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Reconstructing the recent monetary policy history of Colombia from 1990 to 2010

Author

Listed:
  • Andrés Felipe Giraldo
  • Martha Misas Arango
  • Edgar Villa Pérez

Abstract

This article reconstructs the history of monetary policy of the central bank of Colombia inthe period 1990 to 2010 in which explicit ination targeting was adopted by October of 2000.To do so we developed theoretically a modi ed Taylor rule with interest rate smoothing foran open and small economy and accordingly estimate a two regime Markov switching modelwhich allows the switching dates to be endogenously determined. We nd that one regimehad explicit ination targeting (from the year 2000 up to 2010) in which the ination rate isa stationary series, given that the central bank enforced a monetary policy that satis ed theTaylor principle. This ination stabilizing regime did show up in some quarters before theyear 2000 but was not the predominant. The other regime was the more prevalent during the1990s but did not satisfy the Taylor principle allowing a unit root behavior of the inationrate. Moreover we nd that the central bank reacted aggressively during the 1990s to outputuctuations while having an accomodating behavior for this variable during explicit inationtargeting from 2000 onwards.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrés Felipe Giraldo & Martha Misas Arango & Edgar Villa Pérez, 2011. "Reconstructing the recent monetary policy history of Colombia from 1990 to 2010," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, vol. 0(0), pages 1-38, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000416:008860
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    File URL: http://cea.javeriana.edu.co/documents/153049/2786252/Vol.11_6_2011.pdf/4ec84d8f-c629-4748-a677-c1610fa13ca8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Echavarría-Soto, Juan José & López, Enrique & Ocampo, Sergio & Rodríguez-Niño, Norberto, 2012. "Choques, instituciones laborales y desempleo en Colombia," Chapters, in: Arango-Thomas, Luis Eduardo & Hamann-Salcedo, Franz Alonso (ed.), El mercado de trabajo en Colombia : hechos, tendencias e instituciones, chapter 18, pages 753-794, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Andrés González & Segio Ocampo & Julián Pérez & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Output Gap and Neutral Interest Measures of Colombia," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 231-286, July-Dece.
    3. Edgar Villa & Martha A. Misas & Andrés F. Giraldo, 2014. "Inflation Targeting and an Optimal Taylor Rule for an Open Economy: Evidence for Colombia 1990-2011," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 51(1), pages 41-83, May.
    4. Federico Sturzenegger, 2019. "Macri´s Macro: The meandering road to stability and growth," Working Papers 135, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Oct 2019.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Taylor rule; Taylor principle; Markov Switching Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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