IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v77y2004i3p273-286.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Use of artificial neural networks for mapping of solar potential in Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Sözen, Adnan
  • Arcaklioglu, Erol
  • Özalp, Mehmet
  • Kanit, E. Galip

Abstract

Turkey has sufficient solar radiation intensities and radiation durations for solar thermal applications since Turkey lies in a sunny belt, between 36° and 42° N latitudes. The yearly average solar-radiation is 3.6 kWh/m2day, and the total yearly radiation period is ~2610 h. The main focus of this study is to determine the solar-energy potential in Turkey using artificial neural-networks (ANNs). Scaled conjugate gradient (SCG), Pola-Ribiere conjugate gradient (CGP), and Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) learning algorithms and a logistic sigmoid transfer function were used in the network. In order to train the neural network, meteorological data for the last 3 years (2000-2002) from 17 stations (namely cities) spread over Turkey were used as training (11 stations) and testing (6 stations) data. Meteorological and geographical data (latitude, longitude, altitude, month, mean sunshine duration, and mean temperature) are used as inputs to the network. Solar radiation is in the output layer. The maximum mean absolute percentage error was found to be less than 6.7% and R2values to be about 99.8937% for the testing stations. However, the respective values were found to be 2.41 and 99.99658% for the training stations. The trained and tested ANN models show greater accuracies for evaluating solar resource posibilities in regions where a network of monitoring stations has not been established in Turkey. The predicted solar-potential values from the ANN were given in the form of monthly maps. These maps are of prime importance for different working disciplines, like those of scientists, architects, meteorologists, and solar engineers in Turkey. The predictions from ANN models could enable scientists to locate and design solar-energy systems in Turkey and determine the appropriate solar technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Sözen, Adnan & Arcaklioglu, Erol & Özalp, Mehmet & Kanit, E. Galip, 2004. "Use of artificial neural networks for mapping of solar potential in Turkey," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 273-286, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:77:y:2004:i:3:p:273-286
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306-2619(03)00137-5
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kalogirou, Soteris A., 2000. "Applications of artificial neural-networks for energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 67(1-2), pages 17-35, September.
    2. Gopinathan, K.K. & Soler, Alfonso, 1996. "Effect of sunshine and solar declination on the computation of monthly mean daily diffuse solar radiation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 89-93.
    3. Tugrul Ogulata, R. & Noyan Ogulata, S., 2002. "Solar radiation on Adana, Turkey," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(4), pages 351-358, April.
    4. Mohandes, M. & Rehman, S. & Halawani, T.O., 1998. "Estimation of global solar radiation using artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 179-184.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sözen, Adnan & Arcaklioglu, Erol & Özalp, Mehmet & Kanit, E. Galip, 2005. "Solar-energy potential in Turkey," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(4), pages 367-381, April.
    2. Sözen, Adnan & Arcakliog[caron]lu, Erol, 2005. "Effect of relative humidity on solar potential," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(4), pages 345-367, December.
    3. Sözen, Adnan & Arcaklioglu, Erol, 2005. "Solar potential in Turkey," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 35-45, January.
    4. Sözen, Adnan & Arcaklıoğlu, Erol & Özalp, Mehmet & Çağlar, Naci, 2005. "Forecasting based on neural network approach of solar potential in Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1075-1090.
    5. Sözen, Adnan & Arcaklioglu, Erol & Özkaymak, Mehmet, 2005. "Turkey's net energy consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 209-221, June.
    6. Mubiru, J., 2008. "Predicting total solar irradiation values using artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(10), pages 2329-2332.
    7. Linares-Rodríguez, Alvaro & Ruiz-Arias, José Antonio & Pozo-Vázquez, David & Tovar-Pescador, Joaquín, 2011. "Generation of synthetic daily global solar radiation data based on ERA-Interim reanalysis and artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 5356-5365.
    8. Sözen, Adnan & Ali Akçayol, M., 2004. "Modelling (using artificial neural-networks) the performance parameters of a solar-driven ejector-absorption cycle," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 79(3), pages 309-325, November.
    9. Elminir, Hamdy K. & Azzam, Yosry A. & Younes, Farag I., 2007. "Prediction of hourly and daily diffuse fraction using neural network, as compared to linear regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1513-1523.
    10. Altan Dombaycı, Ömer & Gölcü, Mustafa, 2009. "Daily means ambient temperature prediction using artificial neural network method: A case study of Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1158-1161.
    11. Jabar H. Yousif & Hussein A. Kazem & John Boland, 2017. "Predictive Models for Photovoltaic Electricity Production in Hot Weather Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-19, July.
    12. Senkal, Ozan & Kuleli, Tuncay, 2009. "Estimation of solar radiation over Turkey using artificial neural network and satellite data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(7-8), pages 1222-1228, July.
    13. Fadare, D.A., 2010. "The application of artificial neural networks to mapping of wind speed profile for energy application in Nigeria," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 934-942, March.
    14. Mehleri, E.D. & Zervas, P.L. & Sarimveis, H. & Palyvos, J.A. & Markatos, N.C., 2010. "A new neural network model for evaluating the performance of various hourly slope irradiation models: Implementation for the region of Athens," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1357-1362.
    15. Leung, Philip C.M. & Lee, Eric W.M., 2013. "Estimation of electrical power consumption in subway station design by intelligent approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 634-643.
    16. Jorge E. De León-Ruiz & Ignacio Carvajal-Mariscal & Antonin Ponsich, 2019. "Feasibility Analysis and Performance Evaluation and Optimization of a DXSAHP Water Heater Based on the Thermal Capacity of the System: A Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-38, October.
    17. Selimefendigil, Fatih & Öztop, Hakan F., 2020. "Identification of pulsating flow effects with CNT nanoparticles on the performance enhancements of thermoelectric generator (TEG) module in renewable energy applications," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1076-1086.
    18. Kalogirou, Soteris A., 2001. "Artificial neural networks in renewable energy systems applications: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 373-401, December.
    19. Jani, D.B. & Mishra, Manish & Sahoo, P.K., 2017. "Application of artificial neural network for predicting performance of solid desiccant cooling systems – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 352-366.
    20. Khan, Waqas & Walker, Shalika & Zeiler, Wim, 2022. "Improved solar photovoltaic energy generation forecast using deep learning-based ensemble stacking approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:77:y:2004:i:3:p:273-286. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.