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Linear–quadratic term structure models for negative euro area yields

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  • Realdon, Marco
  • Boonyanet, Wachira

Abstract

Four factor linear–quadratic models (LQTSM) fit negative Euro yields well, as short yields can be negative, but not the longest yields. LQTSM outperform four factor quadratic models that permit negative yields, which in turn outperform affine Gaussian models.

Suggested Citation

  • Realdon, Marco & Boonyanet, Wachira, 2017. "Linear–quadratic term structure models for negative euro area yields," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 149-153.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:155:y:2017:i:c:p:149-153
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2017.03.029
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sarno, Lucio & Schneider, Paul & Wagner, Christian, 2016. "The economic value of predicting bond risk premia," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 247-267.
    2. Dong-Hyun Ahn & Robert F. Dittmar, 2002. "Quadratic Term Structure Models: Theory and Evidence," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(1), pages 243-288, March.
    3. Peng Cheng & Olivier Scaillet, 2007. "Linear‐Quadratic Jump‐Diffusion Modeling," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(4), pages 575-598, October.
    4. Realdon, Marco, 2016. "Tests of non linear Gaussian term structure models," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 128-147.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Linear–quadratic term structure models; Quadratic models; Discrete time; Negative yields; Extended Kalman Filter;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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