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A model for geographical variation in health and total life expectancy

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  • Peter Congdon

    (Queen Mary University of London)

Abstract

This paper develops a joint approach to life and health expectancy based on 2001 UK Census data for limiting long term illness and general health status, and on registered death occurrences in 2001. The model takes account of the interdependence of different outcomes (e.g. ill health and mortality) as well as spatial correlation in their patterns. A particular focus is on the proportionality assumption or ‘multiplicative model’ whereby separate age and area effects multiply to produce age-area mortality rates. Alternative non-proportional models are developed and shown to be more parsimonious as well as more appropriate to actual area-age interdependence. The application involves mortality and health status in the 33 London Boroughs.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Congdon, 2006. "A model for geographical variation in health and total life expectancy," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 14(9), pages 157-178.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:14:y:2006:i:9
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2006.14.9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Ronald Lee, 2000. "The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality, with Various Extensions and Applications," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 80-91.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ehsan Khoman & James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2008. "Incidence‐based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life‐tables," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 171(1), pages 203-222, January.
    2. Taylor, Joanna & Twigg, Liz & Moon, Graham, 2014. "The convergent validity of three surveys as alternative sources of health information to the 2011 UK census," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 187-192.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    healthy life expectancy; life tables; proportionality assumption; spatial effects; disease burden;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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