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The fertility of recent migrants to England and Wales

Author

Listed:
  • James Robards

    (University of Southampton)

  • Ann Berrington

    (University of Southampton)

Abstract

Background: Estimates of fertility for the overseas-born based on the period Total Fertility Rate (TFR) suggest that levels of childbearing are significantly higher among foreign-born women than women born in the UK. However, migration and timing of subsequent family formation mean that aggregate measures of fertility based on period TFRs may not be a useful indicator of the likely completed family size that migrant women will have at the end of their reproductive lives. Objective: The paper quantifies childbearing according to duration since migration among female migrants to England and Wales arriving between 2001 and 2011, and examines how these patterns differ according to age at arrival and country of birth. Methods: Data from the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study, a 1% sample of the population of England and Wales, are used to identify the reported date of arrival in the UK and to estimate childbearing prior to and subsequent to arrival. Results: Fertility rates peak in the first one to four years subsequent to arrival among migrants from Pakistan and Bangladesh. Migrants from India and Poland show a delay in childbearing after migration to England and Wales, and lower fertility rates compared to migrants from Pakistan and Bangladesh, who show high fertility after migration at least for the first five years. Conclusions: There are large differences in the timing of fertility among migrants according to age at arrival and migrant country of origin, which are likely to be related to the reason for migration. Tempo distortions among some migrant groups mean that the period TFR is not necessarily a useful summary measure of the likely lifetime fertility of migrant groups.

Suggested Citation

  • James Robards & Ann Berrington, 2016. "The fertility of recent migrants to England and Wales," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 34(36), pages 1037-1052.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:34:y:2016:i:36
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2016.34.36
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Wilson, 2020. "Understanding How Immigrant Fertility Differentials Vary over the Reproductive Life Course," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 36(3), pages 465-498, July.
    2. Hill Kulu & Nadja Milewski & Tina Hannemann & Julia Mikolai, 2019. "A decade of life-course research on fertility of immigrants and their descendants in Europe," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 40(46), pages 1345-1374.
    3. Christos Bagavos, 2022. "On the contribution of foreign-born populations to overall population change in Europe: Methodological insights and contemporary evidence for 31 European countries," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 46(7), pages 179-216.
    4. Bernard Baffour & James Raymer & Ann Evans, 2023. "Recent Trends in Immigrant Fertility in Australia," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 47-67, March.
    5. Christos Bagavos, 2019. "On the multifaceted impact of migration on the fertility of receiving countries: Methodological insights and contemporary evidence for Europe, the United States, and Australia," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(1), pages 1-36.
    6. Marianne Tønnessen, 2020. "Declined Total Fertility Rate Among Immigrants and the Role of Newly Arrived Women in Norway," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 36(3), pages 547-573, July.
    7. Yang, Yang & Shang, Han Lin & Raymer, James, 2024. "Forecasting Australian fertility by age, region, and birthplace," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 532-548.
    8. Kazenin, Konstantin (Казенин, Константин), 2018. "The Impact of Migration on Fertility: An Overview of Foreign Research [Влияние Миграции На Рождаемость: Обзор Зарубежных Исследований]," Working Papers 041804, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    9. Joseph Harrison & Katherine Lisa Keenan & Frank Sullivan & Hill Kulu, 2023. "Union formation and fertility amongst immigrants from Pakistan and their descendants in the United Kingdom: A multichannel sequence analysis," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 48(10), pages 271-320.
    10. Marion Burkimsher, 2017. "Evolution of the shape of the fertility curve: Why might some countries develop a bimodal curve?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 37(11), pages 295-324.
    11. Hill Kulu & Tina Hannemann, 2016. "Why does fertility remain high among certain UK-born ethnic minority women?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(49), pages 1441-1488.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    migration; immigrants; fertility; longitudinal data; life course analysis; disruption hypothesis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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