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Identifying bloom origins of the toxic dinoflagellate Karenia brevis in the western Gulf of Mexico using a spatially explicit individual-based model

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  • Henrichs, Darren W.
  • Hetland, Robert D.
  • Campbell, Lisa

Abstract

Harmful algal blooms caused by Karenia brevis result in large fish kills, human respiratory irritation, and shellfishing closures in affected areas. Most previous work on bloom formation in the Gulf of Mexico has focused on the west coast of Florida. To investigate the origin of bloom-forming cells along the coast of Texas, potential distributions of cells during two bloom years (2009, 2011) and one non-bloom year (2010) were examined using a spatially explicit, individual-based model of K. brevis. The model incorporates a previously developed model of dinoflagellate vertical migration and utilizes observed data (field samples of cell concentrations, photosynthetically active radiation) and modeled environmental output (salinity, temperature, current velocities) from a hydrodynamic model. Running the model in reverse showed that cells near the coast of Texas during early fall originate from the southern Gulf of Mexico in bloom years and from the northern Gulf of Mexico in the non-bloom year for the three years studied. Identification of a southern origin for bloom-forming cells provides a target area for increased sampling in order to provide early warning of potentially harmful algal blooms of K. brevis.

Suggested Citation

  • Henrichs, Darren W. & Hetland, Robert D. & Campbell, Lisa, 2015. "Identifying bloom origins of the toxic dinoflagellate Karenia brevis in the western Gulf of Mexico using a spatially explicit individual-based model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 313(C), pages 251-258.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:313:y:2015:i:c:p:251-258
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.06.038
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Grimm, Volker & Berger, Uta & DeAngelis, Donald L. & Polhill, J. Gary & Giske, Jarl & Railsback, Steven F., 2010. "The ODD protocol: A review and first update," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(23), pages 2760-2768.
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    1. Jesús A. Aguilar-Maldonado & Eduardo Santamaría-Del-Ángel & Adriana González-Silvera & Omar D. Cervantes-Rosas & María-Teresa Sebastiá-Frasquet, 2018. "Mapping Satellite Inherent Optical Properties Index in Coastal Waters of the Yucatán Peninsula (Mexico)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, June.
    2. Wang, Chao & Feng, Tao & Wang, Peifang & Hou, Jun & Qian, Jin, 2017. "Understanding the transport feature of bloom-forming Microcystis in a large shallow lake: A new combined hydrodynamic and spatially explicit agent-based modelling approach," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 25-38.

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