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A data-driven method for multi-step-ahead prediction and long-term prognostics of proton exchange membrane fuel cell

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  • Benaggoune, Khaled
  • Yue, Meiling
  • Jemei, Samir
  • Zerhouni, Noureddine

Abstract

Fuel cell technology has been rapidly developed in the last decade owing to its clean characteristic and high efficiency. Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs) are increasingly used in transportation applications and small stationary applications; however, the cost and the unsatisfying durability of the PEMFC stack have limited their successful commercialization and market penetration. In recent years, thanks to the availability and the quality of emerging data of PEMFCs, digitization is happening to offer possibilities to increase the productivity and the flexibility in fuel cell applications. Therefore, it is crucial to clarify the potential of digitization measures, how and where they can be applied, and their benefits. This paper focuses on the degradation performance of the PEMFC stacks and develops a data-driven intelligent method to predict both the short-term and long-term degradation. The dilated convolutional neural network is for the first time applied for predicting the time-dependent fuel cell performance and is proved to be more efficient than other recurrent networks. To deal with the long-term performance uncertainty, a conditional neural network is proposed. Results have shown that the proposed method can predict not only the degradation tendency, but also contain the degradation behaviour dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Benaggoune, Khaled & Yue, Meiling & Jemei, Samir & Zerhouni, Noureddine, 2022. "A data-driven method for multi-step-ahead prediction and long-term prognostics of proton exchange membrane fuel cell," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:313:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922002756
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118835
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Deng, Zhihua & Chan, Siew Hwa & Chen, Qihong & Liu, Hao & Zhang, Liyan & Zhou, Keliang & Tong, Sirui & Fu, Zhichao, 2023. "Efficient degradation prediction of PEMFCs using ELM-AE based on fuzzy extension broad learning system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    3. Xuan Meng & Jian Mei & Xingwang Tang & Jinhai Jiang & Chuanyu Sun & Kai Song, 2024. "The Degradation Prediction of Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell Performance Based on a Transformer Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-13, June.
    4. He, Wenbin & Liu, Ting & Ming, Wuyi & Li, Zongze & Du, Jinguang & Li, Xiaoke & Guo, Xudong & Sun, Peiyan, 2024. "Progress in prediction of remaining useful life of hydrogen fuel cells based on deep learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    5. Tianxiang Wang & Hongliang Zhou & Chengwei Zhu, 2022. "A Short-Term and Long-Term Prognostic Method for PEM Fuel Cells Based on Gaussian Process Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-17, July.
    6. Huu-Linh Nguyen & Sang-Min Lee & Sangseok Yu, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of Degradation Prediction Methods for an Automotive Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-32, June.
    7. Zhang, Xuexia & Huang, Lei & Jiang, Yu & Lin, Long & Liao, Hongbo & Liu, Wentao, 2024. "Investigation of nonlinear accelerated degradation mechanism in fuel cell stack under dynamic driving cycles from polarization processes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    8. Ong, Samuel & Al-Othman, Amani & Tawalbeh, Muhammad, 2023. "Emerging technologies in prognostics for fuel cells including direct hydrocarbon fuel cells," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    9. Aihua Tang & Yuanhang Yang & Quanqing Yu & Zhigang Zhang & Lin Yang, 2022. "A Review of Life Prediction Methods for PEMFCs in Electric Vehicles," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-18, August.
    10. Gong, Zhichao & Wang, Bowen & Xu, Yifan & Ni, Meng & Gao, Qingchen & Hou, Zhongjun & Cai, Jun & Gu, Xin & Yuan, Xinjie & Jiao, Kui, 2022. "Adaptive optimization strategy of air supply for automotive polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell in life cycle," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
    11. Chen, Dongfang & Wu, Wenlong & Chang, Kuanyu & Li, Yuehua & Pei, Pucheng & Xu, Xiaoming, 2023. "Performance degradation prediction method of PEM fuel cells using bidirectional long short-term memory neural network based on Bayesian optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    12. Lv, Jianfeng & Shen, Xiaoning & Gao, Yabin & Liu, Jianxing & Sun, Guanghui, 2024. "The seasonal-trend disentangle based prognostic framework for PEM fuel cells," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    13. Segura, F. & Vivas, F.J. & Andújar, J.M. & Martínez, M., 2023. "Hydrogen-powered refrigeration system for environmentally friendly transport and delivery in the food supply chain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
    14. Zuo, Jian & Steiner, Nadia Yousfi & Li, Zhongliang & Hissel, Daniel, 2024. "Health management review for fuel cells: Focus on action phase," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    15. Song, Houde & Liu, Xiaojing & Song, Meiqi, 2023. "Comparative study of data-driven and model-driven approaches in prediction of nuclear power plants operating parameters," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 341(C).

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