IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v140y2015icp350-364.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Planning sustainable electric-power system with carbon emission abatement through CDM under uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Zhou, Y.
  • Li, Y.P.
  • Huang, G.H.

Abstract

In this study, a fuzzy-interval possibilistic programming (FIPP) method is developed for supporting sustainable electric power system (EPS) planning with carbon emission abatement under uncertainty. In FIPP, systematic uncertainties expressed as crisp intervals and fuzzy-boundary intervals can be effectively tackled. A FIPP-based clean development mechanism (FIPP-CDM) model is formulated for realizing CO2-emission reduction and adjusting energy mix of Shenzhen’s EPS with cost-effective and sustainable ways. Located in the south of Guangdong Province of southern China, the City of Shenzhen is one of fastest-growing cities in the world and has experienced high-speed economic development, accelerated industrialization process, and increased population growth. This is the first attempt to introduce CDM into Shenzhen’s EPS with carbon emission abatement, while sustainable EPS’s transition pathways are explored through FIPP-CDM model. Results demonstrate that (a) city’s energy supply structure tends to the transition from coal-dominated into clean energy-dominated; (b) local renewable energy development is motivated through CDM projects; (c) city’s power generation mix is diversified by wind power and solar power, while renewable energy accounts for 2.12%; (d) an additional capacity of [4.88, 5.82]GW of CDM projects is added, contributing to a [15.91, 17.22] % reduction in CO2 emission of fossil fuel-fired power (i.e., corresponding to emission-reduction of [71.59, 85.51] million tonne). Decision alternatives under CDM can facilitate policy enactment of carbon-emission abatement, reformation of Shenzhen’s EPS through market-oriented mechanism, as well as achievement of sustainable EPS planning.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Y. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H., 2015. "Planning sustainable electric-power system with carbon emission abatement through CDM under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 350-364.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:140:y:2015:i:c:p:350-364
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.11.057
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261914012264
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.11.057?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhu, Y. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H., 2013. "Planning carbon emission trading for Beijing's electric power systems under dual uncertainties," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 113-128.
    2. Wang, Qiang & Chen, Yong, 2010. "Barriers and opportunities of using the clean development mechanism to advance renewable energy development in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(7), pages 1989-1998, September.
    3. Pettersson, Fredrik, 2007. "Carbon pricing and the diffusion of renewable power generation in Eastern Europe: A linear programming approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 2412-2425, April.
    4. Huang, Guo H. & Baetz, Brian W. & Patry, Gilles G., 1995. "Grey integer programming: An application to waste management planning under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 594-620, June.
    5. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, X., 2011. "An interval-valued minimax-regret analysis approach for the identification of optimal greenhouse-gas abatement strategies under uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 4313-4324, July.
    6. Ghommem, Mehdi & Hajj, Muhammad R. & Puri, Ishwar K., 2012. "Influence of natural and anthropogenic carbon dioxide sequestration on global warming," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 235, pages 1-7.
    7. Oliveira, Carla & Antunes, Carlos Henggeler, 2011. "A multi-objective multi-sectoral economy–energy–environment model: Application to Portugal," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 2856-2866.
    8. Sampaio, Henrique César & Dias, Rubens Alves & Balestieri, José Antônio Perrella, 2013. "Sustainable urban energy planning: The case study of a tropical city," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 924-935.
    9. Jacques, David A. & Guan, Dabo & Geng, Yong & Xue, Bing & Wang, Xiaoguang, 2013. "Inter-provincial clean development mechanism in China: A case study of the solar PV sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 454-461.
    10. Yang, Ming & Nguyen, François & De T'Serclaes, Philippine & Buchner, Barbara, 2010. "Wind farm investment risks under uncertain CDM benefit in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1436-1447, March.
    11. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Li, M.W., 2014. "An integrated optimization modeling approach for planning emission trading and clean-energy development under uncertainty," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 31-46.
    12. Jimenez, Mariano & Arenas, Mar & Bilbao, Amelia & Rodri'guez, M. Victoria, 2007. "Linear programming with fuzzy parameters: An interactive method resolution," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 177(3), pages 1599-1609, March.
    13. Huang, G. H. & Baetz, B. W. & Patry, G. G., 1995. "Grey fuzzy integer programming: An application to regional waste management planning under uncertainty," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 17-38, March.
    14. Chen, W.T. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, X. & Li, Y.F., 2010. "A two-stage inexact-stochastic programming model for planning carbon dioxide emission trading under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 1033-1047, March.
    15. Zhang, Junjie & Wang, Can, 2011. "Co-benefits and additionality of the clean development mechanism: An empirical analysis," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 140-154, September.
    16. Purohit, Pallav, 2009. "CO2 emissions mitigation potential of solar home systems under clean development mechanism in India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1014-1023.
    17. Gilau, Asmerom M. & Van Buskirk, Robert & Small, Mitchell J., 2007. "Enabling optimal energy options under the Clean Development Mechanism," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 5526-5534, November.
    18. Zhang, Xiaodong & Duncan, Ian J. & Huang, Gordon & Li, Gongchen, 2014. "Identification of management strategies for CO2 capture and sequestration under uncertainty through inexact modeling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 310-317.
    19. Mula, Josefa & Peidro, David & Poler, Raul, 2010. "The effectiveness of a fuzzy mathematical programming approach for supply chain production planning with fuzzy demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 136-143, November.
    20. Resnier, Martin & Wang, Can & Du, Pengfei & Chen, Jining, 2007. "The promotion of sustainable development in China through the optimization of a tax/subsidy plan among HFC and power generation CDM projects," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 4529-4544, September.
    21. Purohit, Pallav, 2008. "Small hydro power projects under clean development mechanism in India: A preliminary assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 2000-2015, June.
    22. Muela, E. & Schweickardt, G. & Garces, F., 2007. "Fuzzy possibilistic model for medium-term power generation planning with environmental criteria," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 5643-5655, November.
    23. Sheinbaum, Claudia & Ruíz, Belizza J. & Ozawa, Leticia, 2011. "Energy consumption and related CO2 emissions in five Latin American countries: Changes from 1990 to 2006 and perspectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 3629-3638.
    24. Sunderkötter, Malte & Weber, Christoph, 2012. "Valuing fuel diversification in power generation capacity planning," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1664-1674.
    25. Bazmi, Aqeel Ahmed & Zahedi, Gholamreza, 2011. "Sustainable energy systems: Role of optimization modeling techniques in power generation and supply—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(8), pages 3480-3500.
    26. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, X., 2011. "Planning regional energy system in association with greenhouse gas mitigation under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 599-611, March.
    27. Couth, R. & Trois, C. & Parkin, J. & Strachan, L.J. & Gilder, A. & Wright, M., 2011. "Delivery and viability of landfill gas CDM projects in Africa--A South African experience," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 392-403, January.
    28. Hoggett, Richard, 2014. "Technology scale and supply chains in a secure, affordable and low carbon energy transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 296-306.
    29. Park, Taeil & Kim, Changyoon & Kim, Hyoungkwan, 2014. "A real option-based model to valuate CDM projects under uncertain energy policies for emission trading," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 288-296.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tsao, Yu-Chung & Thanh, Vo-Van & Lu, Jye-Chyi, 2021. "Sustainable advanced distribution management system design considering differential pricing schemes and carbon emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    2. Guangfang Luo & Jianjun Zhang & Yongheng Rao & Xiaolei Zhu & Yiqiang Guo, 2017. "Coal Supply Chains: A Whole-Process-Based Measurement of Carbon Emissions in a Mining City of China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-18, November.
    3. Fan, Jing-Li & Wang, Jia-Xing & Hu, Jia-Wei & Wang, Yu & Zhang, Xian, 2019. "Optimization of China’s provincial renewable energy installation plan for the 13th five-year plan based on renewable portfolio standards," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    4. Lv, J. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Ding, Y.K. & Li, X. & Li, Y., 2022. "Planning energy economy and eco-environment nexus system under uncertainty: A copula-based stochastic multi-level programming method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    5. Jun Yang & Xin Feng & Yufei Tang & Jun Yan & Haibo He & Chao Luo, 2015. "A Power System Optimal Dispatch Strategy Considering the Flow of Carbon Emissions and Large Consumers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-20, August.
    6. Stojiljković, Mirko M., 2017. "Bi-level multi-objective fuzzy design optimization of energy supply systems aided by problem-specific heuristics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 1231-1251.
    7. Bairamzadeh, Samira & Saidi-Mehrabad, Mohammad & Pishvaee, Mir Saman, 2018. "Modelling different types of uncertainty in biofuel supply network design and planning: A robust optimization approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 116(PA), pages 500-517.
    8. Zhu, Y. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Fan, Y.R. & Nie, S., 2015. "A dynamic model to optimize municipal electric power systems by considering carbon emission trading under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 636-649.
    9. Junbo Wang & Liu Chen & Lu Chen & Xiaohui Zhao & Minxi Wang & Yiyi Ju & Li Xin, 2019. "City-Level Features of Energy Footprints and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Sichuan Province of China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-14, May.
    10. Changyu Zhou & Guohe Huang & Jiapei Chen, 2019. "A Type-2 Fuzzy Chance-Constrained Fractional Integrated Modeling Method for Energy System Management of Uncertainties and Risks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-21, June.
    11. Nie, S. & Huang, Charley Z. & Huang, G.H. & Li, Y.P. & Chen, J.P. & Fan, Y.R. & Cheng, G.H., 2016. "Planning renewable energy in electric power system for sustainable development under uncertainty – A case study of Beijing," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 772-786.
    12. Yu, L. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H., 2019. "Planning municipal-scale mixed energy system for stimulating renewable energy under multiple uncertainties - The City of Qingdao in Shandong Province, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 1120-1133.
    13. Sun, Yanlong & Kang, Chongqing & Xia, Qing & Chen, Qixin & Zhang, Ning & Cheng, Yaohua, 2017. "Analysis of transmission expansion planning considering consumption-based carbon emission accounting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 232-242.
    14. Lu Chen & Xin Li & Yunqi Yang & Minxi Wang, 2021. "Analyzing the features of energy consumption and carbon emissions in the Upper Yangtze River Economic Zone," Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 573-589, June.
    15. Chen, Hao & Tang, Bao-Jun & Liao, Hua & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2016. "A multi-period power generation planning model incorporating the non-carbon external costs: A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1333-1345.
    16. Tao Zhang & Minli Wang & Peihong Wang & Junyu Liang, 2020. "Optimal Design of a Combined Cooling, Heating, and Power System and Its Ability to Adapt to Uncertainty," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-17, July.
    17. Zhao, Xiaoli & Yin, Haitao & Zhao, Yue, 2015. "Impact of environmental regulations on the efficiency and CO2 emissions of power plants in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 238-247.
    18. Maria de Fátima Barbosa Góes & José Célio Silveira Andrade & Charbel Jose Chiappetta Jabbour & Marcelo Santana Silva, 2021. "Wind power projects in Brazil: challenges and opportunities increasing co-benefits and implications for climate and energy policies," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(10), pages 15341-15367, October.
    19. Gong, J.W. & Li, Y.P. & Lv, J. & Huang, G.H. & Suo, C. & Gao, P.P., 2022. "Development of an integrated bi-level model for China’s multi-regional energy system planning under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    20. Jin-peng Liu & Yu Tian & Hao Zheng & Tao Yi, 2019. "Research on Dynamic Evolution Simulation and Sustainability Evaluation Model of China’s Power Supply and Demand System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-23, May.
    21. Wang, P.P. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Wang, S.G., 2022. "A multivariate statistical input–output model for analyzing water-carbon nexus system from multiple perspectives - Jing-Jin-Ji region," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    22. Zhou, Ya & Shan, Yuli & Liu, Guosheng & Guan, Dabo, 2018. "Emissions and low-carbon development in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area cities and their surroundings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1683-1692.
    23. Changyu Zhou & Guohe Huang & Jiapei Chen, 2018. "A Multi-Objective Energy and Environmental Systems Planning Model: Management of Uncertainties and Risks for Shanxi Province, China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-21, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, C. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H., 2016. "Interval-fuzzy municipal-scale energy model for identification of optimal strategies for energy management – A case study of Tianjin, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1161-1177.
    2. Piao, M.J. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Nie, S., 2015. "Risk analysis for Shanghai's electric power system under multiple uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 104-119.
    3. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, X., 2011. "An interval-valued minimax-regret analysis approach for the identification of optimal greenhouse-gas abatement strategies under uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 4313-4324, July.
    4. Cao, M.F. & Huang, G.H. & Lin, Q.G., 2010. "Integer programming with random-boundary intervals for planning municipal power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(8), pages 2506-2516, August.
    5. Simic, Vladimir, 2016. "End-of-life vehicles allocation management under multiple uncertainties: An interval-parameter two-stage stochastic full-infinite programming approach," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-17.
    6. Jin, S.W. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Nie, S., 2018. "Analyzing the performance of clean development mechanism for electric power systems under uncertain environment," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 382-397.
    7. Li, Y.F. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, X., 2010. "Energy and environmental systems planning under uncertainty--An inexact fuzzy-stochastic programming approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(10), pages 3189-3211, October.
    8. Li, M.W. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H., 2011. "An interval-fuzzy two-stage stochastic programming model for planning carbon dioxide trading under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 5677-5689.
    9. Zhu, Y. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Fan, Y.R. & Nie, S., 2015. "A dynamic model to optimize municipal electric power systems by considering carbon emission trading under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 636-649.
    10. Chen, C. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Zhu, Y., 2012. "An inexact robust nonlinear optimization method for energy systems planning under uncertainty," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 55-66.
    11. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Li, M.W., 2014. "An integrated optimization modeling approach for planning emission trading and clean-energy development under uncertainty," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 31-46.
    12. Yong Zeng & Yanpeng Cai & Guohe Huang & Jing Dai, 2011. "A Review on Optimization Modeling of Energy Systems Planning and GHG Emission Mitigation under Uncertainty," Energies, MDPI, vol. 4(10), pages 1-33, October.
    13. Lin, Q.G. & Huang, G.H., 2009. "A dynamic inexact energy systems planning model for supporting greenhouse-gas emission management and sustainable renewable energy development under uncertainty--A case study for the City of Waterloo,," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(8), pages 1836-1853, October.
    14. Wang, Xingwei & Cai, Yanpeng & Chen, Jiajun & Dai, Chao, 2013. "A grey-forecasting interval-parameter mixed-integer programming approach for integrated electric-environmental management–A case study of Beijing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 334-344.
    15. Majdi Argoubi & Haifa Jammeli & Hatem Masri, 2020. "The intellectual structure of the waste management field," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 294(1), pages 655-676, November.
    16. Zhu, H. & Huang, W.W. & Huang, G.H., 2014. "Planning of regional energy systems: An inexact mixed-integer fractional programming model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 500-514.
    17. Wang, Can & Zhang, Weishi & Cai, Wenjia & Xie, Xi, 2013. "Employment impacts of CDM projects in China's power sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 481-491.
    18. Jiang, Jingjing & Xie, Dejun & Ye, Bin & Shen, Bo & Chen, Zhanming, 2016. "Research on China’s cap-and-trade carbon emission trading scheme: Overview and outlook," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 902-917.
    19. Hu, Qing & Huang, Guohe & Cai, Yanpeng & Huang, Ying, 2011. "Feasibility-based inexact fuzzy programming for electric power generation systems planning under dual uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(12), pages 4642-4654.
    20. Figueroa–García, Juan Carlos & Hernández, Germán & Franco, Carlos, 2022. "A review on history, trends and perspectives of fuzzy linear programming," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 9(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:140:y:2015:i:c:p:350-364. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.