IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v353y2024ipas0306261923014630.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prediction of wind fields in mountains at multiple elevations using deep learning models

Author

Listed:
  • Gao, Huanxiang
  • Hu, Gang
  • Zhang, Dongqin
  • Jiang, Wenjun
  • Ren, Hehe
  • Chen, Wenli

Abstract

To optimize the site selection of wind turbines, it is essential to understand the variability of wind speeds at different elevations on mountains and their wind characteristics. The erection of anemometer at a large altitude in mountainous regions poses significant financial and safety challenges. Therefore, it is of utmost importance to design a method that facilitates the estimation of multiple high-elevation wind speeds utilizing low-elevation measurements. This study built a graph data structure by assimilating prior knowledge, including the mountain topography and relative position of the anemometer. A custom-designed graph neural network model was designed to predict wind speed data at high-elevation regions based on wind speed data at a low-elevation region. Moreover, an enhanced UNet model was employed to predict wind field data at higher elevations utilizing predicted wind speed data. To improve the stability and performance of the model, the flux conservation equation was integrated into the loss function of the graph neural network. The results suggest that integrating mountain information and physical loss in the model can significantly improve the accuracy of wind speed data predictions. The graph neural network has remarkably enhanced the performance of the UNet model.

Suggested Citation

  • Gao, Huanxiang & Hu, Gang & Zhang, Dongqin & Jiang, Wenjun & Ren, Hehe & Chen, Wenli, 2024. "Prediction of wind fields in mountains at multiple elevations using deep learning models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:353:y:2024:i:pa:s0306261923014630
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122099
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261923014630
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122099?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bentsen, Lars Ødegaard & Warakagoda, Narada Dilp & Stenbro, Roy & Engelstad, Paal, 2023. "Spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting using graph networks and novel Transformer architectures," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    2. Heng, Jiani & Hong, Yongmiao & Hu, Jianming & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "Probabilistic and deterministic wind speed forecasting based on non-parametric approaches and wind characteristics information," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    3. Ma, Zhengjing & Mei, Gang, 2022. "A hybrid attention-based deep learning approach for wind power prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    4. Zhang, Lifang & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Liu, Zhenkun, 2021. "Ensemble wind speed forecasting with multi-objective Archimedes optimization algorithm and sub-model selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    5. Wang, Yun & Xu, Houhua & Song, Mengmeng & Zhang, Fan & Li, Yifen & Zhou, Shengchao & Zhang, Lingjun, 2023. "A convolutional Transformer-based truncated Gaussian density network with data denoising for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    6. Liu, Xin & Yang, Luoxiao & Zhang, Zijun, 2022. "The attention-assisted ordinary differential equation networks for short-term probabilistic wind power predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    7. Zhongqiang Zhang & Xiu Yang & Guang Lin, 2016. "POD-Based Constrained Sensor Placement and Field Reconstruction from Noisy Wind Measurements: A Perturbation Study," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-15, April.
    8. Fu, Wenlong & Fu, Yuchen & Li, Bailing & Zhang, Hairong & Zhang, Xuanrui & Liu, Jiarui, 2023. "A compound framework incorporating improved outlier detection and correction, VMD, weight-based stacked generalization with enhanced DESMA for multi-step short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
    9. Ye, Lin & Dai, Binhua & Li, Zhuo & Pei, Ming & Zhao, Yongning & Lu, Peng, 2022. "An ensemble method for short-term wind power prediction considering error correction strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    10. Wei, Danxiang & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Li, Zhiwu, 2021. "Wind speed forecasting system based on gated recurrent units and convolutional spiking neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    11. Tian, Zhongda & Chen, Hao, 2021. "Multi-step short-term wind speed prediction based on integrated multi-model fusion," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    12. Zhang, Zhendong & Ye, Lei & Qin, Hui & Liu, Yongqi & Wang, Chao & Yu, Xiang & Yin, Xingli & Li, Jie, 2019. "Wind speed prediction method using Shared Weight Long Short-Term Memory Network and Gaussian Process Regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C), pages 270-284.
    13. Liu, Ling & Wang, Jujie, 2021. "Super multi-step wind speed forecasting system with training set extension and horizontal–vertical integration neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    14. Bai, Yulong & Liu, Ming-De & Ding, Lin & Ma, Yong-Jie, 2021. "Double-layer staged training echo-state networks for wind speed prediction using variational mode decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    15. Fang, Ping & Fu, Wenlong & Wang, Kai & Xiong, Dongzhen & Zhang, Kai, 2022. "A compositive architecture coupling outlier correction, EWT, nonlinear Volterra multi-model fusion with multi-objective optimization for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    16. Zhang, Jincheng & Zhao, Xiaowei, 2021. "Spatiotemporal wind field prediction based on physics-informed deep learning and LIDAR measurements," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    17. Yu, Chuanjin & Li, Yongle & Chen, Qian & Lai, Xiaopan & Zhao, Liyang, 2022. "Matrix-based wavelet transformation embedded in recurrent neural networks for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    18. Wang, Jujie & Li, Yaning, 2018. "Multi-step ahead wind speed prediction based on optimal feature extraction, long short term memory neural network and error correction strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 429-443.
    19. Zhang, Yagang & Zhao, Yunpeng & Shen, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Jinghui, 2022. "A comprehensive wind speed prediction system based on Monte Carlo and artificial intelligence algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    20. Wang, Lei & He, Yigang, 2022. "M2STAN: Multi-modal multi-task spatiotemporal attention network for multi-location ultra-short-term wind power multi-step predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    21. Zuluaga, Carlos D. & Álvarez, Mauricio A. & Giraldo, Eduardo, 2015. "Short-term wind speed prediction based on robust Kalman filtering: An experimental comparison," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 321-330.
    22. Wang, Shuai & Li, Bin & Li, Guanzheng & Yao, Bin & Wu, Jianzhong, 2021. "Short-term wind power prediction based on multidimensional data cleaning and feature reconfiguration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tavakol Aghaei, Vahid & Ağababaoğlu, Arda & Bawo, Biram & Naseradinmousavi, Peiman & Yıldırım, Sinan & Yeşilyurt, Serhat & Onat, Ahmet, 2023. "Energy optimization of wind turbines via a neural control policy based on reinforcement learning Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 341(C).
    2. Zhao, Ning & Su, Yi & Dai, Xianxing & Jia, Shaomin & Wang, Xuewei, 2024. "A new decomposition-ensemble strategy fusion with correntropy optimization learning algorithms for short-term wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 369(C).
    3. Lv, Yunlong & Hu, Qin & Xu, Hang & Lin, Huiyao & Wu, Yufan, 2024. "An ultra-short-term wind power prediction method based on spatial-temporal attention graph convolutional model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    4. Wang, Jianzhou & Wang, Shuai & Li, Zhiwu, 2021. "Wind speed deterministic forecasting and probabilistic interval forecasting approach based on deep learning, modified tunicate swarm algorithm, and quantile regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1246-1261.
    5. Chen, Zhengganzhe & Zhang, Bin & Du, Chenglong & Meng, Wei & Meng, Anbo, 2024. "A novel dynamic spatio-temporal graph convolutional network for wind speed interval prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    6. Liu, Xingdou & Zhang, Li & Wang, Jiangong & Zhou, Yue & Gan, Wei, 2023. "A unified multi-step wind speed forecasting framework based on numerical weather prediction grids and wind farm monitoring data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 948-963.
    7. Xu, Xuefang & Hu, Shiting & Shao, Huaishuang & Shi, Peiming & Li, Ruixiong & Li, Deguang, 2023. "A spatio-temporal forecasting model using optimally weighted graph convolutional network and gated recurrent unit for wind speed of different sites distributed in an offshore wind farm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    8. Xiaoou Li & Yingqin Zhu, 2024. "Neural Networks with Transfer Learning and Frequency Decomposition for Wind Speed Prediction with Missing Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-20, April.
    9. Zhang, Yagang & Zhao, Yunpeng & Shen, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Jinghui, 2022. "A comprehensive wind speed prediction system based on Monte Carlo and artificial intelligence algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    10. Yang, Yang & Lang, Jin & Wu, Jian & Zhang, Yanyan & Su, Lijie & Song, Xiangman, 2022. "Wind speed forecasting with correlation network pruning and augmentation: A two-phase deep learning method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 267-282.
    11. Du, Pei & Yang, Dongchuan & Li, Yanzhao & Wang, Jianzhou, 2024. "An innovative interpretable combined learning model for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    12. Nathan Oaks Farrar & Mohd Hasan Ali & Dipankar Dasgupta, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Grid Connected Wind Turbine Control Systems: A Comprehensive Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-25, February.
    13. Xu, Xuefang & Hu, Shiting & Shi, Peiming & Shao, Huaishuang & Li, Ruixiong & Li, Zhi, 2023. "Natural phase space reconstruction-based broad learning system for short-term wind speed prediction: Case studies of an offshore wind farm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PA).
    14. Kui Yang & Bofu Wang & Xiang Qiu & Jiahua Li & Yuze Wang & Yulu Liu, 2022. "Multi-Step Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Models Based on Adaptive Robust Decomposition Coupled with Deep Gated Recurrent Unit," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-24, June.
    15. Xiao, Wenjing & Mo, Li & Xu, Zhanxing & Liu, Chang & Zhang, Yongchuan, 2024. "A hybrid electric load forecasting model based on decomposition considering fisher information," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    16. Zhang, Yagang & Kong, Xue & Wang, Jingchao & Wang, Hui & Cheng, Xiaodan, 2024. "Wind power forecasting system with data enhancement and algorithm improvement," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    17. Zhang, Dongqin & Hu, Gang & Song, Jie & Gao, Huanxiang & Ren, Hehe & Chen, Wenli, 2024. "A novel spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting method based on the microscale meteorological model and a hybrid deep learning model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    18. Wang, Yun & Song, Mengmeng & Yang, Dazhi, 2024. "Local-global feature-based spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting with a sparse and dynamic graph," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).
    19. Zhang, Guowei & Zhang, Yi & Wang, Hui & Liu, Da & Cheng, Runkun & Yang, Di, 2024. "Short-term wind speed forecasting based on adaptive secondary decomposition and robust temporal convolutional network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    20. Niu, Dongxiao & Sun, Lijie & Yu, Min & Wang, Keke, 2022. "Point and interval forecasting of ultra-short-term wind power based on a data-driven method and hybrid deep learning model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:353:y:2024:i:pa:s0306261923014630. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.