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Futures minimum variance hedge ratio determination: An ex-ante analysis

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  • Chen, Ren-Raw
  • Leistikow, Dean
  • Wang, Andrew

Abstract

Traditionally, futures Minimum Variance Hedge Ratios (MVHRs) are determined ex post. In this paper, we derive 3 increasingly realistic ex ante MVHRs, based on the carry cost and the Vasicek model. The hedging performance of the most realistic ex ante MVHR determination method is compared to, and found to be superior to, that of the traditional MVHR for the S&P 500 index, gold, and the EUR/USD exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Ren-Raw & Leistikow, Dean & Wang, Andrew, 2020. "Futures minimum variance hedge ratio determination: An ex-ante analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:54:y:2020:i:c:s1062940818302687
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2019.02.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yu, Xing & Li, Yanyan & Lu, Junli & Shen, Xilin, 2023. "Futures hedging in crude oil markets: A trade-off between risk and return," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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