IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v354y2024ipas0306261923015404.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Electric-gas infrastructure planning for deep decarbonization of energy systems

Author

Listed:
  • Khorramfar, Rahman
  • Mallapragada, Dharik
  • Amin, Saurabh

Abstract

The transition to a deeply decarbonized energy system requires coordinated planning of infrastructure investments and operations serving multiple end-uses while considering technology and policy-enabled interactions across sectors. Electricity and natural gas (NG), which are vital vectors of today’s energy system, are likely to be coupled in different ways in the future, resulting from increasing electrification, adoption of variable renewable energy (VRE) generation in the power sector and policy factors such as cross-sectoral emissions trading. This paper develops a least-cost investment and operations model for joint planning of electricity and NG infrastructures that considers a wide range of available and emerging technology options across the two vectors, including carbon capture and storage (CCS) equipped power generation, low-carbon drop-in fuels (LCDF) as well as long-duration energy storage (LDES). The model incorporates the main operational constraints of both systems and allows each system to operate under different temporal resolutions consistent with their typical scheduling timescales. We apply our modeling framework to evaluate power-NG system outcomes for the U.S. New England region under different technology, decarbonization goals, and demand scenarios. Under a global emissions constraint, ranging between 80%–95% emissions reduction compared to 1990 levels, the least-cost solution relies significantly on using the available emissions budget to serve non-power NG demand, with power sector using only 14%–23% of the emissions budget. Increasing electrification of heating in the buildings sector results in greater reliance on wind and NG-fired plants with CCS and results in similar or slightly lower total system costs as compared to the business-as-usual demand scenario with lower electrification of end-uses. Interestingly, although electrification reduces non-power NG demand, it leads to up to 24% increase in overall NG consumption (both power and non-power) compared to the business-as-usual scenarios, resulting from the increased role for CCS in the power sector. The availability of low-cost LDES systems reduces the extent of coupling of electricity and NG systems by significantly reducing fuel (both NG and LCDF) consumption in the power system compared to scenarios without LDES, while also reducing total systems costs by up to 4.6% for the evaluated set of scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Khorramfar, Rahman & Mallapragada, Dharik & Amin, Saurabh, 2024. "Electric-gas infrastructure planning for deep decarbonization of energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 354(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:354:y:2024:i:pa:s0306261923015404
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122176
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261923015404
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122176?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Saedi, Isam & Mhanna, Sleiman & Mancarella, Pierluigi, 2021. "Integrated electricity and gas system modelling with hydrogen injections and gas composition tracking," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    2. Kotzur, Leander & Markewitz, Peter & Robinius, Martin & Stolten, Detlef, 2018. "Time series aggregation for energy system design: Modeling seasonal storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 123-135.
    3. Nestor A. Sepulveda & Jesse D. Jenkins & Aurora Edington & Dharik S. Mallapragada & Richard K. Lester, 2021. "The design space for long-duration energy storage in decarbonized power systems," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 6(5), pages 506-516, May.
    4. Morteza Vahid-Ghavidel & Mohammad Sadegh Javadi & Matthew Gough & Sérgio F. Santos & Miadreza Shafie-khah & João P.S. Catalão, 2020. "Demand Response Programs in Multi-Energy Systems: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-17, August.
    5. Morales-España, Germán & Martínez-Gordón, Rafael & Sijm, Jos, 2022. "Classifying and modelling demand response in power systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    6. Mallapragada, Dharik S. & Duan, Gang & Agrawal, Rakesh, 2014. "From shale gas to renewable energy based transportation solutions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 499-507.
    7. Guelpa, Elisa & Verda, Vittorio, 2021. "Demand response and other demand side management techniques for district heating: A review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    8. Chaudry, Modassar & Jenkins, Nick & Qadrdan, Meysam & Wu, Jianzhong, 2014. "Combined gas and electricity network expansion planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1171-1187.
    9. Tim Schittekatte & Dharik S. Mallapragada & Paul L. Joskow & Richard Schmalensee, 2022. "Electricity Retail Rate Design in a Decarbonized Economy: An Analysis of Time-Of-Use and Critical Peak Pricing," NBER Working Papers 30560, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Hamedi, Maryam & Zanjirani Farahani, Reza & Husseini, Mohammad Moattar & Esmaeilian, Gholam Reza, 2009. "A distribution planning model for natural gas supply chain: A case study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 799-812, March.
    11. Farrokhifar, Meisam & Nie, Yinghui & Pozo, David, 2020. "Energy systems planning: A survey on models for integrated power and natural gas networks coordination," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    12. Li, Can & Conejo, Antonio J. & Liu, Peng & Omell, Benjamin P. & Siirola, John D. & Grossmann, Ignacio E., 2022. "Mixed-integer linear programming models and algorithms for generation and transmission expansion planning of power systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(3), pages 1071-1082.
    13. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2018. "State-of-the-art generation expansion planning: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 563-589.
    14. Teichgraeber, Holger & Brandt, Adam R., 2022. "Time-series aggregation for the optimization of energy systems: Goals, challenges, approaches, and opportunities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    15. Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E., 2019. "Review of models for integrating renewable energy in the generation expansion planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 1573-1587.
    16. Saldarriaga-Cortés, Carlos & Salazar, Harold & Moreno, Rodrigo & Jiménez-Estévez, Guillermo, 2019. "Stochastic planning of electricity and gas networks: An asynchronous column generation approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 1065-1077.
    17. Guerra, Omar J. & Tejada, Diego A. & Reklaitis, Gintaras V., 2016. "An optimization framework for the integrated planning of generation and transmission expansion in interconnected power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1-21.
    18. Jayadev, Gopika & Leibowicz, Benjamin D. & Kutanoglu, Erhan, 2020. "U.S. electricity infrastructure of the future: Generation and transmission pathways through 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dranka, Géremi Gilson & Ferreira, Paula & Vaz, A. Ismael F., 2021. "A review of co-optimization approaches for operational and planning problems in the energy sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    2. Farrokhifar, Meisam & Nie, Yinghui & Pozo, David, 2020. "Energy systems planning: A survey on models for integrated power and natural gas networks coordination," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    3. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    4. Constantino Dário Justo & José Eduardo Tafula & Pedro Moura, 2022. "Planning Sustainable Energy Systems in the Southern African Development Community: A Review of Power Systems Planning Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-28, October.
    5. Haugen, Mari & Blaisdell-Pijuan, Paris L. & Botterud, Audun & Levin, Todd & Zhou, Zhi & Belsnes, Michael & Korpås, Magnus & Somani, Abhishek, 2024. "Power market models for the clean energy transition: State of the art and future research needs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    6. Hilbers, Adriaan P. & Brayshaw, David J. & Gandy, Axel, 2023. "Reducing climate risk in energy system planning: A posteriori time series aggregation for models with storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    7. Wei, Zhinong & Yang, Li & Chen, Sheng & Ma, Zhoujun & Zang, Haixiang & Fei, Youdie, 2022. "A multi-stage planning model for transitioning to low-carbon integrated electric power and natural gas systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    8. Masoud Khatibi & Abbas Rabiee & Amir Bagheri, 2023. "Integrated Electricity and Gas Systems Planning: New Opportunities, and a Detailed Assessment of Relevant Issues," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-32, April.
    9. Seyed Hamed Jalalzad Mahvizani & Hossein Yektamoghadam & Rouzbeh Haghighi & Majid Dehghani & Amirhossein Nikoofard & Mahdi Khosravy & Tomonobu Senjyu, 2022. "A Game Theory Approach Using the TLBO Algorithm for Generation Expansion Planning by Applying Carbon Curtailment Policy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-16, February.
    10. Buchholz, Stefanie & Gamst, Mette & Pisinger, David, 2020. "Sensitivity analysis of time aggregation techniques applied to capacity expansion energy system models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    11. Kuepper, Lucas Elias & Teichgraeber, Holger & Baumgärtner, Nils & Bardow, André & Brandt, Adam R., 2022. "Wind data introduce error in time-series reduction for capacity expansion modelling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    12. Koecklin, Manuel Tong & Longoria, Genaro & Fitiwi, Desta Z. & DeCarolis, Joseph F. & Curtis, John, 2021. "Public acceptance of renewable electricity generation and transmission network developments: Insights from Ireland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    13. Irawan, Chandra Ade & Jones, Dylan & Hofman, Peter S. & Zhang, Lina, 2023. "Integrated strategic energy mix and energy generation planning with multiple sustainability criteria and hierarchical stakeholders," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(2), pages 864-883.
    14. Moradi-Sepahvand, Mojtaba & Amraee, Turaj, 2021. "Integrated expansion planning of electric energy generation, transmission, and storage for handling high shares of wind and solar power generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    15. Vrionis, Constantinos & Tsalavoutis, Vasilios & Tolis, Athanasios, 2020. "A Generation Expansion Planning model for integrating high shares of renewable energy: A Meta-Model Assisted Evolutionary Algorithm approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    16. Helistö, Niina & Kiviluoma, Juha & Morales-España, Germán & O’Dwyer, Ciara, 2021. "Impact of operational details and temporal representations on investment planning in energy systems dominated by wind and solar," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    17. Tong Koecklin, Manuel & Fitiwi, Desta & de Carolis, Joseph F. & Curtis, John, 2020. "Renewable electricity generation and transmission network developments in light of public opposition: Insights from Ireland," Papers WP653, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    18. Merrick, James H. & Bistline, John E.T. & Blanford, Geoffrey J., 2024. "On representation of energy storage in electricity planning models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    19. Botor, Benjamin & Böcker, Benjamin & Kallabis, Thomas & Weber, Christoph, 2021. "Information shocks and profitability risks for power plant investments – impacts of policy instruments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    20. Üster, Halit & Dilaveroğlu, Şebnem, 2014. "Optimization for design and operation of natural gas transmission networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 56-69.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:354:y:2024:i:pa:s0306261923015404. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.