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The determinants of market-wide issue cycles for initial public offerings

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  • Ivanov, Vladimir
  • Lewis, Craig M.

Abstract

This paper identifies the determinants of market-wide issue cycles for initial public offerings (IPOs) using an autoregressive conditional count model. We consider whether IPO volume is related to business conditions, investor sentiment, and time variation in adverse selection costs caused by asymmetric information between managers and investors. We provide evidence indicating that time variation in business conditions and investor sentiment are important determinants of monthly issue activity. By contrast, time variation in adverse selection costs does not significantly affect IPO volume.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivanov, Vladimir & Lewis, Craig M., 2008. "The determinants of market-wide issue cycles for initial public offerings," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 567-583, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:14:y:2008:i:5:p:567-583
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    3. Nuno Silva & Helder Sebastião & Diogo Henriques, 2021. "IPO Patterns in Euronext After the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 52, pages 137-155, july.
    4. Nguyen Thanh, Binh, 2020. "Macroeconomic uncertainty, the option to wait and IPO issue cycles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    5. Xinyu Wang & Cathy Ning, 2022. "A new Markov regime‐switching count time series approach for forecasting initial public offering volumes and detecting issue cycles," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 118-133, January.
    6. Nino Fonseca, 2021. "Tourism Resources, Tourism Specialization and Economic Growth," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 52, pages 113-135, july.
    7. George A Shinkle & Jo-Ann Suchard, 2019. "Innovation in newly public firms: The influence of government grants, venture capital, and private equity," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 44(2), pages 248-281, May.
    8. Vithessonthi, Chaiporn, 2014. "What explains the initial return of initial public offerings after the 1997 Asian financial crisis? Evidence from Thailand," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 89-113.
    9. Roberto Pinheiro, 2018. "Venture capital and underpricing: capacity constraints and early sales," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-47, February.
    10. Güçbilmez, Ufuk, 2015. "IPO waves in China and Hong Kong," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 14-26.
    11. Wim Naudé & Martin Cameron, 2021. "Export-Led Growth after COVID-19: The Case of Portugal," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 52, pages 7-53, July.
    12. Daniel Murta, 2021. "Autonomous Vehicles and Public Transportation," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 53, pages 103-121, December.
    13. Giaccotto, Carmelo & Golec, Joseph & Vernon, John, 2011. "New estimates of the cost of capital for pharmaceutical firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 526-540, June.
    14. Gullapalli, Rachita & Knyazeva, Anzhela, 2020. "Foreign issuers in emerging growth company IPOs," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    15. Wolfgang Drobetz & Dimitrios Gounopoulos & Anna Merika & Andreas Merikas, 2017. "Determinants of Management Earnings Forecasts: The Case of Global Shipping IPOs," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(5), pages 975-1015, October.
    16. Óscar Afonso & Carlos Pinto & Paulo Beleza Vasconcelos, 2021. "Intra-Industry Trade: Economies of Scale Revisited," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 52, pages 53-73, July.
    17. Aleksandar Zdravkov Vasilev, 2021. "How Quantitatively Important are the Shocks to the Time Endowment for Business Cycle Fluctuations? Lessons Learnt From Bulgaria (1999-2018)," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 52, pages 99-112, july.
    18. Çolak, Gönül & Günay, Hikmet, 2011. "Strategic waiting in the IPO markets," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 555-583, June.
    19. Melia, Adrian & Chan, Howard & Docherty, Paul & Easton, Steve, 2018. "Explanations of cycles in seasoned equity offerings: An examination of the choice between rights issues and private placements," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 16-25.
    20. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2021. "Global Knowledge and Wealth with National Human Capital and Free Trade," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 52, pages 75-98, july.

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