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The Parade of Sovereignties: Testing Theories of Secession in the Soviet Setting

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  • HALE, HENRY E.

Abstract

This article asks why some ethnically distinct regions fight fiercely to secede while others struggle to save the same multinational state. It tests competing explanations using a new dataset containing forty-five cases, significantly more than any previous study in the Soviet setting. The empirical results confirm arguments that the most separatist regions tend to be those possessing the most wealth, containing the least assimilated ethnic groups and already enjoying the greatest levels of autonomy. Demonstration effects are also found to be powerful. No support is found for prominent theories pointing to group upward mobility and ‘skill sets’ as being decisive. Group histories of grievous exploitation or national independence are found not to explain patterns of secessionism.

Suggested Citation

  • Hale, Henry E., 2000. "The Parade of Sovereignties: Testing Theories of Secession in the Soviet Setting," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 31-56, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:30:y:2000:i:01:p:31-56_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Enze Han & Joseph O’Mahoney & Christopher Paik, 2014. "External kin, economic disparity and minority ethnic group mobilization," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 31(1), pages 49-69, February.
    2. Nicholas Sambanis & Micha Germann & Andreas Schädel, 2018. "SDM: A New Data Set on Self-determination Movements with an Application to the Reputational Theory of Conflict," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(3), pages 656-686, March.
    3. Klaus Abbink & Jordi Brandts, 2016. "Political autonomy and independence: Theory and experimental evidence," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 28(3), pages 461-496, July.
    4. Kiikpoye K. Aaron, 2015. "Relative deprivation and insurgency: What lessons from Nigeria’s flawed federalism?," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 18(2), pages 164-181, June.
    5. Vincent Anesi & Philippe De Donder, 2013. "Voting under the threat of secession: accommodation versus repression," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 41(2), pages 241-261, July.
    6. Sambanis, Nicholas & Milanovic, Branko, 2011. "Explaining the demand for sovereignty," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5888, The World Bank.
    7. Vincent Anesi & Philippe De Donder, 2011. "Voting under the Threat of Secession: Accommodation vs. Repression," CESifo Working Paper Series 3458, CESifo Group Munich.
    8. Sharon Werning Rivera, 2004. "Elites and the Diffusion of Foreign Models in Russia," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 52(1), pages 43-62, March.
    9. Anesi, Vincent, 2012. "Secessionism and minority protection in an uncertain world," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 53-61.
    10. Vincent Anesi & Philippe De Donder, 2011. "Voting under the Threat of Secession: Accommodation vs. Repression," CESifo Working Paper Series 3458, CESifo.
    11. Nils-Christian Bormann & Burcu Savun, 2018. "Reputation, concessions, and territorial civil war," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 55(5), pages 671-686, September.
    12. Florian Bieber, 2015. "The Construction of National Identity and its Challenges in Post-Yugoslav Censuses," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 96(3), pages 873-903, September.
    13. Ferran Requejo & Marc Sanjaume-Calvet, 2021. "Explaining Secessionism: What Do We Really Know About It?," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 9(4), pages 371-375.
    14. Suesse, Marvin, 2019. "Adjusting the size of nations: Empirical determinants of separatism and the Soviet breakup," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 50-64.
    15. Alexander Libman, 2015. "Words or deeds: what matters? On the role of symbolic action in political decentralization," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 801-838, November.
    16. Olga Nicoara & David White, 2016. "A Contextual Model Of The Secessionist Rebellion in Eastern Ukraine," Papers 1606.02748, arXiv.org.

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