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On the tempo and quantum of first marriages in Austria, Germany, and Switzerland

Author

Listed:
  • Maria Winkler-Dworak

    (Österreichische Akademie der Wissenschaften)

  • Henriette Engelhardt

    (Otto-Friedrich-Universität Bamberg)

Abstract

Period marriage rates have been falling dramatically in most industrial societies since the beginning of the 1970s. As has been shown in the literature, part of this decline is due to the postponement of marriage to later ages. However, the change in variance has been ignored so far. In the case of Austria, Germany, and Switzerland, this paper explores how much of the change in female first marriage rates can be attributed to tempo effects caused by changes in the mean age and variance, and how much of it is due to quantum effects, i.e., the proportion of women who ever marry from 1970 to 2000. In all three countries we find a significant share of the decline in first marriage rates due to tempo distortions, though on different levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Maria Winkler-Dworak & Henriette Engelhardt, 2004. "On the tempo and quantum of first marriages in Austria, Germany, and Switzerland," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 10(9), pages 231-264.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:10:y:2004:i:9
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2004.10.9
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Michel Guillot, 2006. "Tempo effects in mortality," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 14(1), pages 1-26.
    2. Dimiter Philipov & Aiva Jasilioniene, 2007. "Union formation and fertility in Bulgaria and Russia: a life table description of recent trends," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2007-005, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    3. Claudia Geist, 2017. "Marriage Formation in Context: Four Decades in Comparative Perspective," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-16, January.
    4. Aude Bernard & Alina Pelikh, 2019. "Distinguishing tempo and ageing effects in migration," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 40(44), pages 1291-1322.
    5. Quanbao Jiang & Marcus Feldman & Shuzhuo Li, 2014. "Marriage Squeeze, Never-Married Proportion, and Mean Age at First Marriage in China," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 33(2), pages 189-204, April.
    6. Jingyi Dan & Nong Zhu & Li Mei, 2022. "On the Quantum and Tempo of Women First Marriages in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(20), pages 1-10, October.
    7. Ryohei Mogi & Vladimir Canudas-Romo, 2018. "Expected years ever married," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 38(47), pages 1423-1456.
    8. Alexia Prskawetz & Tomáš Sobotka & Isabella Buber-Ennser & Henriette Engelhardt & Richard Gisser, 2008. "Austria: Persistent low fertility since the mid-1980s," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 19(12), pages 293-360.
    9. Ekaterina S. Mitrofanova & Sergey A. Makarov, 2023. "West and East: convergence or divergence of Millennials' transition to adulthood in four European countries," Population and Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 7(4), pages 68-90, December.
    10. Marc Luy, 2006. "Mortality tempo-adjustment," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 15(21), pages 561-590.
    11. Tomáš Sobotka & Laurent Toulemon, 2008. "Overview Chapter 4: Changing family and partnership behaviour," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 19(6), pages 85-138.
    12. Máire Ní Bhrolcháin, 2011. "Tempo and the TFR," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 48(3), pages 841-861, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Austria; Germany; marriage; age-period interactions; first marriages; mean age and variance changes; tempo and quantum;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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