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The ability of societies to adapt to twenty-first-century sea-level rise

Author

Listed:
  • Jochen Hinkel

    (Global Climate Forum (GCF)
    Humboldt-University)

  • Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Sally Brown

    (University of Southampton)

  • Jose A. Jiménez

    (Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, BarcelonaTech)

  • Daniel Lincke

    (Global Climate Forum (GCF))

  • Robert J. Nicholls

    (University of Southampton)

  • Paolo Scussolini

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Agustín Sanchez-Arcilla

    (Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, BarcelonaTech
    International Centre for Coastal Resources Research)

  • Athanasios Vafeidis

    (Christian-Albrechts University Kiel)

  • Kwasi Appeaning Addo

    (University of Ghana)

Abstract

Against the background of potentially substantial sea-level rise, one important question is to what extent are coastal societies able to adapt? This question is often answered in the negative by referring to sinking islands and submerged megacities. Although these risks are real, the picture is incomplete because it lacks consideration of adaptation. This Perspective explores societies’ abilities to adapt to twenty-first-century sea-level rise by integrating perspectives from coastal engineering, economics, finance and social sciences, and provides a comparative analysis of a set of cases that vary in terms of technological limits, economic and financial barriers to adaptation and social conflicts.

Suggested Citation

  • Jochen Hinkel & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Sally Brown & Jose A. Jiménez & Daniel Lincke & Robert J. Nicholls & Paolo Scussolini & Agustín Sanchez-Arcilla & Athanasios Vafeidis & Kwasi Appeaning Addo, 2018. "The ability of societies to adapt to twenty-first-century sea-level rise," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(7), pages 570-578, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:8:y:2018:i:7:d:10.1038_s41558-018-0176-z
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0176-z
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jochen Hinkel & Diana Mangalagiu & Alexander Bisaro & J. David Tàbara, 2020. "Transformative narratives for climate action," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(4), pages 495-506, June.
    2. Etienne Piguet, 2019. "Climatic Statelessness: Risk Assessment and Policy Options," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 45(4), pages 865-883, December.
    3. Alexander Bisaro & Mark Bel & Jochen Hinkel & Sien Kok & Laurens M. Bouwer, 2020. "Leveraging public adaptation finance through urban land reclamation: cases from Germany, the Netherlands and the Maldives," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(4), pages 671-689, June.
    4. Soroush Kouhi & M. Reza Hashemi & Malcolm Spaulding & Tetsu Hara, 2022. "Modeling the impact of sea level rise on maximum water elevation during storm surge events: a closer look at coastal embayments," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 171(3), pages 1-20, April.
    5. Antoine Mandel & Timothy Tiggeloven & Daniel Lincke & Elco Koks & Philip Ward & Jochen Hinkel, 2021. "Risks on global financial stability induced by climate change: the case of flood risks," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-24, May.
    6. Geronimo Gussmann & Jochen Hinkel, 2020. "What drives relocation policies in the Maldives?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 931-951, November.
    7. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Ali, Md. Sumon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Mahi, Masnun Al & Liu, Yang & Park, Donghyun, 2022. "Is Bangladesh on the right path toward sustainable development? An empirical exploration of energy sources, economic growth, and CO2 discharges nexus," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Ezekiel Grant & Nikolaos Iliopoulos & Miguel Esteban & Motoharu Onuki, 2024. "A tale of two (Florida) cities: perceptions of flooding risk and adaptation in Tampa’s Hyde Park and Saint Augustine," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 29(8), pages 1-20, December.
    9. Kok, Sien & Bisaro, Alexander & de Bel, Mark & Hinkel, Jochen & Bouwer, Laurens M., 2021. "The potential of nature-based flood defences to leverage public investment in coastal adaptation: Cases from the Netherlands, Indonesia and Georgia," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    10. Kaihang Zhou & Scott Hawken, 2023. "Climate-Related Sea Level Rise and Coastal Wastewater Treatment Infrastructure Futures: Landscape Planning Scenarios for Negotiating Risks and Opportunities in Australian Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-23, June.
    11. Julie Rozenberg & Marianne Fay, 2019. "Beyond the Gap," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 31291.
    12. Johnson Ankrah & Ana Monteiro & Helena Madureira, 2023. "Geospatiality of sea level rise impacts and communities’ adaptation: a bibliometric analysis and systematic review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(1), pages 1-31, March.
    13. Lena Reimann & Bryan Jones & Nora Bieker & Claudia Wolff & Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts & Athanasios T. Vafeidis, 2023. "Exploring spatial feedbacks between adaptation policies and internal migration patterns due to sea-level rise," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    14. Paul Kirshen & Mark Borrelli & Jarrett Byrnes & Robert Chen & Lucy Lockwood & Chris Watson & Kimberly Starbuck & Jack Wiggin & Allison Novelly & Kristin Uiterwyk & Kelli Thurson & Brett McMann & Carly, 2020. "Integrated assessment of storm surge barrier systems under present and future climates and comparison to alternatives: a case study of Boston, USA," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 445-464, September.
    15. Xinmeng Shan & Jie Yin & Jun Wang, 2022. "Risk assessment of shanghai extreme flooding under the land use change scenario," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(2), pages 1039-1060, January.

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