbert, J. Bosco & Castillo, Federico J., 2019. "CO2 fertilization plays a minor role in long-term carbon accumulation patterns in temperate pine forests in the southwestern Pyrenees," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 407(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Zamora-Pereira, Juan Carlos & Hanewinkel, Marc & Yousefpour, Rasoul, 2023. "Robust management strategies promoting ecological resilience and economic efficiency of a mixed conifer-broadleaf forest in Southwest Germany under the risk of severe drought," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Morán-Ordóñez, Alejandra & Ameztegui, Aitor & De Cáceres, Miquel & de-Miguel, Sergio & Lefèvre, François & Brotons, Lluís & Coll, Lluís, 2020. "Future trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services in Mediterranean forests under global change scenarios," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    2. Daijun Liu & Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert & Nezha Acil & Julen Astigarraga & Emil Cienciala & Jonas Fridman & Georges Kunstler & Thomas J. Matthews & Paloma Ruiz-Benito & Jonathan P. Sadler & Mart-Jan Sc, 2024. "Mapping multi-dimensional variability in water stress strategies across temperate forests," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Krishna, Dyvavani K. & Watham, Taibanganba & Padalia, Hitendra & Srinet, Ritika & Nandy, Subrata, 2023. "Improved gross primary productivity estimation using semi empirical (PRELES) model for moist Indian sal forest," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 475(C).
    4. Rada Matić & Srđan Stamenković & Zorica Popović & Milena Stefanović & Vera Vidaković & Miroslava Smiljanić & Srđan Bojović, 2015. "Tree responses, tolerance and acclimation to stress: Does current research depend on the cultivation status of studied species?," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 105(2), pages 1209-1222, November.
    5. Alejandro Martínez-Calvo & Matthew D. Biviano & Anneline H. Christensen & Eleni Katifori & Kaare H. Jensen & Miguel Ruiz-García, 2024. "The fluidic memristor as a collective phenomenon in elastohydrodynamic networks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Xianliang Zhang & Tim Rademacher & Hongyan Liu & Lu Wang & Rubén D. Manzanedo, 2023. "Fading regulation of diurnal temperature ranges on drought-induced growth loss for drought-tolerant tree species," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Jing Zhang & Xiaoan Zuo & Peng Lv, 2023. "Effects of Grazing, Extreme Drought, Extreme Rainfall and Nitrogen Addition on Vegetation Characteristics and Productivity of Semiarid Grassland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-19, January.
    8. Wenzel Kröber & Shouren Zhang & Merten Ehmig & Helge Bruelheide, 2014. "Linking Xylem Hydraulic Conductivity and Vulnerability to the Leaf Economics Spectrum—A Cross-Species Study of 39 Evergreen and Deciduous Broadleaved Subtropical Tree Species," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(11), pages 1-24, November.
    9. Margot Neyret & Gaëtane Provost & Andrea Larissa Boesing & Florian D. Schneider & Dennis Baulechner & Joana Bergmann & Franciska T. Vries & Anna Maria Fiore-Donno & Stefan Geisen & Kezia Goldmann & An, 2024. "A slow-fast trait continuum at the whole community level in relation to land-use intensification," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-23, December.
    10. Danju Lv & Jiali Zi & Xin Huang & Mingyuan Gao & Rui Xi & Wei Li & Ziqian Wang, 2022. "Feature Extraction on the Difference of Plant Stem Structure Based on Ultrasound Energy," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.
    11. Guo, Youzheng & Ma, Yingjun & Ding, Changjun & Di, Nan & Liu, Yang & Tan, Jianbiao & Zhang, Shusen & Yu, Weichen & Gao, Guixi & Duan, Jie & Xi, Benye & Li, Ximeng, 2023. "Plant hydraulics provide guidance for irrigation management in mature polar plantation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    12. Justin T. Maxwell & Grant L. Harley & Scott M. Robeson, 2016. "On the declining relationship between tree growth and climate in the Midwest United States: the fading drought signal," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 127-142, September.
    13. Laura Myrtiá Faní Stratópoulos & Chi Zhang & Karl-Heinz Häberle & Stephan Pauleit & Swantje Duthweiler & Hans Pretzsch & Thomas Rötzer, 2019. "Effects of Drought on the Phenology, Growth, and Morphological Development of Three Urban Tree Species and Cultivars," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-15, September.
    14. Minxia Zhang & Shulin Chen & Hong Jiang & Yong Lin & Jinmeng Zhang & Xinzhang Song & Guomo Zhou, 2019. "Water-Use Characteristics and Physiological Response of Moso Bamboo to Flash Droughts," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-18, June.
    15. Peipei Xu & Tao Zhou & Chuixiang Yi & Hui Luo & Xiang Zhao & Wei Fang & Shan Gao & Xia Liu, 2018. "Impacts of Water Stress on Forest Recovery and Its Interaction with Canopy Height," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-16, June.
    16. Daniel S. Maynard & Lalasia Bialic-Murphy & Constantin M. Zohner & Colin Averill & Johan Hoogen & Haozhi Ma & Lidong Mo & Gabriel Reuben Smith & Alicia T. R. Acosta & Isabelle Aubin & Erika Berenguer , 2022. "Global relationships in tree functional traits," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    17. Liu, Qiuyu & Peng, Changhui & Schneider, Robert & Cyr, Dominic & Liu, Zelin & Zhou, Xiaolu & Kneeshaw, Daniel, 2021. "TRIPLEX-Mortality model for simulating drought-induced tree mortality in boreal forests: Model development and evaluation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 455(C).
    18. Maristela Volpato & Caio F. Andrade & Elton L. Silva & Maria L. Barbosa & Melina D. Andrade & Pedro. V. Rocha & Rafael C. Delgado & Paulo E. Teodoro & Carlos A. Silva & Marcos G. Pereira, 2023. "Fire foci and their spatiotemporal relations to weather variables and land uses in the state of Mato Grosso," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(11), pages 12419-12438, November.
    19. Melo, L.C. & Schneider, R. & Fortin, M., 2018. "Estimating model- and sampling-related uncertainty in large-area growth predictions," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 390(C), pages 62-69.
    20. Chunyang Liu & Chao Liu & Qianqian Sun & Tianyang Chen & Ya Fan, 2022. "Vegetation Dynamics and Climate from A Perspective of Lag-Effect: A Study Case in Loess Plateau, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-15, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:356:y:2017:i:c:p:141-150. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.