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Stock Prices and IPO Waves

Author

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  • Lubos Pastor
  • Pietro Veronesi

Abstract

We develop a model of stock valuation and optimal IPO timing when investment opportunities are time-varying. IPO waves in our model are caused by declines in expected returns, increases in expected profitability, or increases in prior uncertainty about average profitability. The model predicts that IPO waves are preceded by high market returns, followed by low market returns, and accompanied by high stock prices. These as well as other predictions are supported empirically. Stock prices at the peak of the recent bubble', which was associated with an IPO wave, are consistent with plausible parameter values in our rational valuation model.

Suggested Citation

  • Lubos Pastor & Pietro Veronesi, 2003. "Stock Prices and IPO Waves," NBER Working Papers 9858, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9858
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    2. Boyan Jovanovic & Peter L. Rousseau, 2004. "Interest Rates and Initial Public Offerings," NBER Working Papers 10298, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Ahmad Fraz & Arshad Hassan, 2017. "Stock Price Synchronicity and Information Environment," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 9(4), pages 213-232, December.
    4. Johann Burgstaller, 2009. "When and why do Austrian companies issue shares?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 229-244, August.
    5. Stephen Bahadar & Muhammad Nadeem & Rashid Zaman, 2023. "Toxic chemical releases and idiosyncratic return volatility: A prospect theory perspective," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(2), pages 2109-2143, June.
    6. Jeong‐Bon Kim & Jeff J. Wang & Eliza Xia Zhang, 2021. "Does real earnings smoothing reduce investors’ perceived risk?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(9-10), pages 1560-1595, October.
    7. Min Maung & Danny Miller & Zhenyang Tang & Xiaowei Xu, 2020. "Value-Enhancing Social Responsibility: Market Reaction to Donations by Family vs. Non-family Firms with Religious CEOs," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 163(4), pages 745-758, May.
    8. Ravi Kiran, 2011. "Price Performance of IPOS in Indian Stock Market," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 30, pages 73-97, November.
    9. Lin, Mei-Chen, 2023. "Analyst coverage and the idiosyncratic skewness effect in the Taiwan stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    10. Skalická Martina & Zinecker Marek & Pietrzak Michał B. & Meluzín Tomáš & Dohnal Mirko, 2019. "Financial impact analysis of going public at the Warsaw Stock Exchange: Using Fuzzy Set Theory to understand behaviours of mature companies," Management & Marketing, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 59-79, March.
    11. Muhammad Saqib Bashir Butt & Hasniza Mohd Taib, 2019. "Economic Forces and Firm Stock Returns Volatility: Role of Firm Features," Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 7(3), pages :281-302, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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