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Does overconfidence affect venture capital firms’ investment?

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  • Ben Amor, Salma
  • Kooli, Maher

Abstract

We examine the effect of overconfidence bias on VC firms’ investment. Using a sample of U.S. venture capital exits by IPOs and M&As between 2000 and 2019, we construct an overconfidence index and find a strong positive relationship between the follow-on funds and the degree of overconfidence. We also find that the higher the VC’s overconfidence, the shorter the time to raise new capital. Further, we show that overconfident VCs are more likely to exit their investments via IPOs rather than M&As and that the degree of overconfidence negatively and significantly affects the time to exit.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Amor, Salma & Kooli, Maher, 2024. "Does overconfidence affect venture capital firms’ investment?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:41:y:2024:i:c:s2214635023000989
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2023.100884
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Venture capital; Overconfidence; Exit; IPO; M&A;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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