IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v154y2015icp29-42.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prediction of winter wheat yield with the SWAP model using pedotransfer functions: An evaluation of sensitivity, parameterization and prediction accuracy

Author

Listed:
  • de Jong van Lier, Quirijn
  • Wendroth, Ole
  • van Dam, Jos C.

Abstract

In agronomy and hydrology, models are used to analyze experimental data, whereas experiments are needed to parameterize models. The sensitivity of model outcomes to input parameters is a key issue in this context. As a contribution to the subject, the objective of this study was to evaluate some of the sensitivities of the agro-hydrological model SWAP for predicting the water-limited yield of a winter wheat crop using soil texture data to obtain soil hydraulic parameters by a pedotransfer function. The sensitivity of yield predictions to the overall variability of involved parameters was tested. The highest prediction accuracy obtained with the calibrated SWAP model was similar to the standard deviation and about 5% of observed yields. The drainage outflow was shown to be a determining component of the soil water balance for yield predictions in the evaluated scenario, making its correct estimation important, hydraulic conductivity being the key property determining this outflow. Calibration of a transpiration reduction function using SWAP in combination with an observed yield dataset is subject to the model sensitivity to soil hydraulic properties. Such calibration by inverse modeling is only feasible if soil hydraulic properties, including the unsaturated hydraulic conductivity function, are known with high accuracy. Sensitivity of predictions of soil water content to empirical transpiration reduction parameters is low, making their calibration a less important issue when SWAP is used to inversely model soil hydraulic properties. Yield predictions showed to be highly sensitive to soil hydraulic parameterization, even when this sensitivity does not show up strongly in predicted soil water content or pressure head values. It is emphasized that experimentation to support model and calibration improvements should include the detailed determination of soil hydraulic properties, including unsaturated hydraulic conductivity, together with observation of crop and soil parameters over time.

Suggested Citation

  • de Jong van Lier, Quirijn & Wendroth, Ole & van Dam, Jos C., 2015. "Prediction of winter wheat yield with the SWAP model using pedotransfer functions: An evaluation of sensitivity, parameterization and prediction accuracy," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 29-42.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:154:y:2015:i:c:p:29-42
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2015.02.011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377415000608
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2015.02.011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Corwin, Dennis L. & Rhoades, James D. & Simunek, Jirka, 2007. "Leaching requirement for soil salinity control: Steady-state versus transient models," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 165-180, June.
    2. Crevoisier, D. & Popova, Z. & Mailhol, J.C. & Ruelle, P., 2008. "Assessment and simulation of water and nitrogen transfer under furrow irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(4), pages 354-366, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Kefei & O'Leary, Rebecca A. & Evans, Fiona H., 2019. "A simple and parsimonious generalised additive model for predicting wheat yield in a decision support tool," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 140-150.
    2. Kroes, Joop & van Dam, Jos & Supit, Iwan & de Abelleyra, Diego & Verón, Santiago & de Wit, Allard & Boogaard, Hendrik & Angelini, Marcos & Damiano, Francisco & Groenendijk, Piet & Wesseling, Jan & Vel, 2019. "Agrohydrological analysis of groundwater recharge and land use changes in the Pampas of Argentina," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 843-857.
    3. Pinheiro, Everton Alves Rodrigues & de Jong van Lier, Quirijn & Inforsato, Leonardo & Šimůnek, Jirka, 2019. "Measuring full-range soil hydraulic properties for the prediction of crop water availability using gamma-ray attenuation and inverse modeling," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 294-305.
    4. M. Jagadesh & Duraisamy Selvi & Subramanium Thiyageshwari & Cherukumalli Srinivasarao & Pushpanathan Raja & Udayar Pillai Surendran & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Mohamed A. Mattar, 2023. "Altering Natural Ecosystems Causes Negative Consequences on the Soil Physical Qualities: An Evidence-Based Study from Nilgiri Hill Region of Western Ghats, India," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-27, October.
    5. Wang, Bo & van Dam, Jos & Yang, Xiaolin & Ritsema, Coen & Du, Taisheng & Kang, Shaozhong, 2023. "Reducing water productivity gap by optimizing irrigation regime for winter wheat-summer maize system in the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    6. Pinheiro, Everton Alves Rodrigues & de Jong van Lier, Quirijn & Šimůnek, Jirka, 2019. "The role of soil hydraulic properties in crop water use efficiency: A process-based analysis for some Brazilian scenarios," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 364-377.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Karandish, Fatemeh & Šimůnek, Jiří, 2018. "An application of the water footprint assessment to optimize production of crops irrigated with saline water: A scenario assessment with HYDRUS," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 67-82.
    2. Phogat, V. & Skewes, M.A. & McCarthy, M.G. & Cox, J.W. & Šimůnek, J. & Petrie, P.R., 2017. "Evaluation of crop coefficients, water productivity, and water balance components for wine grapes irrigated at different deficit levels by a sub-surface drip," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 180(PA), pages 22-34.
    3. Sabri KANZARI & Mohamed HACHICHA & Rachida BOUHLILA & Jorge BATTLE-SALES, 2012. "Simulation of water and salts dynamics in Bouhajla (Central Tunisia): exceptional rainfall effect," Soil and Water Research, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 36-44.
    4. Rosa, R.D. & Ramos, T.B. & Pereira, L.S., 2016. "The dual Kc approach to assess maize and sweet sorghum transpiration and soil evaporation under saline conditions: Application of the SIMDualKc model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 77-94.
    5. Amin, M.G. Mostofa & Šimůnek, Jirka & Lægdsmand, Mette, 2014. "Simulation of the redistribution and fate of contaminants from soil-injected animal slurry," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 17-29.
    6. van der Zee, S.E.A.T.M. & Shah, S.H.H. & van Uffelen, C.G.R. & Raats, P.A.C. & dal Ferro, N., 2010. "Soil sodicity as a result of periodical drought," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 41-49, January.
    7. Wasantha Athukorala & Clevo Wilson, 2012. "Groundwater overuse and farm-level technical inefficiency: evidence from Sri Lanka," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 279, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
    8. Peragón, Juan M. & Pérez-Latorre, Francisco J. & Delgado, Antonio & Tóth, Tibor, 2018. "Best management irrigation practices assessed by a GIS-based decision tool for reducing salinization risks in olive orchards," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 33-41.
    9. Chen, Weiping & Hou, Zhenan & Wu, Laosheng & Liang, Yongchao & Wei, Changzhou, 2010. "Evaluating salinity distribution in soil irrigated with saline water in arid regions of northwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(12), pages 2001-2008, November.
    10. Beyene, Abebech & Cornelis, Wim & Verhoest, Niko E.C. & Tilahun, Seifu & Alamirew, Tena & Adgo, Enyew & De Pue, Jan & Nyssen, Jan, 2018. "Estimating the actual evapotranspiration and deep percolation in irrigated soils of a tropical floodplain, northwest Ethiopia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 42-56.
    11. Amirhossein Hassani & Adisa Azapagic & Nima Shokri, 2021. "Global predictions of primary soil salinization under changing climate in the 21st century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, December.
    12. Liu, Bingxia & Wang, Shiqin & Kong, Xiaole & Liu, Xiaojing & Sun, Hongyong, 2019. "Modeling and assessing feasibility of long-term brackish water irrigation in vertically homogeneous and heterogeneous cultivated lowland in the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 98-110.
    13. Karandish, Fatemeh & Šimůnek, Jiří, 2016. "A field-modeling study for assessing temporal variations of soil-water-crop interactions under water-saving irrigation strategies," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 291-303.
    14. Yasuor, Hagai & Yermiyahu, Uri & Ben-Gal, Alon, 2020. "Consequences of irrigation and fertigation of vegetable crops with variable quality water: Israel as a case study," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    15. Karandish, Fatemeh & Šimůnek, Jiří, 2019. "A comparison of the HYDRUS (2D/3D) and SALTMED models to investigate the influence of various water-saving irrigation strategies on the maize water footprint," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 809-820.
    16. Minhas, P.S. & Ramos, Tiago B. & Ben-Gal, Alon & Pereira, Luis S., 2020. "Coping with salinity in irrigated agriculture: Crop evapotranspiration and water management issues," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    17. Merchán, D. & Causapé, J. & Abrahão, R. & García-Garizábal, I., 2015. "Assessment of a newly implemented irrigated area (Lerma Basin, Spain) over a 10-year period. I: Water balances and irrigation performance," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 277-287.
    18. Ben-Gal, Alon & Ityel, Eviatar & Dudley, Lynn & Cohen, Shabtai & Yermiyahu, Uri & Presnov, Eugene & Zigmond, Leah & Shani, Uri, 2008. "Effect of irrigation water salinity on transpiration and on leaching requirements: A case study for bell peppers," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(5), pages 587-597, May.
    19. Melgar, J.C. & Mohamed, Y. & Serrano, N. & García-Galavís, P.A. & Navarro, C. & Parra, M.A. & Benlloch, M. & Fernández-Escobar, R., 2009. "Long term responses of olive trees to salinity," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(7), pages 1105-1113, July.
    20. Che, Zheng & Wang, Jun & Li, Jiusheng, 2022. "Modeling strategies to balance salt leaching and nitrogen loss for drip irrigation with saline water in arid regions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:154:y:2015:i:c:p:29-42. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.