IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ecb/ecbrbu/20240123.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Heterogeneous effects of monetary tightening in response to energy price shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Bobasu, Alina
  • Dobrew, Michael
  • Repele, Amalia

Abstract

This article analyses how monetary policy shapes the aggregate and distributional effects of an energy price shock. Based on the observed heterogeneity in consumption exposures to energy and household wealth, we build a quantitative small open-economy Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian (HANK) model that matches salient features of the euro area data. The model incorporates energy as both a consumption good for households with non-homothetic preferences as well as a factor input into production with input complementarities. Independently of policy, energy price shocks always reduce aggregate consumption. Households with little wealth are more adversely affected through both a decline in labour income as well as negative direct price effects. Active policy responses raising rates in response to inflation amplify aggregate outcomes through a reduction in aggregate demand, but speed up the recovery by enabling households to rebuild wealth through higher returns on savings. However, low-wealth households are also adversely affected by having less savings from which to rebuild wealth and instead lose out due to further declining labour income. JEL Classification: E52, F41, Q43

Suggested Citation

  • Bobasu, Alina & Dobrew, Michael & Repele, Amalia, 2024. "Heterogeneous effects of monetary tightening in response to energy price shocks," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 123.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbrbu:2024:0123:
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/research-publications/resbull/2024/html/ecb.rb241023~57265f3bf5.en.html
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/research-publications/resbull/2024/html/ecb.rb241023~57265f3bf5.en.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chan, Jenny & Diz, Sebastian & Kanngiesser, Derrick, 2024. "Energy prices and household heterogeneity: Monetary policy in a Gas-TANK," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    2. Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni L. Violante, 2018. "Monetary Policy According to HANK," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(3), pages 697-743, March.
    3. Jordi Galí & Tommaso Monacelli, 2005. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 72(3), pages 707-734.
    4. Pieroni, Valerio, 2023. "Energy shortages and aggregate demand: Output loss and unequal burden from HANK," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bobasu, Alina & Dobrew, Michael & Repele, Amalia, 2024. "Energy price shocks, monetary policy and inequality," Working Paper Series 2967, European Central Bank.
    2. Volha Audzei & Ivan Sutoris, 2024. "A Heterogeneous Agent Model of Energy Consumption and Energy Conservation," Working Papers 2024/4, Czech National Bank.
    3. Lastauskas, Povilas & Stakėnas, Julius, 2020. "Labor market reforms and the monetary policy environment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    4. Bahl, Ojasvita & Ghate, Chetan & Mallick, Debdulal, 2020. "Redistributive Policy Shocks and Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents," MPRA Paper 101651, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Rishabh Aggarwal & Adrien Auclert & Matthew Rognlie & Ludwig Straub, 2023. "Excess Savings and Twin Deficits: The Transmission of Fiscal Stimulus in Open Economies," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 37(1), pages 325-412.
    6. Lastauskas, Povilas & Stakėnas, Julius, 2024. "Labor market policies in high- and low-interest rate environments: Evidence from the euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    7. Colciago, Andrea & Priftis, Romanos & Chafwehé, Boris, 2024. "Reallocation, productivity, and monetary policy in an energy crisis," Working Paper Series 2961, European Central Bank.
    8. Oskolkov, Aleksei, 2023. "Exchange rate policy and heterogeneity in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    9. de Ferra, Sergio & Mitman, Kurt & Romei, Federica, 2020. "Household heterogeneity and the transmission of foreign shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    10. Xing Guo & Pablo Ottonello & Diego J. Perez, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Redistribution in Open Economies," Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 1(1), pages 191-241.
    11. Zarazúa Juárez, Carlos Alberto, 2023. "Understanding the natural rate of interest for a small open economy," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(3).
    12. Francisco G. Villarreal, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Inequality under Household Heterogeneity and Incomplete Markets," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(90), pages 74-110.
    13. Jordi Galí, 2018. "The State of New Keynesian Economics: A Partial Assessment," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 87-112, Summer.
    14. Funke, Michael & Kirkby, Robert & Mihaylovski, Petar, 2018. "House prices and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of New Zealand," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 152-171.
    15. Houssa, Romain & Mohimont, Jolan & Otrok, Christopher, 2023. "Commodity exports, financial frictions, and international spillovers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    16. Mohimont, Jolan, 2022. "Welfare effects of business cycles and monetary policies in a small open emerging economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    17. Yongseung Jung, 2022. "Inspecting Business Cycles in Korea through the Lens of the TANK Model," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 38, pages 109-139.
    18. Consolo, Agostino & Hänsel, Matthias, 2024. "HANK faces unemployment," Working Paper Series 2953, European Central Bank.
    19. Carreño Bustos, José Gabo, 2023. "Flexible Contracts as Business Cycle Stabilizers," Discussion Paper 2023-007, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    20. Wataru Miyamoto & Thuy Lan Nguyen & Dmitry Sergeyev, 2023. "How Oil Shocks Propagate: Evidence on the Monetary Policy Channel," Working Paper Series 2024-06, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    energy prices; heterogeneous agents; monetary policy; non-homothetic preferences; open economy model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbrbu:2024:0123:. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Official Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/emieude.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.