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The Impact of Oil Price Volatility to Oil and Gas Company Stock Returns and Emerging Economies

Author

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  • Veysel Ulusoy

    (Department of International Finance, Yeditepe University, Istanbul, Turkey,)

  • Caner zdurak

    (Department of Financial Economics, Yeditepe University, Istanbul, Turkey)

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the impact of oil price shocks on both selected companies and emerging markets. The novelties of this study can be described as: i) it also includes the recent oil price crisis compared to previous articles in this field, ii) our study considers in details the oil and gas company business acumen to explain the results of the econometric models which is not the case in previous studies, iii) we also include the impact of oil price volatility on emerging markets since oil prices have an importance as explanatory variable of exchange rate movements which makes out study a very comprehensive one. As mostly preferred in many previous studies in this literature, we employed the exponential GARCH (EGARCH) estimation methodology, we concluded that the volatility effect of a given shock to the oil prices and oil and gas company stock price returns are highly persistent and the successive forecasts of the conditional variance converge to the steady state slowly. In addition, we also present The News Impact Curves (NIS) which indicate that the behavior of commodity prices and company stock prices react differently to bad and good news.

Suggested Citation

  • Veysel Ulusoy & Caner zdurak, 2018. "The Impact of Oil Price Volatility to Oil and Gas Company Stock Returns and Emerging Economies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(1), pages 144-158.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2018-01-18
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. D.P. Emrinaldi Nur & Adhitya Agri Putra, 2020. "Enterprise Resource Planning and Firm Value: Case of Oil and Gas Firm in Indonesian Stock Exchange," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 185-189.
    3. Mohmmad Enamul Hoque & Soo Wah Low & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi, 2020. "Do Oil and Gas Risk Factors Matter in the Malaysian Oil and Gas Industry? A Fama-MacBeth Two Stage Panel Regression Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-15, March.
    4. Lado-Sestayo, Rubén & De Llano-Paz, Fernando & Vivel-Búa, Milagros & Martínez-Salgueiro, Andrea, 2023. "Commodity exposure in the eurozone: How EU energy security is conditioned by the Euro," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    5. Ngozi G. Emenogu & Monday Osagie Adenomon & Nwaze Obini Nweze, 2020. "On the volatility of daily stock returns of Total Nigeria Plc: evidence from GARCH models, value-at-risk and backtesting," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-25, December.
    6. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Soo-Wah Low & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi & Lain-Tze Tee & Noor Azlan Ghazali, 2023. "Asymmetric and Lag Effects of Industry Risk Factors on the Malaysian Oil and Gas Stocks," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(3), pages 21582440231, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil prices; time series; asymmetric volatility; stock returns; oil and gas companies; news impact curves;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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