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Dynamic volatility spillovers between industries in the US stock market: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic and Black Monday

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  • Choi, Sun-Yong

Abstract

We examine the volatility spillovers among various industries during the COVID-19 pandemic period. We measure volatility spillovers by defining the volatility of each sector in the S&P 500 index and implement a static and rolling-window analysis following the Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) approach. We find that the pandemic enhanced volatility spillovers, which reveals the financial contagion effects on the US stock market. Second, there were sudden, large changes in the dynamic volatility spillovers on Black Monday (March 9, 2020), much of it due to the energy sector shock. These findings have important implications for portfolio managers and policymakers.

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  • Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Dynamic volatility spillovers between industries in the US stock market: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic and Black Monday," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:59:y:2022:i:c:s1062940821002102
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101614
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    Cited by:

    1. Tam Hoang-Nhat Dang & Nhan Thien Nguyen & Duc Hong Vo, 2023. "Sectoral volatility spillovers and their determinants in Vietnam," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 681-700, February.
    2. Zhao, Yihang & Zhou, Zhenxi & Zhang, Kaiwen & Huo, Yaotong & Sun, Dong & Zhao, Huiru & Sun, Jingqi & Guo, Sen, 2023. "Research on spillover effect between carbon market and electricity market: Evidence from Northern Europe," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PF).
    3. Marek Nagy & Katarina Valaskova & Erika Kovalova & Marcel Macura, 2024. "Drivers of S&P 500’s Profitability: Implications for Investment Strategy and Risk Management," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-24, March.
    4. Zhou, Wei & Chen, Yan & Chen, Jin, 2024. "Dynamic volatility spillover and market emergency: Matching and forecasting," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Oktay Ozkan & Salah Abosedra & Arshian Sharif & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2024. "Dynamic volatility among fossil energy, clean energy and major assets: evidence from the novel DCC-GARCH," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-19, June.
    6. Sun Meng & Yan Chen, 2023. "Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, March.
    7. Yong Li & Ziyi Zhang & Tong Niu, 2022. "Two-Way Risk Spillover of Financial and Real Sectors in the Presence of Major Public Emergencies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-20, October.
    8. Ali, Syed Riaz Mahmood & Anik, Kaysul Islam & Hasan, Mohammad Nurul & Kamal, Md Rajib, 2023. "Geopolitical threats, equity returns, and optimal hedging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    9. Liu, Bin & Xiao, Wen & Zhu, Xingting, 2023. "How does inter-industry spillover improve the performance of volatility forecasting?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    10. Xu, Hao & Li, Songsong & Tian, Zhihong, 2023. "Does foreign equity investment impact the spillover effect of industries in China?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    11. Lim, Seo-Yeon & Choi, Sun-Yong, 2024. "Dynamic credit risk transmissions among global major industries: Evidence from the TVP-VAR spillover approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Umar, Zaghum & Polat, Onur & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness between non-fungible tokens, decentralized finance, and conventional financial assets in a time-frequency framework," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    13. Yousaf, Imran & Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Alshater, Muneer M. & Bouri, Elie & Li, Yanshuang, 2023. "Multidimensional connectedness among the volatility of global financial markets around the Russian-Ukrainian conflict," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    14. Choi, Sun-Yong & Phiri, Andrew & Teplova, Tamara & Umar, Zaghum, 2024. "Connectedness between (un)conventional monetary policy and islamic and advanced equity markets: A returns and volatility spillover analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 348-363.
    15. Zhao, Wandi & Gao, Yang, 2024. "Dynamic patterns and the latent community structure of sectoral volatility and jump risk contagion," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    16. Wellington Garikai Bonga & Ledwin Chimwai & Puruweti Siyakiya & Ireen Choga, 2022. "Stock Market Volatility in Zimbabwe Stock Exchange during Pandemic Period," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 10(2), pages 68-82.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility spillovers; S&P 500 index; COVID-19 pandemic; Black Monday;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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