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Allegations of maltreatment and delinquency: Does risk of juvenile arrest vary substantiation status?

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  • Chiu, Yu-Ling
  • Ryan, Joseph P.
  • Herz, Denise C.

Abstract

There exists a healthy debate about the process and value of substantiation in child welfare. Much of this debate focuses on understanding whether substantiated and unsubstantiated allegations of maltreatment share equal risk of recurrence. In the current study we seek to advance this debate by extending the analyses to focus specifically on the risk of juvenile delinquency. We also seek to determine whether the relationship between substantiation and delinquency varies by race and gender. Our sample includes 38,223 youth between 5 and 16Â years of age from Los Angeles County. We use propensity score matching to create relatively equivalent groups and use Cox Regression to model the risk of juvenile arrest. The results indicate that the relative risk ratio of arrest is 2.2 times greater for youth associated with a substantiated report of maltreatment as compared with similar youth associated with an unsubstantiated report of maltreatment. Older youth, and African American youth are also at an increased risk of juvenile arrest. These findings indicate that the process of substantiation is not without merit - as investigators and supervisors are clearly able to distinguish cases based on individual risks and strengths.

Suggested Citation

  • Chiu, Yu-Ling & Ryan, Joseph P. & Herz, Denise C., 2011. "Allegations of maltreatment and delinquency: Does risk of juvenile arrest vary substantiation status?," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 855-860, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:cysrev:v:33:y:2011:i:6:p:855-860
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Oosterman, Mirjam & Schuengel, Carlo & Wim Slot, N. & Bullens, Ruud A.R. & Doreleijers, Theo A.H., 2007. "Disruptions in foster care: A review and meta-analysis," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 53-76, January.
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    4. Goodkind, Sara & Wallace, John M. & Shook, Jeffrey J. & Bachman, Jerald & O'Malley, Patrick, 2009. "Are girls really becoming more delinquent? Testing the gender convergence hypothesis by race and ethnicity, 1976-2005," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 885-895, August.
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    7. Ryan, Joseph P. & Herz, Denise & Hernandez, Pedro M. & Marshall, Jane Marie, 2007. "Maltreatment and delinquency: Investigating child welfare bias in juvenile justice processing," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 29(8), pages 1035-1050, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Baglivio, Michael T. & Wolff, Kevin T. & Epps, Nathan, 2021. "Violent juveniles' adverse childhood experiences: Differentiating victim groups," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Snyder, Susan M. & Smith, Rachel E., 2015. "Do youth with substantiated child maltreatment investigations have distinct patterns of delinquent behaviors?," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 82-89.
    3. Leban, Lindsay & Gibson, Chris L., 2020. "The role of gender in the relationship between adverse childhood experiences and delinquency and substance use in adolescence," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Lee, Sei-Young & Villagrana, Margarita, 2015. "Differences in risk and protective factors between crossover and non-crossover youth in juvenile justice," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 18-27.
    5. Cénat, Jude Mary & McIntee, Sara-Emilie & Mukunzi, Joana N. & Noorishad, Pari-Gole, 2021. "Overrepresentation of Black children in the child welfare system: A systematic review to understand and better act," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    6. Heirigs, Mark H., 2021. "The role of psychopathy and childhood maltreatment in homicidal ideation," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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