IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v285y2014icp39-53.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluating the impact of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits: The example of red king crab in Bristol Bay

Author

Listed:
  • Punt, André E.
  • Poljak, Dusanka
  • Dalton, Michael G.
  • Foy, Robert J.

Abstract

A stage-structured pre-recruit model was developed to capture hypotheses regarding the impact of ocean acidification on the survival of pre-recruit crab. The model was parameterized using life history and survival data for red king crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus) derived from experiments conducted at the National Marine Fisheries Service Kodiak laboratory. A parameterized pre-recruit model was linked to a post-recruit population dynamics model for adult male red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska that included commercial fishery harvest. This coupled population dynamics model was integrated with a bioeconomic model of commercial fishing sector profits to forecast how the impacts of ocean acidification on the survival of pre-recruit red king crab will affect yields and profits for the Bristol Bay red king crab fishery for a scenario that includes future ocean pH levels predictions. Expected yields and profits were projected to decline over the next 50–100 years in this scenario given reductions in pre-recruit survival due to decreasing ocean pH levels over time. The target fishing mortality used to provide management advice based on the current harvest policy for Bristol Bay red king crab also declined over time in response to declining survival rates. However, the impacts of ocean acidification due to reduced pre-recruit survival on yield and profits are likely to be limited for the next 10–20 years, and its effects will likely be masked by natural variation in pre-recruit survival. This analysis is an initial step toward a fully integrated understanding of the impact of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits, and could be used to focus future research efforts.

Suggested Citation

  • Punt, André E. & Poljak, Dusanka & Dalton, Michael G. & Foy, Robert J., 2014. "Evaluating the impact of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits: The example of red king crab in Bristol Bay," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 285(C), pages 39-53.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:285:y:2014:i:c:p:39-53
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.04.017
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380014001987
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.04.017?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. William Christopher Long & Katherine M Swiney & Caitlin Harris & Heather N Page & Robert J Foy, 2013. "Effects of Ocean Acidification on Juvenile Red King Crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus) and Tanner Crab (Chionoecetes bairdi) Growth, Condition, Calcification, and Survival," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(4), pages 1-10, April.
    2. Jason M. Hall-Spencer & Riccardo Rodolfo-Metalpa & Sophie Martin & Emma Ransome & Maoz Fine & Suzanne M. Turner & Sonia J. Rowley & Dario Tedesco & Maria-Cristina Buia, 2008. "Volcanic carbon dioxide vents show ecosystem effects of ocean acidification," Nature, Nature, vol. 454(7200), pages 96-99, July.
    3. Ken Caldeira & Michael E. Wickett, 2003. "Anthropogenic carbon and ocean pH," Nature, Nature, vol. 425(6956), pages 365-365, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fay, Gavin & Link, Jason S. & Hare, Jonathan A., 2017. "Assessing the effects of ocean acidification in the Northeast US using an end-to-end marine ecosystem model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 347(C), pages 1-10.
    2. Chang K. Seung & Michael G. Dalton & André E. Punt & Dusanka Poljak & Robert Foy, 2015. "Economic Impacts Of Changes In An Alaska Crab Fishery From Ocean Acidification," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 1-35, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. J Timothy Wootton & Catherine A Pfister, 2012. "Carbon System Measurements and Potential Climatic Drivers at a Site of Rapidly Declining Ocean pH," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(12), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Chang K. Seung & Michael G. Dalton & André E. Punt & Dusanka Poljak & Robert Foy, 2015. "Economic Impacts Of Changes In An Alaska Crab Fishery From Ocean Acidification," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 1-35, November.
    3. Richards, Russell & Chaloupka, Milani & Sanò, Marcello & Tomlinson, Rodger, 2011. "Modelling the effects of ‘coastal’ acidification on copper speciation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(19), pages 3559-3567.
    4. Carlos Sanz-Lazaro, 2019. "A Framework to Advance the Understanding of the Ecological Effects of Extreme Climate Events," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-18, October.
    5. Detlef Vuuren & Elke Stehfest, 2013. "If climate action becomes urgent: the importance of response times for various climate strategies," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(3), pages 473-486, December.
    6. Pearce, Joshua M. & Johnson, Sara J. & Grant, Gabriel B., 2007. "3D-mapping optimization of embodied energy of transportation," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 435-453.
    7. Bourret, A. & Martin, Y. & Troussellier, M., 2007. "Modelling the response of microbial food web to an increase of atmospheric CO2 partial pressure in a marine Mediterranean coastal ecosystem (Brusc Lagoon, France)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 189-204.
    8. Malone, Thomas C. & DiGiacomo, Paul M. & Gonçalves, Emanuel & Knap, Anthony H. & Talaue-McManus, Liana & de Mora, Stephen, 2014. "A global ocean observing system framework for sustainable development," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 262-272.
    9. Frisch, L.C. & Mathis, J.T. & Kettle, N.P. & Trainor, S.F., 2015. "Gauging perceptions of ocean acidification in Alaska," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 101-110.
    10. Simen Alexander Linge Johnsen & Jörg Bollmann, 2020. "Coccolith mass and morphology of different Emiliania huxleyi morphotypes: A critical examination using Canary Islands material," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-29, March.
    11. Simone Simeone & Emanuela Molinaroli & Alessandro Conforti & Giovanni Falco, 2018. "Impact of ocean acidification on the carbonate sediment budget of a temperate mixed beach," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 150(3), pages 227-242, October.
    12. Ollier Clifford, 2019. "The hoax of ocean acidification," Quaestiones Geographicae, Sciendo, vol. 38(3), pages 59-66, September.
    13. Rau, Greg H. & Knauss, Kevin G. & Langer, William H. & Caldeira, Ken, 2007. "Reducing energy-related CO2 emissions using accelerated weathering of limestone," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1471-1477.
    14. Campbell, Maria S. & Stehfest, Kilian M. & Votier, Stephen C. & Hall-Spencer, Jason M., 2014. "Mapping fisheries for marine spatial planning: Gear-specific vessel monitoring system (VMS), marine conservation and offshore renewable energy," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 293-300.
    15. Unruh, Gregory C. & Carrillo-Hermosilla, Javier, 2006. "Globalizing carbon lock-in," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1185-1197, July.
    16. Ponce Oliva, Roberto D. & Vasquez-Lavín, Felipe & San Martin, Valeska A. & Hernández, José Ignacio & Vargas, Cristian A. & Gonzalez, Pablo S. & Gelcich, Stefan, 2019. "Ocean Acidification, Consumers' Preferences, and Market Adaptation Strategies in the Mussel Aquaculture Industry," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 42-50.
    17. Greasley, David & Hanley, Nicholas & Kunnas, Jan & McLaughlin, Eoin & Oxley, Les & Warde, Paul, 2012. "How Environmental Pollution from Fossil Fuels can be included in measures of National Accounts and Estimates of Genuine Savings," Stirling Economics Discussion Papers 2012-16, University of Stirling, Division of Economics.
    18. Daiju Narita & Katrin Rehdanz & Richard Tol, 2012. "Economic costs of ocean acidification: a look into the impacts on global shellfish production," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 113(3), pages 1049-1063, August.
    19. Alva-Basurto, Jorge Christian & Arias-González, Jesús Ernesto, 2014. "Modelling the effects of climate change on a Caribbean coral reef food web," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 289(C), pages 1-14.
    20. Edison D. Macusi & Nitcel Aymie Albarido & Misael B. Clapano & Mudjekeewis D. Santos, 2022. "Vulnerability Assessment of Pacific Whiteleg Shrimp ( Penaeus vannamei ) Farms and Vendors in Davao, Philippines Using FishVool," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-15, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:285:y:2014:i:c:p:39-53. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.