Smoothing and projecting age-specific probabilities of death by TOPALS
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DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2012.27.20
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References listed on IDEAS
- Booth, Heather, 2006. "Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 547-581.
- John Bongaarts, 2006. "How Long Will We Live?," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 32(4), pages 605-628, December.
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- Schmertmann, Carl & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto, 2018. "Bayesian estimation of age-specific mortality and life expectancy for small areas with defective vital records," SocArXiv syzwx, Center for Open Science.
- Ameer Dharamshi & Magali Barbieri & Monica Alexander & Celeste Winant, 2025. "Jointly estimating subnational mortality for multiple populations," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 52(3), pages 71-110.
- Kashnitsky, Ilya, 2023. "Non-survival to pension age in Denmark and Sweden: a sub-national investigation," OSF Preprints y9ke4_v1, Center for Open Science.
- Sigurd Dyrting & Abraham Flaxman & Ethan Sharygin, 2022. "Reconstruction of age distributions from differentially private census data," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(6), pages 2311-2329, December.
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- Kashnitsky, Ilya, 2023. "Non-survival to pension age in Denmark and Sweden: a sub-national investigation," OSF Preprints y9ke4, Center for Open Science.
- Sigurd Dyrting, 2020. "Smoothing migration intensities with P-TOPALS," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 43(55), pages 1607-1650.
- Schmertmann, Carl & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto, 2018. "Bayesian estimation of age-specific mortality and life expectancy for small areas with defective vital records," SocArXiv syzwx_v1, Center for Open Science.
- Keilman, Nico, 2016. "Household forecasting: Preservation of age patterns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 726-735.
- Carl Schmertmann, 2021. "D-splines: Estimating rate schedules using high-dimensional splines with empirical demographic penalties," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 44(45), pages 1085-1114.
- Tom Wilson & Irina Grossman & Monica Alexander & Phil Rees & Jeromey Temple, 2022. "Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts: State-of-the-Art and Research Needs," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(3), pages 865-898, June.
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More about this item
Keywords
population projections; life expectancy at birth; Lee-Carter model; smoothing; relational model; model age schedules; age-specific probabilities of death; Brass model; partial adjustment model;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
- Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General
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