IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v14y2017i2p146-d89312.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Comparison of Spatio-Temporal Disease Mapping Approaches Including an Application to Ischaemic Heart Disease in New South Wales, Australia

Author

Listed:
  • Craig Anderson

    (School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Technology Sydney, 15 Broadway, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia
    ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers (ACEMS), Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia)

  • Louise M. Ryan

    (School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Technology Sydney, 15 Broadway, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia
    ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers (ACEMS), Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia)

Abstract

The field of spatio-temporal modelling has witnessed a recent surge as a result of developments in computational power and increased data collection. These developments allow analysts to model the evolution of health outcomes in both space and time simultaneously. This paper models the trends in ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in New South Wales, Australia over an eight-year period between 2006 and 2013. A number of spatio-temporal models are considered, and we propose a novel method for determining the goodness-of-fit for these models by outlining a spatio-temporal extension of the Moran’s I statistic. We identify an overall decrease in the rates of IHD, but note that the extent of this health improvement varies across the state. In particular, we identified a number of remote areas in the north and west of the state where the risk stayed constant or even increased slightly.

Suggested Citation

  • Craig Anderson & Louise M. Ryan, 2017. "A Comparison of Spatio-Temporal Disease Mapping Approaches Including an Application to Ischaemic Heart Disease in New South Wales, Australia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-16, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:14:y:2017:i:2:p:146-:d:89312
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/14/2/146/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/14/2/146/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mahmoud Torabi & Rhonda J. Rosychuk, 2011. "Spatio-temporal modelling using B-spline for disease mapping: analysis of childhood cancer trends," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(9), pages 1769-1781, October.
    2. Ying C. MacNab & C. B. Dean, 2001. "Autoregressive Spatial Smoothing and Temporal Spline Smoothing for Mapping Rates," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 57(3), pages 949-956, September.
    3. Chib, Siddhartha, 1993. "Bayes regression with autoregressive errors : A Gibbs sampling approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 58(3), pages 275-294, August.
    4. Julian Besag & Jeremy York & Annie Mollié, 1991. "Bayesian image restoration, with two applications in spatial statistics," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 43(1), pages 1-20, March.
    5. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    6. Duncan Lee & Gavin Shaddick, 2010. "Spatial Modeling of Air Pollution in Studies of Its Short-Term Health Effects," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 66(4), pages 1238-1246, December.
    7. P. Congdon & H. Southall, 2005. "Trends in inequality in infant mortality in the north of England, 1921–1973, and their association with urban and social structure," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 168(4), pages 679-700, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Naae Lee & Sungchan Kang & Woojoo Lee & Seung-sik Hwang, 2020. "The Association between Community Water Fluoridation and Bone Diseases: A Natural Experiment in Cheongju, Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Miriam Marco & Antonio López-Quílez & David Conesa & Enrique Gracia & Marisol Lila, 2017. "Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Suicide-Related Emergency Calls," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-13, July.
    3. Samuel O. M Manda & Nada Abdelatif, 2017. "Smoothed Temporal Atlases of Age-Gender All-Cause Mortality in South Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Areti Boulieri & Silvia Liverani & Kees Hoogh & Marta Blangiardo, 2017. "A space–time multivariate Bayesian model to analyse road traffic accidents by severity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(1), pages 119-139, January.
    2. P. Congdon & H. Southall, 2005. "Trends in inequality in infant mortality in the north of England, 1921–1973, and their association with urban and social structure," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 168(4), pages 679-700, November.
    3. Ying C. MacNab, 2003. "Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling of Spatially Correlated Health Service Outcome and Utilization Rates," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 305-315, June.
    4. Eibich, Peter & Ziebarth, Nicolas, 2014. "Examining the Structure of Spatial Health Effects in Germany Using Hierarchical Bayes Models," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 49, pages 305-320.
    5. Mayer Alvo & Jingrui Mu, 2023. "COVID-19 Data Analysis Using Bayesian Models and Nonparametric Geostatistical Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-13, March.
    6. Massimo Bilancia & Giacomo Demarinis, 2014. "Bayesian scanning of spatial disease rates with integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA)," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 23(1), pages 71-94, March.
    7. Douglas R. M. Azevedo & Marcos O. Prates & Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, 2021. "MSPOCK: Alleviating Spatial Confounding in Multivariate Disease Mapping Models," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 26(3), pages 464-491, September.
    8. Francisca Corpas-Burgos & Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito, 2021. "An Autoregressive Disease Mapping Model for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-17, February.
    9. Li Xu & Qingshan Jiang & David R. Lairson, 2019. "Spatio-Temporal Variation of Gender-Specific Hypertension Risk: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-26, November.
    10. Isabel Martínez-Pérez & Verónica González-Iglesias & Valentín Rodríguez Suárez & Ana Fernández-Somoano, 2021. "Spatial Distribution of Hospitalizations for Ischemic Heart Diseases in the Central Region of Asturias, Spain," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(23), pages 1-10, November.
    11. F. Corpas-Burgos & P. Botella-Rocamora & M. A. Martinez-Beneito, 2019. "On the convenience of heteroscedasticity in highly multivariate disease mapping," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 28(4), pages 1229-1250, December.
    12. Alexandra Schmidt & Ajax Moreira & Steven Helfand & Thais Fonseca, 2009. "Spatial stochastic frontier models: accounting for unobserved local determinants of inefficiency," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 101-112, April.
    13. Maike Tahden & Juliane Manitz & Klaus Baumgardt & Gerhard Fell & Thomas Kneib & Guido Hegasy, 2016. "Epidemiological and Ecological Characterization of the EHEC O104:H4 Outbreak in Hamburg, Germany, 2011," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, October.
    14. Marc Marí-Dell’Olmo & Miguel Ángel Martínez-Beneito, 2015. "A Multilevel Regression Model for Geographical Studies in Sets of Non-Adjacent Cities," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(8), pages 1-12, August.
    15. Mahmoud Torabi, 2012. "Spatial modeling using frequentist approach for disease mapping," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(11), pages 2431-2439, July.
    16. Peter Congdon, 2011. "The Spatial Pattern of Suicide in the US in Relation to Deprivation, Fragmentation and Rurality," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 48(10), pages 2101-2122, August.
    17. Shadi Rahimzadeh & Beata Burczynska & Alireza Ahmadvand & Ali Sheidaei & Sara Khademioureh & Forough Pazhuheian & Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam & James Bentham & Farshad Farzadfar & Mariachiara Di Cesare, 2021. "Geographical and socioeconomic inequalities in female breast cancer incidence and mortality in Iran: A Bayesian spatial analysis of registry data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(3), pages 1-16, March.
    18. Volker Schmid & Leonhard Held, 2004. "Bayesian Extrapolation of Space–Time Trends in Cancer Registry Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 60(4), pages 1034-1042, December.
    19. Darren J. Mayne & Geoffrey G. Morgan & Bin B. Jalaludin & Adrian E. Bauman, 2018. "Does Walkability Contribute to Geographic Variation in Psychosocial Distress? A Spatial Analysis of 91,142 Members of the 45 and Up Study in Sydney, Australia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-24, February.
    20. Marcus L. Nascimento & Kelly C. M. Gonçalves & Mario Jorge Mendonça, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Instrumental Variables Regression with Missing Data: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(1), pages 29-47, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:14:y:2017:i:2:p:146-:d:89312. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.