IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecofin/v74y2024ics1062940824001827.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does climate change matter for bank profitability? Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Lee, Chien-Chiang
  • Zhang, Xiaoli
  • Lee, Chi-Chuan

Abstract

Using panel data from 87 China’s banks from 2011 to 2022, this research investigates whether and how climate change affects bank profitability. It is discovered that the improvement of bank profitability is severely hampered by climate change. The main ways that climate change affects bank profitability are by causing financial losses to bank creditors, changing the likelihood of defaults and the quality of bank credit assets. Energy conservation and carbon reduction, the implementation of green financial policies, and ensuring that banks have enough capital are all factors that can help mitigate the negative effects of climate change on bank profitability. In addition, climate change has a greater negative effect on the profitability of small-sized banks, regional banks, and banks with lower levels of liquidity. In conclusion, this study offers forward-looking suggestions for banks to reduce risks from climate change, which is critical for encouraging low-carbon and green development and averting systemic financial risks. It also offers theoretical references for Chinese banks to develop customized policies and strategies to address these risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zhang, Xiaoli & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2024. "Does climate change matter for bank profitability? Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:74:y:2024:i:c:s1062940824001827
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102257
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940824001827
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102257?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Irene Monasterolo & Stefano Battiston & Anthony C. Janetos & Zoey Zheng, 2017. "Vulnerable yet relevant: the two dimensions of climate-related financial disclosure," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(3), pages 495-507, December.
    2. Zhang, Xiaoming & Tian, Yiming & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Enforcement actions and systemic risk," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Berger, Allen N. & Bouwman, Christa H.S., 2013. "How does capital affect bank performance during financial crises?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 146-176.
    4. Liu, Rongyan & He, Lingyun & Xia, Yufei & Fu, Yating & Chen, Ling, 2023. "Research on the time-varying effects among green finance markets in China: A fresh evidence from multi-frequency scale perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Anginer, Deniz & Demirguc-Kunt, Asli & Huizinga, Harry & Ma, Kebin, 2013. "How does corporate governance affect bank capitalization strategies ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6636, The World Bank.
    6. Demirguc, Asli & Huizinga, Harry, 1999. "Determinants of Commercial Bank Interest Margins and Profitability: Some International Evidence," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 13(2), pages 379-408, May.
    7. Benincasa, Emanuela & Betz, Frank & Gattini, Luca, 2024. "How do firms cope with losses from extreme weather events?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Duc Duy Nguyen & Steven Ongena & Shusen Qi & Vathunyoo Sila, 2022. "Climate Change Risk and the Cost of Mortgage Credit [Does climate change affect real estate prices? Only if you believe in it]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(6), pages 1509-1549.
    9. Wang, Chunyang & Lin, Yongjia, 2021. "Income diversification and bank risk in Asia Pacific," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    10. Tamazian, Artur & Bhaskara Rao, B., 2010. "Do economic, financial and institutional developments matter for environmental degradation? Evidence from transitional economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 137-145, January.
    11. Klomp, Jeroen, 2014. "Financial fragility and natural disasters: An empirical analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 180-192.
    12. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1992. "The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 901-921, September.
    13. Javadi, Siamak & Masum, Abdullah-Al, 2021. "The impact of climate change on the cost of bank loans," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham & Matthew T Gustafson & Ryan C Lewis & Michael Schwert & Gregor Matvos, 2023. "Sea-Level Rise Exposure and Municipal Bond Yields," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 36(11), pages 4588-4635.
    15. Duan, Tinghua & Li, Frank Weikai, 2024. "Climate change concerns and mortgage lending," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    16. Francisco Ascui & Theodor F. Cojoianu, 2019. "Implementing natural capital credit risk assessment in agricultural lending," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(6), pages 1234-1249, September.
    17. Jochen Hinkel & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Sally Brown & Jose A. Jiménez & Daniel Lincke & Robert J. Nicholls & Paolo Scussolini & Agustín Sanchez-Arcilla & Athanasios Vafeidis & Kwasi Appeaning Addo, 2018. "The ability of societies to adapt to twenty-first-century sea-level rise," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(7), pages 570-578, July.
    18. Douglas W. Diamond & Philip H. Dybvig, 2000. "Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, vol. 24(Win), pages 14-23.
    19. Elsas, Ralf & Hackethal, Andreas & Holzhäuser, Markus, 2010. "The anatomy of bank diversification," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1274-1287, June.
    20. Baselga-Pascual, Laura & Trujillo-Ponce, Antonio & Cardone-Riportella, Clara, 2015. "Factors influencing bank risk in Europe: Evidence from the financial crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 138-166.
    21. Liu, Min & Liu, Hong-Fei & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "An empirical study on the response of the energy market to the shock from the artificial intelligence industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    22. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chang-song & He, Zhiwen & Xing, Wen-wu & Wang, Keying, 2023. "How does green finance affect energy efficiency? The role of green technology innovation and energy structure," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P1).
    23. Delavane Diaz & Frances Moore, 2017. "Quantifying the economic risks of climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(11), pages 774-782, November.
    24. Jing-Li Fan & Zixia Ding & Kai Li & Qian Wang & Xian Zhang, 2023. "Research on carbon neutrality from the past to the future: a bibliometric analysis," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 27-48, January.
    25. Tinghua Duan & Frank Weikai Li, 2024. "Climate change concerns and mortgage lending," Post-Print hal-04543631, HAL.
    26. Abedifar, Pejman & Molyneux, Philip & Tarazi, Amine, 2018. "Non-interest income and bank lending," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 411-426.
    27. Aloui, Donia & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Guesmi, Khaled & Vigne, Samuel, 2023. "The European Central Bank and green finance: How would the green quantitative easing affect the investors' behavior during times of crisis?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    28. Ding, Xin & Ren, Yajing & Tan, Wenhao & Wu, Haomin, 2023. "Does carbon emission of firms matter for Bank loans decision? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    29. Pan, Yinghao & Zhang, Chao-Chao & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lv, Suxiang, 2024. "Environmental performance evaluation of electric enterprises during a power crisis: Evidence from DEA methods and AI prediction algorithms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    30. Bernstein, Asaf & Gustafson, Matthew T. & Lewis, Ryan, 2019. "Disaster on the horizon: The price effect of sea level rise," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 253-272.
    31. Tsafack, Georges & Li, Yifei & Beliaeva, Natalia, 2021. "Too-big-to-fail: The value of government guarantee," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    32. Xu, Hao & Xu, Jingxuan & Wang, Jie & Hou, Xiang, 2023. "Reduce production or increase efficiency? Hazardous air pollutants regulation, energy use, and the synergistic effect on industrial enterprises' carbon emission," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    33. Haw, In-Mu & Ho, Simon S.M. & Hu, Bingbing & Wu, Donghui, 2010. "Concentrated control, institutions, and banking sector: An international study," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 485-497, March.
    34. Jin Sheng & Yubin Gao, 2023. "Combining the financial development and stock market return for green economic recovery in selected developing economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 3885-3908, December.
    35. Baele, Lieven & De Jonghe, Olivier & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2007. "Does the stock market value bank diversification?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(7), pages 1999-2023, July.
    36. Qian Chen & Chuang Shen, 2024. "How FinTech Affects Bank Systemic Risk: Evidence from China," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 65(1), pages 77-101, February.
    37. Shuai Chen & Paulina Oliva & Peng Zhang, 2018. "Air Pollution and Mental Health: Evidence from China," NBER Working Papers 24686, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Song, Hepeng & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "Assessing the effect of green finance on energy inequality in China via household-level analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    39. Mirza, Faisal Mehmood & Sinha, Avik & Khan, Javeria Rehman & Kalugina, Olga A. & Zafar, Muhammad Wasif, 2022. "Impact of Energy Efficiency on CO2 Emissions: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 111923, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2022.
    40. Li, Linwen & Gao, Wei & Gu, Wanhong, 2023. "Fintech, bank concentration and commercial bank profitability: Evidence from Chinese urban commercial banks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    41. Zhou, Guangyou & Sun, Yongkun & Luo, Sumei & Liao, Jiayi, 2021. "Corporate social responsibility and bank financial performance in China: The moderating role of green credit," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    42. Billings, Stephen B. & Gallagher, Emily A. & Ricketts, Lowell, 2022. "Let the rich be flooded: The distribution of financial aid and distress after hurricane harvey," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 797-819.
    43. Zhang, Dongyang & Mohsin, Muhammad & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2022. "Does green finance counteract the climate change mitigation: Asymmetric effect of renewable energy investment and R&D," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    44. Irene Monasterolo, 2020. "Climate Change and the Financial System," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 12(1), pages 299-320, October.
    45. Francis, Bill B. & Hasan, Iftekhar & Küllü, A. Melih & Zhou, Mingming, 2018. "Should banks diversify or focus? Know thyself: The role of abilities," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 106-118.
    46. Hsieh, Meng-Fen & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lin, Yi-Ching, 2024. "How does competition influence liquidity creation? Exploring credit risk, foreign banks, and crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 419-441.
    47. Hui Li & Ruining Zhang & Lingyue Zhang & Yu Qin & Hua Liao, 2023. "Energy production revolution in China during 2015–2019: progress and challenges," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 85-109, January.
    48. Jiandong Chen & Ping Wang & Ming Gao & Wenxuan Hou & Haiming Liao, 2022. "Carbon sequestration capacity of terrestrial vegetation in China based on satellite data," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 109-124, January.
    49. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhang, Xiaotong, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and risks taken by the bank: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    50. Lou, Zhaohui & Xie, Qizhuo & Shen, Jim Huangnan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Does Supply Chain Finance (SCF) alleviate funding constraints of SMEs? Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    51. Trinh, Hai Hong & Sharma, Gagan Deep & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Vo, Diem Thi Hong, 2022. "Examining the heterogeneity of financial development in the energy-environment nexus in the era of climate change: Novel evidence around the world," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    52. Akhigbe, Aigbe & Whyte, Ann Marie, 2003. "Changes in market assessments of bank risk following the Riegle-Neal Act of 1994," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 87-102, January.
    53. Wang, Ying & Li, Mingsheng, 2022. "Credit policy and its heterogeneous effects on green innovations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    54. Lang, Qiaoqi & Ma, Feng & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "The interaction of climate risk and bank liquidity: An emerging market perspective for transitions to low carbon energy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    55. Benjamin J. Keys & Philip Mulder, 2020. "Neglected No More: Housing Markets, Mortgage Lending, and Sea Level Rise," NBER Working Papers 27930, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    56. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Song, Hepeng & An, Jiafu, 2024. "The impact of green finance on energy transition: Does climate risk matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Le, Anh-Tuan & Tran, Thao Phuong & Mishra, Anil V., 2023. "Climate risk and bank stability: International evidence," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 70.
    2. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Carbon lock-in endgame: Can energy trilemma eradication contribute to decarbonization?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    3. Wu, Xin & Bai, Xiao & Qi, Hanying & Lu, Lanxin & Yang, Mingyuan & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "The impact of climate change on banking systemic risk," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 419-437.
    4. Velasco, Pilar, 2022. "Is bank diversification a linking channel between regulatory capital and bank value?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(4).
    5. Căpraru, Bogdan & Ihnatov, Iulian & Pintilie, Nicoleta-Livia, 2020. "Competition and diversification in the European Banking Sector," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    6. Haykel Zouaoui & Faten Zoghlami, 2023. "What do we know about the impact of income diversification on bank performance? A systematic literature review," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(3), pages 286-309, September.
    7. Justin Contat & Carrie Hopkins & Luis Mejia & Matthew Suandi, 2024. "When climate meets real estate: A survey of the literature," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 52(3), pages 618-659, May.
    8. Jochen Mankart & Alexander Michaelides & Spyros Pagratis, 2020. "Bank capital buffers in a dynamic model," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 49(2), pages 473-502, June.
    9. Tran, Dung Viet & Hassan, M. Kabir & Houston, Reza, 2019. "Activity strategies, information asymmetry, and bank opacity," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 160-172.
    10. Minzhi Wu & Emili Tortosa-Ausina & Paula Cruz-García, 2024. "The impact of diversification on the profitability and risk of Chinese banks: evidence from a semiparametric approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(6), pages 2565-2606, December.
    11. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Shahab, Yasir & Wang, Wenhao & Işık, Özcan & Mehroush, Iqra, 2024. "Diversification and bank stability: Role of political instability and climate risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 63-92.
    12. Berger, Allen N. & Bouwman, Christa H.S., 2017. "Bank liquidity creation, monetary policy, and financial crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 139-155.
    13. Gupta, Juhi & Kashiramka, Smita & Ly, Kim Cuong & Pham, Ha, 2023. "The interrelationship between bank capital and liquidity creation: A non-linear perspective from the Asia-Pacific region," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 793-820.
    14. Andrea Landi, Alex Sclip, Valeria Venturelli, 2019. "The effect of the Fed zero-lower bound announcementon bank profitability and diversification," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0079, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
    15. Bessler, Wolfgang & Kurmann, Philipp & Nohel, Tom, 2015. "Time-varying systematic and idiosyncratic risk exposures of US bank holding companies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 45-68.
    16. Ahmad Sahyouni & Man Wang, 2019. "Liquidity Creation and Bank Performance of Syrian Banks before and during the Syrian War," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-17, July.
    17. Zhang, Dayong & Wu, Yalin & Ji, Qiang & Guo, Kun & Lucey, Brian, 2024. "Climate impacts on the loan quality of Chinese regional commercial banks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    18. Sylwester Kozak & Agata Wierzbowska, 2022. "Did the COVID-19 pandemic amplify the positive impact of income diversification on the profitability of European banks?," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(1), pages 11-29, March.
    19. Lamperti, Francesco & Bosetti, Valentina & Roventini, Andrea & Tavoni, Massimo & Treibich, Tania, 2021. "Three green financial policies to address climate risks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    20. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Qian, Anqi, 2024. "Regional differences, dynamic evolution, and obstacle factors of cultivated land ecological security in China," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; Bank profitability; Credit quality; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:74:y:2024:i:c:s1062940824001827. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620163 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.